Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

Go on, will share the 4/1 chunkage as I'd never have got on but for this fine thread.

How much we want?

[TightEnd]

bwin on

5/21/2014 11:42 AM    Single bet    

open Top African Team (Group winner)
Nigeria


50.00    4.50

[horseplayer]

good ole chompy

[tikay]

Go on, will share the 4/1 chunkage as I'd never have got on but for this fine thread.

How much we want?

Tighty,

We going to take advantage of Chompy?

[tikay]

Where was Marky?

Saw this on Twitter this morning......


Neil Lennon now into 5/4 to be next Norwich manager having been 6/1 earlier this morning

[Ironside]

Where was Marky?

Saw this on Twitter this morning......


Neil Lennon now into 5/4 to be next Norwich manager having been 6/1 earlier this morning

please be true out of sight for as long as possible please please please

[Ironside]

PP price is still 11/4 

[TightEnd]

Go on, will share the 4/1 chunkage as I'd never have got on but for this fine thread.

How much we want?

Tighty,

We going to take advantage of Chompy?

up to you

we have £50 at 7/2 which is enough for a position

if we want to put a trade as well on we/i need clear instructions and to be kept in touch, bearing in mind you aren't going to be around much for a month.

[Tal]

Set and a break down, Sock's been hung out to dry, nothing more than a puppet in Isner's game. Isner has one foot in the next round in Nice, and will be playing while Sock's on the beach.

[Karabiner]

Supercalifragilistic-banzai for the Ladies' US Open golf anyone?

www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/golf/27487135

[TightEnd]

Anyone wanting a bit of sport will note that Ladbrokes have put up a market on how many Libdem seats after tomorrows European elections

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/uk-european-election/total-seats-liberal-democrats

PP now go 8/11 under 2.5, which i think is fair enough for reasons expounded on Tuesday night

Ladbrokes will offer you 7/2 on 0 4/1 on 1 and 4/1 on 2. Back all three and away you go, pays better than 8/11 the trio with PP (edit pays a bit less)


to recap

The Liberal Democrats have not prospered from their Westminster coalition with the Conservatives. For example, in the 2012 local elections they got 16% of the vote, down 10 points from the 26% they got in 2010. Or consider Scotland, where their vote share halved in the Scottish Parliamentary election in 2011 and almost halved in the local elections the next year.

So it seems likely that the Lib Dem vote will go down. This is a particular problem for them because there's an implied hurdle in the voting system at about 10% of the vote: a party that gets less than that is likely to be under-represented in seats because the electoral system is party list proportional representation. ie the number of actual votes matters, unlike a parliamentary constituency which might be very much bigger than another and a lot of votes are "wasted" in safe seats

. For example, if the Lib Dems lose half their votes, they'll be down to two seats, one in South East England and the other in South West England.

In 2009 they got 2.05m votes and this morning's poll put them at 9% which is just over 1m votes. On these figures, it is touch and go whether the Liberal Democrats would hold any of the 11 seats they won last time.

if pressed i would say 1 or 2 seats is the likely outcome, if pressed for one bet 2 seats but in reality you can cocktail 0/1/2 and probably make a profit

[BigAdz]

Glitterati love in today between Chompy and horsey. Glad I had my breakfast early.

Wanna be in my gang?

[Doobs]

Anyone wanting a bit of sport will note that Ladbrokes have put up a market on how many Libdem seats after tomorrows European elections

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/uk-european-election/total-seats-liberal-democrats

PP now go 8/11 under 2.5, which i think is fair enough for reasons expounded on Tuesday night

Ladbrokes will offer you 7/2 on 0 4/1 on 1 and 4/1 on 2. Back all three and away you go, pays better than 8/11 the trio with PP


to recap

The Liberal Democrats have not prospered from their Westminster coalition with the Conservatives. For example, in the 2012 local elections they got 16% of the vote, down 10 points from the 26% they got in 2010. Or consider Scotland, where their vote share halved in the Scottish Parliamentary election in 2011 and almost halved in the local elections the next year.

So it seems likely that the Lib Dem vote will go down. This is a particular problem for them because there's an implied hurdle in the voting system at about 10% of the vote: a party that gets less than that is likely to be under-represented in seats because the electoral system is party list proportional representation. ie the number of actual votes matters, unlike a parliamentary constituency which might be very much bigger than another and a lot of votes are "wasted" in safe seats

. For example, if the Lib Dems lose half their votes, they'll be down to two seats, one in South East England and the other in South West England.

In 2009 they got 2.05m votes and this morning's poll put them at 9% which is just over 1m votes. On these figures, it is touch and go whether the Liberal Democrats would hold any of the 11 seats they won last time.

if pressed i would say 1 or 2 seats is the likely outcome, if pressed for one bet 2 seats but in reality you can cocktail 0/1/2 and probably make a profit

Am on my phone, but you are taking worse than 4/6 if combining them. (4/6 is the same as 4/1 3 times).

[TightEnd]

Anyone wanting a bit of sport will note that Ladbrokes have put up a market on how many Libdem seats after tomorrows European elections

http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/uk-european-election/total-seats-liberal-democrats

PP now go 8/11 under 2.5, which i think is fair enough for reasons expounded on Tuesday night

Ladbrokes will offer you 7/2 on 0 4/1 on 1 and 4/1 on 2. Back all three and away you go, pays better than 8/11 the trio with PP


to recap

The Liberal Democrats have not prospered from their Westminster coalition with the Conservatives. For example, in the 2012 local elections they got 16% of the vote, down 10 points from the 26% they got in 2010. Or consider Scotland, where their vote share halved in the Scottish Parliamentary election in 2011 and almost halved in the local elections the next year.

So it seems likely that the Lib Dem vote will go down. This is a particular problem for them because there's an implied hurdle in the voting system at about 10% of the vote: a party that gets less than that is likely to be under-represented in seats because the electoral system is party list proportional representation. ie the number of actual votes matters, unlike a parliamentary constituency which might be very much bigger than another and a lot of votes are "wasted" in safe seats

. For example, if the Lib Dems lose half their votes, they'll be down to two seats, one in South East England and the other in South West England.

In 2009 they got 2.05m votes and this morning's poll put them at 9% which is just over 1m votes. On these figures, it is touch and go whether the Liberal Democrats would hold any of the 11 seats they won last time.

if pressed i would say 1 or 2 seats is the likely outcome, if pressed for one bet 2 seats but in reality you can cocktail 0/1/2 and probably make a profit

Am on my phone, but you are taking worse than 4/6 if combining them. (4/6 is the same as 4/1 3 times).

yes thank you, had edited my post following PMs

as you were.

[Chompy]

Glitterati love in today between Chompy and horsey. Glad I had my breakfast early.

Wanna be in my gang?

Not even slightly, but thanks for asking.