Tips for Tikay

[Tal]

Can someone explain maths wise why England are still 30.0 on bf for the WC?  They were close to 1/2 to qualify pre event and are now evens to qualify.  Sure there is a simple answer as it doesn't make sense from the outside looking in?  Is it because Spain lost and their potential draw deeper into the event is potentially easier now?

Is it just national bias? The sheer weight of tenners?

[arbboy]

that national bias existed before though pre event so shouldn't really explain this situation.

[mulhuzz]

that national bias existed before though pre event so shouldn't really explain this situation.

unless people thnk the 'great eng display' in combo with brazil not looking good and spain being torn apart justifies it..

[hector62]

Querrey beats Edmund  7 - 6    6 - 3

[Nico29]

Can someone explain maths wise why England are still 30.0 on bf for the WC?  They were close to 1/2 to qualify pre event and are now evens to qualify.  Sure there is a simple answer as it doesn't make sense from the outside looking in?  Is it because Spain lost and their potential draw deeper into the event is potentially easier now?

Muller thrice

sorry hope you lumped on Nico

Arbboy I agree I thought they'd have drifted.

Just guessing but would assume partly because Uruguay are clearly worse than ppl thought-but we have still drifted to qualify.

Also guessing but maybe the Spain thing whilst added to the positivity largely over the performance on the whole.


Oh and Horsey yep I lumped on.

After timing quite strangely too, but lumped on unders too.

Took some of the shine off but it's still Champers more than bud in the Nico household tonight!

[arbboy]

my point is we are evens to qualify now and 30 to win it.  Therefore if we qualify we are 14/1 to win the WC before round 2 on average assuming all other things being equal.  Pre event we were roughly 30 to win and 1/2 to qualfy therefore an 18-20/1 shot to win it if we qualified. 

Given every jolly has pretty much hosed up apart from Spain the last 16 is potentially looking tougher on average than it should be yet England are now more likely to win it all if we get through the group stage.  Makes no sense to me at all.

[horseplayer]

great stuff nico well done

[claypole]

Eminke starts and Betevery day have pushed him out to 13/2 - I am backing him at that price

Also, for those with Unibet, 32Red or 888 4/1 plus Moses anytime I think is big.  Just genuinely cant be sure on penalties; he took penalty v Malawi when Emineke started - so on that basis you would think he is on them however Nigeria are mental.  Think he is a bet at 4/1 plus tho

[claypole]

Obv 365 have the bore draw back up as well which makes the 13/2 even better

[TightEnd]

Eminke starts and Betevery day have pushed him out to 13/2 - I am backing him at that price

Also, for those with Unibet, 32Red or 888 4/1 plus Moses anytime I think is big.  Just genuinely cant be sure on penalties; he took penalty v Malawi when Emineke started - so on that basis you would think he is on them however Nigeria are mental.  Think he is a bet at 4/1 plus tho

ok i have done Emenike fgs £15.77 (maxed) at 13/2 b365, bfsb was in at 5-1

Moses we don't have the three firms you mention, i can only get 7/2 in one place


i still have to use the £25 betfair sportsbook free bet by 9am. i will take an executive decision if nothing is forthcoming (toomore is 2 points off best price on bfsb)

[millidonk]

Few people on twitter trying to do a coup to get Mikel MOTM by ramping votes on twitter.

10s in some places, down to 3/1 with VC.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/iran-v-nigeria/fifa-man-of-the-match

Make sure to vote in the match.

[TightEnd]

how do you vote?

this is for FIFA MOTM?

[Chompy]

Ryan Moore tomorrow.

Producer 50-1
Justice Good 16-1
Guerre 11-1
Toormore 10-1
Lieutenant Miller 10-1
Merdon Castle 7-1

47% - a combined 5-4 shot approx.

Ryan Moore Wednesday.

Parbold 16-1
Dangerous Moonlite 10-1
Dank 12-1
Integral 3-1
Queensberry Rules 16-1
Psychometry 12-1

62% - a combined 4-6 shot approx.

Someone wants the best part of a bag at 3.05 on Betty. If we're up for a proper Ascot gamble, we should probably be accomodating a good chunk of it.

Richard Hughes Tuesday.

Toranado Evens
Kool Kompany 10-1
Sole Power 5-1
Night Of Thunder 5-2
Gabrials King 25-1
Among Angels 12-1

115%

Richard Hughes Wednesday

Musical Comedy 12-1
Tiggy Wiggy 4-1
No ride
Sky Lantern 3-1
Sea Shanty 16-1
Feedyah 12-1

67%

[millidonk]

how do you vote?

this is for FIFA MOTM?

fifa website or fifa world cup app apparently

[arbboy]

Ryan Moore tomorrow.

Producer 50-1
Justice Good 16-1
Guerre 11-1
Toormore 10-1
Lieutenant Miller 10-1
Merdon Castle 7-1

47% - a combined 5-4 shot approx.

Ryan Moore Wednesday.

Parbold 16-1
Dangerous Moonlite 10-1
Dank 12-1
Integral 3-1
Queensberry Rules 16-1
Psychometry 12-1

62% - a combined 4-6 shot approx.

Someone wants the best part of a bag at 3.05 on Betty. If we're up for a proper Ascot gamble, we should probably be accomodating a good chunk of it.

Richard Hughes Tuesday.

Toranado Evens
Kool Kompany 10-1
Sole Power 5-1
Night Of Thunder 5-2
Gabrials King 25-1
Among Angels 12-1

115%

Richard Hughes Wednesday

Musical Comedy 12-1
Tiggy Wiggy 4-1
No ride
Sky Lantern 3-1
Sea Shanty 16-1
Feedyah 12-1

67%

what are tiebreaker rules?  2nds then 3rd etc?