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horseplayer
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« Reply #81000 on: June 21, 2014, 01:24:05 PM » |
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Referees have been noticeably reluctant to get the cards out so far in the WC.
Average yellow cards per game is 2.73 and red 0.19 (vs 4.15/0.26 in 1st/2nd rnd group games 2002/10).
Result of this is that there is much more chance of bookings supremacy ending in a tie - 10 out of 26 matches tied so far, against 22 from 96 2002/10.
BetEveryDay seem to have adjusted as a result but not everyone has.
Suggest the following bets next couple of days :
Germany/Ghana Tied Booking Points £20@15/4 Lads
Nigeria/Bosnia Tied Booking Points £20@18/5 Lads (4/1 available Sky for those that can get on)
Belgium/Russia Tied Booking Points £20 @ 17/5 WH (7/2 Sky)
S Korea/Algeria Tied Booking Points £20 @ 18/5 WH (4/1 Sky)
USA/Portugal Tied Booking Points £20 @ 18/5 WH
Have left Argentina/Iran as a one-sided match should mean less chance of a tie.
Only done this market this week, so happy for someone to pick it apart.
great post looks a classic example of someone do more work on a market than the bookies and taking advantage of new conditions before they do. If anything we should be outlaying a bit more? |
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arbboy
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« Reply #81001 on: June 21, 2014, 01:26:45 PM » |
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Referees have been noticeably reluctant to get the cards out so far in the WC.
Average yellow cards per game is 2.73 and red 0.19 (vs 4.15/0.26 in 1st/2nd rnd group games 2002/10).
Result of this is that there is much more chance of bookings supremacy ending in a tie - 10 out of 26 matches tied so far, against 22 from 96 2002/10.
BetEveryDay seem to have adjusted as a result but not everyone has.
Suggest the following bets next couple of days :
Germany/Ghana Tied Booking Points £20@15/4 Lads
Nigeria/Bosnia Tied Booking Points £20@18/5 Lads (4/1 available Sky for those that can get on)
Belgium/Russia Tied Booking Points £20 @ 17/5 WH (7/2 Sky)
S Korea/Algeria Tied Booking Points £20 @ 18/5 WH (4/1 Sky)
USA/Portugal Tied Booking Points £20 @ 18/5 WH
Have left Argentina/Iran as a one-sided match should mean less chance of a tie.
Only done this market this week, so happy for someone to pick it apart.
Great info. Very similar to darts draws this spot. Only thing to be careful about is the distribution of expected bookings between 1st round of group games and 2nd/3rd. Goals are usually lower (obv not the case this year but small sample size) in first round of games than 2nd and 3rd. Logically you might expect bookings to be the same. Not got confirmed stats on this just logical thinking. |
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« Last Edit: June 21, 2014, 01:29:19 PM by arbboy »
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sonour
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« Reply #81002 on: June 21, 2014, 01:30:11 PM » |
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Referees have been noticeably reluctant to get the cards out so far in the WC.
Average yellow cards per game is 2.73 and red 0.19 (vs 4.15/0.26 in 1st/2nd rnd group games 2002/10).
Result of this is that there is much more chance of bookings supremacy ending in a tie - 10 out of 26 matches tied so far, against 22 from 96 2002/10.
BetEveryDay seem to have adjusted as a result but not everyone has.
Suggest the following bets next couple of days :
Germany/Ghana Tied Booking Points £20@15/4 Lads
Nigeria/Bosnia Tied Booking Points £20@18/5 Lads (4/1 available Sky for those that can get on)
Belgium/Russia Tied Booking Points £20 @ 17/5 WH (7/2 Sky)
S Korea/Algeria Tied Booking Points £20 @ 18/5 WH (4/1 Sky)
USA/Portugal Tied Booking Points £20 @ 18/5 WH
Have left Argentina/Iran as a one-sided match should mean less chance of a tie.
Only done this market this week, so happy for someone to pick it apart.
Very good. Thank you. |
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jakally
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« Reply #81003 on: June 21, 2014, 01:34:51 PM » |
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Referees have been noticeably reluctant to get the cards out so far in the WC.
Average yellow cards per game is 2.73 and red 0.19 (vs 4.15/0.26 in 1st/2nd rnd group games 2002/10).
Result of this is that there is much more chance of bookings supremacy ending in a tie - 10 out of 26 matches tied so far, against 22 from 96 2002/10.
BetEveryDay seem to have adjusted as a result but not everyone has.
Suggest the following bets next couple of days :
Germany/Ghana Tied Booking Points £20@15/4 Lads
Nigeria/Bosnia Tied Booking Points £20@18/5 Lads (4/1 available Sky for those that can get on)
Belgium/Russia Tied Booking Points £20 @ 17/5 WH (7/2 Sky)
S Korea/Algeria Tied Booking Points £20 @ 18/5 WH (4/1 Sky)
USA/Portugal Tied Booking Points £20 @ 18/5 WH
Have left Argentina/Iran as a one-sided match should mean less chance of a tie.
Only done this market this week, so happy for someone to pick it apart.
Great info. Very similar to darts draws this spot. Only thing to be careful about is the distribution of expected bookings between 1st round of group games and 2nd/3rd. Goals are usually lower (obv not the case this year but small sample size) in first round of games than 2nd and 3rd. Logically you might expect bookings to be the same. Not got confirmed stats on this just logical thinking. Intended to be wary of 3rd round games as they play significantly different to first two. |
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Karabiner
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« Reply #81004 on: June 21, 2014, 02:22:51 PM » |
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Blimey! What price would a Williams front row have been?
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"Golf is deceptively simple and endlessly complicated. It satisfies the soul and frustrates the intellect. It is at the same time maddening and rewarding and it is without a doubt the greatest game that mankind has ever invented." - Arnold Palmer aka The King.
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Chompy
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« Reply #81005 on: June 21, 2014, 02:24:45 PM » |
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Still no yellow hat for Maj. Punters LIVID.
It would take a very pacific bunch of results for Ryan not to win top jockey, and 2/5 is too big for would-be money-buyers.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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Doobs
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« Reply #81006 on: June 21, 2014, 02:27:08 PM » |
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Blimey! What price would a Williams front row have been?
Come on Bottas. Surge to the title. The tyhread formula 1 results need it. |
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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TightEnd
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« Reply #81007 on: June 21, 2014, 02:27:53 PM » |
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Referees have been noticeably reluctant to get the cards out so far in the WC.
Average yellow cards per game is 2.73 and red 0.19 (vs 4.15/0.26 in 1st/2nd rnd group games 2002/10).
Result of this is that there is much more chance of bookings supremacy ending in a tie - 10 out of 26 matches tied so far, against 22 from 96 2002/10.
BetEveryDay seem to have adjusted as a result but not everyone has.
Suggest the following bets next couple of days :
Germany/Ghana Tied Booking Points £20@15/4 Lads
Nigeria/Bosnia Tied Booking Points £20@18/5 Lads (4/1 available Sky for those that can get on)
Belgium/Russia Tied Booking Points £20 @ 17/5 WH (7/2 Sky)
S Korea/Algeria Tied Booking Points £20 @ 18/5 WH (4/1 Sky)
USA/Portugal Tied Booking Points £20 @ 18/5 WH
Have left Argentina/Iran as a one-sided match should mean less chance of a tie.
Only done this market this week, so happy for someone to pick it apart.
15/4 Tie Germany v Ghana Singles - Most Booking Points 1 line @ £20.00 per line Total Stake £20.00 Potential Return £95.00 Receipt No: O/142640973/0000631 18/5 Tie Nigeria v Bosnia Herzegovina Singles - Most Booking Points 1 line @ £20.00 per line Total Stake £20.00 Potential Return £92.00 22 Jun 2014 - Belgium v Russia - Most Booking Points Tip It Draw @ 17/5 Stake : £20.00 Estimated Returns : £ 88.00 Transaction Reference: O/0457483/0001006/F Single 22 Jun 2014 - South Korea v Algeria - Most Booking Points Tip It Draw @ 18/5 Stake : £20.00 Estimated Returns : £ 92.00 Transaction Reference: O/0457483/0001007/F Single 22 Jun 2014 - USA v Portugal - Most Booking Points Tip It Draw @ 18/5 Stake : £20.00 Estimated Returns : £ 92.00 Transaction Reference: O/0457483/0001008/F |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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TightEnd
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« Reply #81008 on: June 21, 2014, 02:29:16 PM » |
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F1 Qualifying was good for our bets
Hulkenberg in the top 10
Kvyat in the top 10
Maldonado in Q2, competitors in Q3
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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Doobs
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« Reply #81009 on: June 21, 2014, 02:34:15 PM » |
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Tighty.
I have changed m mind having just looked at the last race at Ascot. So many bad horses in that race. Tiger Cliff is fine for the Hills offer.
Will have to leave the other Hills bet for now. Kids getting restless.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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Chompy
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« Reply #81010 on: June 21, 2014, 02:35:29 PM » |
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Don't normally like racing specials but...
Ryan's rides today are:
6/1
5/2
3/1
2/1
20/1
7/1
He's 7/2 with 888 to ride two or more winners. Rec £20 at that price.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
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Peter-27
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« Reply #81011 on: June 21, 2014, 02:37:10 PM » |
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Blimey! What price would a Williams front row have been?
Massa was 40/1 for pole with 3 minutes to go - I so nearly placed a bet but decided against it!! :-( Blimey! What price would a Williams front row have been?
Come on Bottas. Surge to the title. The tyhread formula 1 results need it. Not gonna happen, sorry. Mercedes will still quite comfortably get a 1-2 in this race probably  |
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TightEnd
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« Reply #81012 on: June 21, 2014, 02:38:06 PM » |
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Don't normally like racing specials but...
Ryan's rides today are:
6/1
5/2
3/1
2/1
20/1
7/1
He's 7/2 with 888 to ride two or more winners. Rec £20 at that price.
sorry don't have 888 anywhere else? |
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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TightEnd
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« Reply #81013 on: June 21, 2014, 02:39:28 PM » |
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horsey don't you want to put don't bother me up on here?
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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horseplayer
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« Reply #81014 on: June 21, 2014, 02:40:33 PM » |
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horsey don't you want to put don't bother me up on here?
go on then quite like it but big handicaps never treat me to well £10 each way will do thanks |
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