Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

Darts Dubai Masters starts in a few Hours, the Tournament thats played outdoors.
19mph winds forecast, last year 7/8 players went under on their averages with only Newton stopping a full house.
Seemingly it's only Bwin offering the averages which are in line with what they would be if played in a Stadium in the UK or Ireland.

I don't know how Freds fixed with Bwin but all 8 Players are value to go under and even if they have no wind it's still going to be nearly 40degrees and humid.
I think last year Fred went for singles when it was better advised to take 4folds, trebles and doubles.

thanks

They dont seem to lay doubles and up on this

Backed Taylor under as a single instead

[TightEnd]

Darts Dubai Masters starts in a few Hours, the Tournament thats played outdoors.
19mph winds forecast, last year 7/8 players went under on their averages with only Newton stopping a full house.
Seemingly it's only Bwin offering the averages which are in line with what they would be if played in a Stadium in the UK or Ireland.

I don't know how Freds fixed with Bwin but all 8 Players are value to go under and even if they have no wind it's still going to be nearly 40degrees and humid.
I think last year Fred went for singles when it was better advised to take 4folds, trebles and doubles.

i need some help with this please

i have all 8 players loaded on unders on bwin

on multiples am offered

either trebles or four folds, 56 or 70 bets on the 8 players

eg A 4/8 system consists of 70 bets which transpire from 8 picks -- seventy 4-pick multis (parlays). At least four of the eight picks must be correct to gain some winnings - the exact amount of the winnings depends on how many of the predictions prove correct

eg A 3/8 system consists of 56 bets which transpire from 8 picks -- fifty-six 3-pick multis (parlays). At least three of the eight picks must be correct to gain some winnings - the exact amount of the winnings depends on how many of the predictions prove correct.


so my questions

1. we know what happened last year, are averages quoted lower this year as a result?

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/dubai-masters

eg mvg under 101.5 at 1.8, wade under 97.5 at 1.6 etc etc

2. should we be doing trebles or four folds?

3. if not, which are the banker singles?

[arbboy]

word of caution on this.  BWIN have previous for feck ups like this on the snooker in the past and people doing huge multis and bwin voiding them all.  Think it was the world champs one year when they fecked up the 'will there be a century?' market in every game.  People did across the card multis on the side they were 'wrong' on and they voided them.

[horseplayer]

Yep they like to change the goalposts

May be best if the lines are to high just to back all the unders for £30 each? (or more on the most ool?
)

[tikay]

@ Tighty

I see first markets up for ABs v Eng. I expect ABs -19pts @ 10/11 should be to your liking. However, if you have the facility to get on with the NZ Tab (I don't), they offer ABs -16.5pts @ 1.87 which is even better obv. GL.
Links below:
http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/internationals/new-zealand-v-england/handicaps
https://www.tab.co.nz/sport/#4

thank you

Another two props went down just before the journey, so i make that 26 missing or injured and a possible first test team (with no warm up game) for Eden Park, a really rough venue to start at of

Brown; May, Tuilagi, Twelvetrees or Eastmond, Yarde; Burns, Care; Mullan, Webber, Wilson, Attwood, Launchbury, Johnson, Robshaw, Morgan.

Replacements: Ward, Gray, Thomas, Parling, Haskell, B Youngs, Cipriani, Pennell.


i think -15 to -20 is very generous.

tikay is away, and I won't place my own stuff (seems presumptious) but if he pops in and see it he can say yay or nay

Yay away, Rich.

How about £110 @ 10/11 Rich ?

We have been waiting for this bet for some time and when the cats away ...............

Lol, behave.

This looks a good spot for a £110 bet to me.

I had a bad dream - more a nightmare - last night. I dreamt that Tighty had tried to bet £600 on something for Fred.

Weird, the stuff we dream, eh?

[TightEnd]

I like a bet in tonight's Britains Got Talent.

Tonight is semi final 4 and there hasn't really been any surprises over the first three nights with all the favs safety going through. The way they have put the acts has meant the second going through each night has been pretty much known beforehand. Tonight however might be a bit different. Favs will probably sale through again as they are Simons golden buzzer act. But it's the "to reach the final" market that is quite interesting

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/britains-got-talent/britains-got-talent-semi-final-4/to-reach-final

Lettice Rowbotham and Light Balance

This should really be a coin flip, if anything I make Light Balance slight fav and was expecting to see them slightly odds on to qualify. When Ladbrokes went first at Evens I thought ok, acceptable for me, had my bet and thought nothing else of it. However a near full market has been form and you can see the difference of opinion throughout some odds on most odds against,market moving in favour of Lettice Rowbotham, however dear old Fred has priced up a juicy 6/4 for light Balance. Like I said this is probably more of a 50/50 as to who goes through. Of course all of this is my opinion and I would be interested in what others think if they have been watching.

Here are their original auditions

http://youtu.be/ZJpHP2Cv-T8

http://youtu.be/cZZM3bgmXE4

The format goes like this. Nine acts tonight, in the results show Top Three are announced. The one with the most public vote goes straight through and then the judges have one vote each to use on either of the next two acts, whoever gets the most votes goes through if it's a tie 2v2 them it goes back to the public.

Couple of other points, this is probably the toughest semi so far. Ant and Decs golden buzzer act is also in it but I really can't see him having a chance as he is a not very good impressionist. As well as this there is an ok singer but there are better singers already In the final so I cant see her winning or the judges putting her through, remember it's a talent show so they will not want the final full of singers and will need a variety, Lettice and Light Balance give that variety.  None of the other acts will have a chance. Also Light Balance are generally ahead of Lettice in the out rights ranging from 16-1 to 40-1 (33 on bf) whereas Lettice ranges from 28 to 66 (70 on bf)

http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/tv/s107/britains-got-talent/news/a574191/britains-got-talent-who-will-perform-in-tonights-semi-final.html#~oFELXB3SGgZ8ua

The only other thing that could swing this either way will be the running order, I expect Simons golden buzzer act to go last or second last, hopefully Light Balance will go on after Lettice. However I cannot seem to find out this information.

Recommend a modest £20 on Light Balance to reach the final.

tikay, enjoy Vegas, take some time off the thread.

Ommm, just spent 10 minutes on your you tube links

 I thought Lettice was much more likely to progress from audition to semi, and far more likely to qualify?

I mean she's good right. and once you've seen a few lads in bright lights dancing, what's next?

[tikay]

Yep they like to change the goalposts

May be best if the lines are to high just to back all the unders for £30 each? (or more on the most ool?
)

I know I'm Lord Nit, but personally, I prefer the singles. No gamble in me.

[TightEnd]

@ Tighty

I see first markets up for ABs v Eng. I expect ABs -19pts @ 10/11 should be to your liking. However, if you have the facility to get on with the NZ Tab (I don't), they offer ABs -16.5pts @ 1.87 which is even better obv. GL.
Links below:
http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/internationals/new-zealand-v-england/handicaps
https://www.tab.co.nz/sport/#4

thank you

Another two props went down just before the journey, so i make that 26 missing or injured and a possible first test team (with no warm up game) for Eden Park, a really rough venue to start at of

Brown; May, Tuilagi, Twelvetrees or Eastmond, Yarde; Burns, Care; Mullan, Webber, Wilson, Attwood, Launchbury, Johnson, Robshaw, Morgan.

Replacements: Ward, Gray, Thomas, Parling, Haskell, B Youngs, Cipriani, Pennell.


i think -15 to -20 is very generous.

tikay is away, and I won't place my own stuff (seems presumptious) but if he pops in and see it he can say yay or nay

Yay away, Rich.

How about £110 @ 10/11 Rich ?

We have been waiting for this bet for some time and when the cats away ...............

Lol, behave.

This looks a good spot for a £110 bet to me.

I had a bad dream - more a nightmare - last night. I dreamt that Tighty had tried to bet £600 on something for Fred.

Weird, the stuff we dream, eh?

I knew they wouldn't accept it, restricted

just going to wait for the Auckland meteorological 10 day forecasts to come through. don't want it really wet.

[tikay]

I like a bet in tonight's Britains Got Talent.

Tonight is semi final 4 and there hasn't really been any surprises over the first three nights with all the favs safety going through. The way they have put the acts has meant the second going through each night has been pretty much known beforehand. Tonight however might be a bit different. Favs will probably sale through again as they are Simons golden buzzer act. But it's the "to reach the final" market that is quite interesting

http://www.oddschecker.com/tv/britains-got-talent/britains-got-talent-semi-final-4/to-reach-final

Lettice Rowbotham and Light Balance

This should really be a coin flip, if anything I make Light Balance slight fav and was expecting to see them slightly odds on to qualify. When Ladbrokes went first at Evens I thought ok, acceptable for me, had my bet and thought nothing else of it. However a near full market has been form and you can see the difference of opinion throughout some odds on most odds against,market moving in favour of Lettice Rowbotham, however dear old Fred has priced up a juicy 6/4 for light Balance. Like I said this is probably more of a 50/50 as to who goes through. Of course all of this is my opinion and I would be interested in what others think if they have been watching.

Here are their original auditions

http://youtu.be/ZJpHP2Cv-T8

http://youtu.be/cZZM3bgmXE4

The format goes like this. Nine acts tonight, in the results show Top Three are announced. The one with the most public vote goes straight through and then the judges have one vote each to use on either of the next two acts, whoever gets the most votes goes through if it's a tie 2v2 them it goes back to the public.

Couple of other points, this is probably the toughest semi so far. Ant and Decs golden buzzer act is also in it but I really can't see him having a chance as he is a not very good impressionist. As well as this there is an ok singer but there are better singers already In the final so I cant see her winning or the judges putting her through, remember it's a talent show so they will not want the final full of singers and will need a variety, Lettice and Light Balance give that variety.  None of the other acts will have a chance. Also Light Balance are generally ahead of Lettice in the out rights ranging from 16-1 to 40-1 (33 on bf) whereas Lettice ranges from 28 to 66 (70 on bf)

http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/tv/s107/britains-got-talent/news/a574191/britains-got-talent-who-will-perform-in-tonights-semi-final.html#~oFELXB3SGgZ8ua

The only other thing that could swing this either way will be the running order, I expect Simons golden buzzer act to go last or second last, hopefully Light Balance will go on after Lettice. However I cannot seem to find out this information.

Recommend a modest £20 on Light Balance to reach the final.

tikay, enjoy Vegas, take some time off the thread.

Ommm, just spent 10 minutes on your you tube links

 I thought Lettice was much more likely to progress from audition to semi, and far more likely to qualify?

I mean she's good right. and once you've seen a few lads in bright lights dancing, what's next?

Body clock buggered.

Watched the NBA last night in the Sports Hall, Heat v Pacers (fantastic, but Lebron had a mare), went to my room & fell asleep @ 8.30pm. Woke up at 3am, been up since then. Trying to do a Blog, & some Tourney Reports, to tell people how I'm crushing everything.

Can someone explain "fouled out" (in NBA, as per Lebron last night) please?

Do the NBA players never argue with the referees? I never saw any arguments, or lack of respect for the Refs.

[TightEnd]

Yep they like to change the goalposts

May be best if the lines are to high just to back all the unders for £30 each? (or more on the most ool?
)

Lewis U97.5 1.85
RVB U97.5 2.02

Whitlock U95.5 1.85
Chisnall U94.5 1.7

Taylor U101.5  1.7
Wright U97.5  2.02

MVG U101.5 1.85
Wade U97.5 1.6

Which are the stand outs?

[horseplayer]

No idea sorry

If i remember correctly and the setup is the same as last year then they are all to high?

[Marky147]

Yep they like to change the goalposts

May be best if the lines are to high just to back all the unders for £30 each? (or more on the most ool?
)

Lewis U97.5 1.85
RVB U97.5 2.02

Whitlock U95.5 1.85
Chisnall U94.5 1.7

Taylor U101.5  1.7
Wright U97.5  2.02

MVG U101.5 1.85
Wade U97.5 1.6

Which are the stand outs?

As Fred Cornetto, I've done an acca

Barney <97.5
Chisnall <95.5
Taylor  <101.5
MVG    <101.5

[sonour]

Oh my word.

I just went into my local PP shop and neither of the two staff on there know me.

It's almost as good as getting a brand new Bet365 account.

[GreekWay]

FAO TK about a player fouled out:

Each player in the NBA is allowed to do 6 personal fouls. If they commit 6 personal fouls, they are "fouled out" which basically means they are out of the game. The equivalent of a red card in football.

In you complain in-play for the referees decisions you get a technical foul which is a free throw to the opponent. I think technical fouls in the NBA don't count as personal fouls. In Europe they definitely count as personals. If you comment on the referee's decision post match you get a fine also. Paul George was fined $25k for critisising ref's decisions after game 4 against the Heat.

In the NBA you get a fine for every technical foul you commit. If you commit 16 technicals during the season you get a one match ban. For every two additional technical fouls received during that regular season, the player or coach will be automatically suspended for an additional game.

[sonour]

@ Tighty

I see first markets up for ABs v Eng. I expect ABs -19pts @ 10/11 should be to your liking. However, if you have the facility to get on with the NZ Tab (I don't), they offer ABs -16.5pts @ 1.87 which is even better obv. GL.
Links below:
http://www.oddschecker.com/rugby-union/internationals/new-zealand-v-england/handicaps
https://www.tab.co.nz/sport/#4

thank you

Another two props went down just before the journey, so i make that 26 missing or injured and a possible first test team (with no warm up game) for Eden Park, a really rough venue to start at of

Brown; May, Tuilagi, Twelvetrees or Eastmond, Yarde; Burns, Care; Mullan, Webber, Wilson, Attwood, Launchbury, Johnson, Robshaw, Morgan.

Replacements: Ward, Gray, Thomas, Parling, Haskell, B Youngs, Cipriani, Pennell.


i think -15 to -20 is very generous.

tikay is away, and I won't place my own stuff (seems presumptious) but if he pops in and see it he can say yay or nay

Yay away, Rich.

How about £110 @ 10/11 Rich ?

We have been waiting for this bet for some time and when the cats away ...............

Lol, behave.

This looks a good spot for a £110 bet to me.

I had a bad dream - more a nightmare - last night. I dreamt that Tighty had tried to bet £600 on something for Fred.

Weird, the stuff we dream, eh?

I knew they wouldn't accept it, restricted

just going to wait for the Auckland meteorological 10 day forecasts to come through. don't want it really wet.

Let me know if you want me to get on for you.