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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13412365 times)
arbboy
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« Reply #81090 on: June 22, 2014, 12:05:34 PM »

One for jaffa or other NBA diehards to pass his/their views on if you wouldn't mind.

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/derek-fisher/to-win-a-championship

This isn't a bet for fred as it could potentially take 10/15/20 years to win however it's a truely incredible price.  Fisher is going to be an nba head coach for years and years you would have to assume having retired as a player this season and having won a collection of championships over his career as a solid role player.  His team (NY Knicks) next year are only a 40/1 shot with ladbrokes to win the NBA.  He has a 5 year contract to coach the Knicks under the guidance of the greatest coach in history Phil Jackson (so its highly likely fisher sees out this contract) who is now the general manager of the Knicks and won 6 titles with Jordan and the Bulls and 3 more with Kobe and Shaq at LA.  It's highly unlikely the knicks will not improve dramatically as a team in the next 5 years (they have huge salary cap issues next season which will finish for the following season and they will be able to rebuild their roster to championship level) and therefore won't be anywhere close to a 50/1 shot to win the NBA esp as they are in the very weak Eastern conference.  Even if we assume the knicks are a 50/1 (2%) shot in each of the next 5 years for the nba that obv equates to 10% or 9/1.  This is pretty much the worse case scenario.  So we are getting the right price for the bet easily within the next 5 years and then have a total freeroll on fisher potentially coaching for the next 20 years in the nba.

http://www.oddschecker.com/basketball/nba/kevin-durant/50-points-in-a-game

This looks max bet for me jaffa.  KD had a 50 point game in each of the last 3 seasons and is still improving towards his natural physical peak.  Hard to see how he doesn't have a 50 point game again next season as he is the purest scorer in the NBA since Jordan and has led the league in scoring virtually every season since he has become a true superstar.

Last season he had individual game totals of 48, 48, 54, 46, 51
« Last Edit: June 22, 2014, 12:31:16 PM by arbboy » Logged
Doobs
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« Reply #81091 on: June 22, 2014, 12:08:59 PM »

Saw that Wozniacki price long gone.  Don't think 66-1 cuts it.

However - Casey Dellacqua played a couple of very strong matches the last week or so on grass, including a win against Stosur.  Powerful Australian player.  I was somewhat surprised to see a massive 500-1.  Has Radwanska in the 2nd round, but she's beatable on current form.

Recommend £2.50 each way at 500-1.  If she beats Radwanska the price will plummet. 

Doubles player, so good volleys assured.

easier said than done

b365 10p each way max

pp 39p each way max

boyle and stan j no go

do you want me to take 300-1?

1000/1 on Betfair.  Sure we can lay off if she gets near the final.  I took a tenner, still £32 left.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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« Reply #81092 on: June 22, 2014, 12:11:31 PM »

thank you

 Placed (matched)
Back (Bet For)    Odds    Stake    Profit
Womens Tournament
Casey Dellacqua Winner    1000    £5.00    
£4,995.00
Ref: 38551941074M Matched: 11:50 22-Jun-14

we'll take a look if she beats radwanska
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« Reply #81093 on: June 22, 2014, 01:04:48 PM »

Edin was at least 5 yards off imo Smiley

Much better from the super eagles last night Keshi is a good coach and the performance against Iran does not look as bad now as it did then
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« Reply #81094 on: June 22, 2014, 01:14:52 PM »

Totesport are 2-1 Serena Williams for Wimbledon, £25 max.  Beats betfair easily

Edit.  Limited time only.
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« Reply #81095 on: June 22, 2014, 02:06:16 PM »

There's another solution to the offside 'problem'

Why don't we just accept that refs and linesman are human, make occasional 'mistakes' like everyone does, and get on with the effing game!!
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Kmac84
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« Reply #81096 on: June 22, 2014, 02:15:23 PM »

There's another solution to the offside 'problem'

Why don't we just accept that refs and linesman are human, make occasional 'mistakes' like everyone does, and get on with the effing game!!

Beause these occasional mistakes happen far too often and can be the difference between winning big and going home empty handed, for some teams it might mean the end of a World Cup following 4 years of preparation and hard work.

It is totally unnacetptable that the biggest sport in the world lags so far behind other sports such as NFL/NBA/Cricket/Tennis/Snooker etc in the technology stakes. 
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TightEnd
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« Reply #81097 on: June 22, 2014, 02:57:22 PM »

There's another solution to the offside 'problem'

Why don't we just accept that refs and linesman are human, make occasional 'mistakes' like everyone does, and get on with the effing game!!

Because rugby union, rugby league, cricket, nfl etc have shown that you can use technology to eliminate human error officials mistakes entirely?

surely not beyond the wit of man to do it in football too, goal line technology is a start. offside should be next
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« Reply #81098 on: June 22, 2014, 02:58:16 PM »

Totesport are 2-1 Serena Williams for Wimbledon, £25 max.  Beats betfair easily

Edit.  Limited time only.

no money in totesport. do betfred have it?
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« Reply #81099 on: June 22, 2014, 03:10:35 PM »

I missed the Wozniaki bet

"I also want a bet in the fourth quarter where second seed Li Na and former champion Petra Kvitova reside.

Li has never been beyond the last eight in SW19, while Kvitova arrives under an injury cloud (hamstring). Even if she's fine, the Czech is notorious for drifting in matches - few players play as many three-setters as she does - and I wouldn't be surprised to see someone get the better of her before the business end of proceedings.

That person could be Sloane Stephens, who has performed well here before.

Last year the young American made the quarter-finals where she was competitive in a ding-dong battle with eventual champion Marion Bartoli.

In 2012 it took grass specialist Lisicki to halt her run in the last 32.

Stephens has made a habit of stepping up at the big tournaments - her last six Grand Slams have brought results as follows: R4-R4-R4-QF-R4-SF. That's impressive from a 21-year-old and I'll take her to win the quarter at 8/1."

from a betting column, because i have been searching the bottom half of the draw for opportunities because the make up of the market is so skewed

http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/womens/womens-wimbledon/player-to-win-4th-quarter

is wozniacki at 9-1 any value to beat the top three here, and win the quarter?
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« Reply #81100 on: June 22, 2014, 03:11:04 PM »

There's another solution to the offside 'problem'

Why don't we just accept that refs and linesman are human, make occasional 'mistakes' like everyone does, and get on with the effing game!!

Because rugby union, rugby league, cricket, nfl etc have shown that you can use technology to eliminate human error officials mistakes entirely?

surely not beyond the wit of man to do it in football too, goal line technology is a start. offside should be next

are you surely there is no errors in them sports with tv cameras Huh?? cricket is full of errors with the review system and even those that do get reviewed alot are suspect
rugby the clock gets stopped for a cpl of minutes at a time while umpires review and even then it not 100%
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« Reply #81101 on: June 22, 2014, 03:15:46 PM »

who on earth is going to win SPOTY?

http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/winner

going down the list

Hamilton might lose the F1WDC to Rosberg and is still favourite

Will froome beat contador to the TdeF?

Murray unlikely, imo, to win Wimbledon again

mcilroy needs to win the open to win it, same for any golfer? ryder cup though

Froch? the general voting public will have forgotten by Dec. takes an exceptional boxer to win it, if not on terrestial tv

wilkinson more likely to get a lifetime achievement thing

nothing from the world cup, no big cricket, no big rugby

commonwealth games, maybe


http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/winner 


my question is who is the value here and now?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #81102 on: June 22, 2014, 03:19:21 PM »

There's another solution to the offside 'problem'

Why don't we just accept that refs and linesman are human, make occasional 'mistakes' like everyone does, and get on with the effing game!!

Because rugby union, rugby league, cricket, nfl etc have shown that you can use technology to eliminate human error officials mistakes entirely?

surely not beyond the wit of man to do it in football too, goal line technology is a start. offside should be next

are you surely there is no errors in them sports with tv cameras Huh?? cricket is full of errors with the review system and even those that do get reviewed alot are suspect
rugby the clock gets stopped for a cpl of minutes at a time while umpires review and even then it not 100%

in all these sports the refrain before technology in all of them was "it will slow down the game and spoil it"

almost immediately these concerns are forgotten once the technology is introduced (add in hawkeye for tennis, and replaying points if necessary. lots of concerns beforehand but works perfectly)

cricket technology requires a "predictive path" and is flawless, once accepted as a playing condition of the game

for offside, the technology is perfect, we see it several times a game. freeze a frame, draw a line and there you go...no predictive path, no assumptions, right there in front of you
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« Reply #81103 on: June 22, 2014, 03:25:45 PM »

who on earth is going to win SPOTY?

http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/winner

going down the list

Hamilton might lose the F1WDC to Rosberg and is still favourite

Will froome beat contador to the TdeF?

Murray unlikely, imo, to win Wimbledon again

mcilroy needs to win the open to win it, same for any golfer? ryder cup though

Froch? the general voting public will have forgotten by Dec. takes an exceptional boxer to win it, if not on terrestial tv

wilkinson more likely to get a lifetime achievement thing

nothing from the world cup, no big cricket, no big rugby

commonwealth games, maybe


http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/winner 


my question is who is the value here and now?


Looks ripe for an upset or something left field

Who i have no idea
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TheDazzler
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« Reply #81104 on: June 22, 2014, 03:28:37 PM »

who on earth is going to win SPOTY?

http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/winner

going down the list

Hamilton might lose the F1WDC to Rosberg and is still favourite

Will froome beat contador to the TdeF?

Murray unlikely, imo, to win Wimbledon again

mcilroy needs to win the open to win it, same for any golfer? ryder cup though

Froch? the general voting public will have forgotten by Dec. takes an exceptional boxer to win it, if not on terrestial tv

wilkinson more likely to get a lifetime achievement thing

nothing from the world cup, no big cricket, no big rugby

commonwealth games, maybe


http://www.oddschecker.com/awards/sports-personality-of-the-year/winner 


my question is who is the value here and now?


A Commonwealth games 'big winner' I guess. Mo Farah?
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