Tips for Tikay

[TheDazzler]

Daily Report

- Psephology corner.

For those who followed the Lib Dems bet they ended up with 1 seat, so it was a winner. At around 11pm last night lib dem minister Ed Davey said "Looks like it's going to be a disappointing night for us." This is Politician speak for "this is an electoral calamity" and so it proved

Click to see full-size image.

- UKIP won Newark, although the MEP constituency is a little different than the parliamentary constituency which includes part of Bassetlaw and Rushcliffe. Our 1/4 bet on the Conservatives at the by-election doesn't want to see a repeat of this result from yesterday..

UKIP 33%
Con 31%
Lab 21%

The Conservatives eased slightly in by-election betting last night though. now 3/10

Yeah, great shout Tighty on the Lib Dems bet.

[sonour]

Daily Report

- Psephology corner.

For those who followed the Lib Dems bet they ended up with 1 seat, so it was a winner. At around 11pm last night lib dem minister Ed Davey said "Looks like it's going to be a disappointing night for us." This is Politician speak for "this is an electoral calamity" and so it proved

Click to see full-size image.

- UKIP won Newark, although the MEP constituency is a little different than the parliamentary constituency which includes part of Bassetlaw and Rushcliffe. Our 1/4 bet on the Conservatives at the by-election doesn't want to see a repeat of this result from yesterday..

UKIP 33%
Con 31%
Lab 21%

The Conservatives eased slightly in by-election betting last night though. now 3/10

Yeah, great shout Tighty on the Lib Dems bet.

As always tyty

[KitKeeper]

Fun bet, surely a max?

A pundit to call Belgium a dark horse.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/specials

Got on this when I saw it.

Now 4/7!

[TightEnd]

Michael Crick ‏@MichaelLCrick 2m

Tories seem very worried about Newark. Budding parly candidates are being urged to help at Newark phone bank - at Conservative in London

[TightEnd]

We need, as discussed previously, to be looking at NZ +30+ on the handicap for the first test, NZ 3-0 for the series etc etc if anyone offers any value when prices go up

http://www.rfu.com/news/2014/may/news-articles/260514_england_squad_nz?utm_source=Social&utm_medium=media&utm_campaign=2014

key areas, front row, fly half etc are going to be way below standard for that first test in under two weeks

[sonour]

We need, as discussed previously, to be looking at NZ +30+ on the handicap for the first test, NZ 3-0 for the series etc etc if anyone offers any value when prices go up

http://www.rfu.com/news/2014/may/news-articles/260514_england_squad_nz?utm_source=Social&utm_medium=media&utm_campaign=2014

key areas, front row, fly half etc are going to be way below standard for that first test in under two weeks

New Zealand series winner no good at 1.25 ?

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/2017-lions-tour/series-winner

[TightEnd]

We need, as discussed previously, to be looking at NZ +30+ on the handicap for the first test, NZ 3-0 for the series etc etc if anyone offers any value when prices go up

http://www.rfu.com/news/2014/may/news-articles/260514_england_squad_nz?utm_source=Social&utm_medium=media&utm_campaign=2014

key areas, front row, fly half etc are going to be way below standard for that first test in under two weeks

New Zealand series winner no good at 1.25 ?

http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/lions-tour/2017-lions-tour/series-winner

thats the 2017 lions tour

no prices up for the 2014 england tour yet

[Tal]

Michael Crick ‏@MichaelLCrick 2m

Tories seem very worried about Newark. Budding parly candidates are being urged to help at Newark phone bank - at Conservative in London

!

[AlunB]

We need, as discussed previously, to be looking at NZ +30+ on the handicap for the first test, NZ 3-0 for the series etc etc if anyone offers any value when prices go up

http://www.rfu.com/news/2014/may/news-articles/260514_england_squad_nz?utm_source=Social&utm_medium=media&utm_campaign=2014

key areas, front row, fly half etc are going to be way below standard for that first test in under two weeks

Worth pointing out it says in that press release more players will be added from Saracens and Northampton following next weekend's Prem Final so that's very unlikely to be the full squad. Half the England side will be playing next weekend.

[TightEnd]

We need, as discussed previously, to be looking at NZ +30+ on the handicap for the first test, NZ 3-0 for the series etc etc if anyone offers any value when prices go up

http://www.rfu.com/news/2014/may/news-articles/260514_england_squad_nz?utm_source=Social&utm_medium=media&utm_campaign=2014

key areas, front row, fly half etc are going to be way below standard for that first test in under two weeks

Worth pointing out it says in that press release more players will be added from Saracens and Northampton following next weekend's Prem Final so that's very unlikely to be the full squad. Half the England side will be playing next weekend.

available from the second test onwards, but expect a lot of withdrawals. after heineken cup/amiln cup and aviva premiership finals in successive weekends the saracens and northampton players will be in bits.

[AlunB]

We need, as discussed previously, to be looking at NZ +30+ on the handicap for the first test, NZ 3-0 for the series etc etc if anyone offers any value when prices go up

http://www.rfu.com/news/2014/may/news-articles/260514_england_squad_nz?utm_source=Social&utm_medium=media&utm_campaign=2014

key areas, front row, fly half etc are going to be way below standard for that first test in under two weeks

Worth pointing out it says in that press release more players will be added from Saracens and Northampton following next weekend's Prem Final so that's very unlikely to be the full squad. Half the England side will be playing next weekend.

available from the second test onwards, but expect a lot of withdrawals. after heineken cup/amiln cup and aviva premiership finals in successive weekends the saracens and northampton players will be in bits.

Yeah don't disagree with your overall point, just thought worth pointing out if you are making series bets. Still likely to be a much stronger side for 2nd and 3rd tests. First test could well be a mauling.

[Tal]

Is it true the England football squad are flying out a day later than originally planned, because they want to watch Froch v Groves?

For all the panto, for all the nonsense and for all the media conveniently forgetting these two are a long way from the best fighter in the division, I'm getting uncomfortably interested in the result of this fight next weekend.

All the talk if you listen to the media is that it's a flip and that Groves has shown what an emerging talent he is. I really like Froch for this fight. His head was all over the place last time and he was far too eager to brawl with a younger, sharper man. He will be more inclined to keep his distance early this time and use his experience to quell the baying crowd for the first few rounds.

The ref has been the source of further dispute, with the initial choice, Jack Reiss, deemed a bit too strict for Froch's camp (we all know Froch has a tendency to get a little dirty when being hugged - granted, if the ref doesn't see it, it's not illegal). Incidentally, Groves objected to one of the judges chosen, so he's been replaced, too.

We now have Charlie Fitch, who won't be a household name to many of those watching. He's not known for Clattenburging, so is unlikely to be noticed as the two fighters (who don't like each other, apparently - not sure if anyone's mentioned that) go toe to toe.

Billy Mountain says it's 11/8 to go the distance. Neither of them will want to lose. Groves knows if he goes hard and ends up on his bum, his chances of getting a third go will be zero and his next title fight will be a while away. As for Froch, he has everything to lose and has to be smarter. McCracken in his corner will have spent the last three months getting him straighter and more controlled.

4/6 Froch isn't that enticing, but 11/8 for it to go to the final bell (in either direction) seems to be exactly what the bosses would love (the two great warriors embrace at the end, drained of all their energy and recognising how hard the other has fought. A truly great night in British sport...yada yada...) seems too big. I would have expected a shade over evens: 11/10 ish.

Thoughts from the boxing elders?

[sonour]

Is it true the England football squad are flying out a day later than originally planned, because they want to watch Froch v Groves?

For all the panto, for all the nonsense and for all the media conveniently forgetting these two are a long way from the best fighter in the division, I'm getting uncomfortably interested in the result of this fight next weekend.

All the talk if you listen to the media is that it's a flip and that Groves has shown what an emerging talent he is. I really like Froch for this fight. His head was all over the place last time and he was far too eager to brawl with a younger, sharper man. He will be more inclined to keep his distance early this time and use his experience to quell the baying crowd for the first few rounds.

The ref has been the source of further dispute, with the initial choice, Jack Reiss, deemed a bit too strict for Froch's camp (we all know Froch has a tendency to get a little dirty when being hugged - granted, if the ref doesn't see it, it's not illegal). Incidentally, Groves objected to one of the judges chosen, so he's been replaced, too.

We now have Charlie Fitch, who won't be a household name to many of those watching. He's not known for Clattenburging, so is unlikely to be noticed as the two fighters (who don't like each other, apparently - not sure if anyone's mentioned that) go toe to toe.

Billy Mountain says it's 11/8 to go the distance. Neither of them will want to lose. Groves knows if he goes hard and ends up on his bum, his chances of getting a third go will be zero and his next title fight will be a while away. As for Froch, he has everything to lose and has to be smarter. McCracken in his corner will have spent the last three months getting him straighter and more controlled.

4/6 Froch isn't that enticing, but 11/8 for it to go to the final bell (in either direction) seems to be exactly what the bosses would love (the two great warriors embrace at the end, drained of all their energy and recognising how hard the other has fought. A truly great night in British sport...yada yada...) seems too big. I would have expected a shade over evens: 11/10 ish.

Thoughts from the boxing elders?

Well hopefully I've got the correct fight and not one happening in 2017 but fight to go the distance yes is 2.7 with Bwin

http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/carl-froch-v-george-groves/will-fight-go-the-distance

[sonour]

Is it true the England football squad are flying out a day later than originally planned, because they want to watch Froch v Groves?

For all the panto, for all the nonsense and for all the media conveniently forgetting these two are a long way from the best fighter in the division, I'm getting uncomfortably interested in the result of this fight next weekend.

All the talk if you listen to the media is that it's a flip and that Groves has shown what an emerging talent he is. I really like Froch for this fight. His head was all over the place last time and he was far too eager to brawl with a younger, sharper man. He will be more inclined to keep his distance early this time and use his experience to quell the baying crowd for the first few rounds.

The ref has been the source of further dispute, with the initial choice, Jack Reiss, deemed a bit too strict for Froch's camp (we all know Froch has a tendency to get a little dirty when being hugged - granted, if the ref doesn't see it, it's not illegal). Incidentally, Groves objected to one of the judges chosen, so he's been replaced, too.

We now have Charlie Fitch, who won't be a household name to many of those watching. He's not known for Clattenburging, so is unlikely to be noticed as the two fighters (who don't like each other, apparently - not sure if anyone's mentioned that) go toe to toe.

Billy Mountain says it's 11/8 to go the distance. Neither of them will want to lose. Groves knows if he goes hard and ends up on his bum, his chances of getting a third go will be zero and his next title fight will be a while away. As for Froch, he has everything to lose and has to be smarter. McCracken in his corner will have spent the last three months getting him straighter and more controlled.

4/6 Froch isn't that enticing, but 11/8 for it to go to the final bell (in either direction) seems to be exactly what the bosses would love (the two great warriors embrace at the end, drained of all their energy and recognising how hard the other has fought. A truly great night in British sport...yada yada...) seems too big. I would have expected a shade over evens: 11/10 ish.

Thoughts from the boxing elders?

Well hopefully I've got the correct fight and not one happening in 2017 but fight to go the distance yes is 2.7 with Bwin

http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/carl-froch-v-george-groves/will-fight-go-the-distance

And 2.64 on Betfair

[Tal]

Is it true the England football squad are flying out a day later than originally planned, because they want to watch Froch v Groves?

For all the panto, for all the nonsense and for all the media conveniently forgetting these two are a long way from the best fighter in the division, I'm getting uncomfortably interested in the result of this fight next weekend.

All the talk if you listen to the media is that it's a flip and that Groves has shown what an emerging talent he is. I really like Froch for this fight. His head was all over the place last time and he was far too eager to brawl with a younger, sharper man. He will be more inclined to keep his distance early this time and use his experience to quell the baying crowd for the first few rounds.

The ref has been the source of further dispute, with the initial choice, Jack Reiss, deemed a bit too strict for Froch's camp (we all know Froch has a tendency to get a little dirty when being hugged - granted, if the ref doesn't see it, it's not illegal). Incidentally, Groves objected to one of the judges chosen, so he's been replaced, too.

We now have Charlie Fitch, who won't be a household name to many of those watching. He's not known for Clattenburging, so is unlikely to be noticed as the two fighters (who don't like each other, apparently - not sure if anyone's mentioned that) go toe to toe.

Billy Mountain says it's 11/8 to go the distance. Neither of them will want to lose. Groves knows if he goes hard and ends up on his bum, his chances of getting a third go will be zero and his next title fight will be a while away. As for Froch, he has everything to lose and has to be smarter. McCracken in his corner will have spent the last three months getting him straighter and more controlled.

4/6 Froch isn't that enticing, but 11/8 for it to go to the final bell (in either direction) seems to be exactly what the bosses would love (the two great warriors embrace at the end, drained of all their energy and recognising how hard the other has fought. A truly great night in British sport...yada yada...) seems too big. I would have expected a shade over evens: 11/10 ish.

Thoughts from the boxing elders?

Well hopefully I've got the correct fight and not one happening in 2017 but fight to go the distance yes is 2.7 with Bwin

http://www.oddschecker.com/boxing/carl-froch-v-george-groves/will-fight-go-the-distance

That's a good find. The Hill market is under Specials! Let's see what the boxing corries say. I'm just an enthusiast (and part time cynic).

Be careful if you're taking advantage of the BMU offer, where it will refund losing bets (as a free bet) if either fighter is knocked out, as it doesn't include TKO. I'm sure that's standard, but always worth knowing how good the offer is.