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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16554959 times)
Dubai
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« Reply #88035 on: October 02, 2014, 12:06:22 PM »

Put your wellies on Tighty cos you're going knee deep (well as deep as they let you)

Wellbeck top arsenal league scorer @11/4 VC. £400. Wouldn't want to lay 6/4- looks a 2 horse race with Sanchez who is 1 goal clear of Danny but is gonna be out on left majority of the time. Ramsay is a nr at 5/2 and should be 8/1+. Obv a stale price, would expect it to be 5/4 Super Danny 6/4 Sanchez 8/1 bar

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/arsenal/top-league-goalscorer
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TightEnd
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« Reply #88036 on: October 02, 2014, 12:10:40 PM »

Single Selections

Arsenal Premier League Top Goalscorer - 2014/15 Danny Welbeck (Outright - Outright) Odds: 11/4 Stake: 200.00 Possible Return:  750.00

this was not restricted

I couldn't really do £400, much as it would have pleased me, because part of my aim is for tikay not to re-deposit and to keep working capital in each account etc etc
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Tal
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« Reply #88037 on: October 02, 2014, 12:17:38 PM »

14/1 Joel Campbell? What are they thinking? More chance of Ali Campbell!
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« Reply #88038 on: October 02, 2014, 12:18:51 PM »

Put your wellies on Tighty cos you're going knee deep (well as deep as they let you)

Wellbeck top arsenal league scorer @11/4 VC. £400. Wouldn't want to lay 6/4- looks a 2 horse race with Sanchez who is 1 goal clear of Danny but is gonna be out on left majority of the time. Ramsay is a nr at 5/2 and should be 8/1+. Obv a stale price, would expect it to be 5/4 Super Danny 6/4 Sanchez 8/1 bar

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/football-specials/arsenal/top-league-goalscorer

This is obviously a great bet and I was thinking of getting involved in a few bets around him myself (not this I cant get on) but do you think he will be a first choice starter when Giroud is back?  I think he is probably value for top league scorer etc but if he isnt going to start it could turn into an awful bet.....
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Dubai
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« Reply #88039 on: October 02, 2014, 12:26:43 PM »

Yes. And if he isn't it's because the bet is in terrible shape already ie he has flopped. Be odds on in 5 games
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« Reply #88040 on: October 02, 2014, 12:39:04 PM »

Seems conflicting info when Ramsay will be back

Recent evidence suggests the longer estimate with Arsenal injuries is always a better bet

Looks a great bet shame with veeeceee
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TightEnd
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« Reply #88041 on: October 02, 2014, 12:40:03 PM »

are you going to be on hand for the e/w FGS markets England v San Marino, Estonia Dubai?

I see a price out there of 13/8 for England to score 10+ in the two games combined, so presumably we can get stuck into 5/2 3/1 4/1 FGS e/w etc?
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« Reply #88042 on: October 02, 2014, 12:42:06 PM »

are you going to be on hand for the e/w FGS markets England v San Marino, Estonia Dubai?

I see a price out there of 13/8 for England to score 10+ in the two games combined, so presumably we can get stuck into 5/2 3/1 4/1 FGS e/w etc?

Are there any strikers left?

May we assume The New Charlie Nicholas will be "nursing a knock sustained in training" for at least one of those matches?
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Tal
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« Reply #88043 on: October 02, 2014, 12:55:26 PM »

When do player markets go up for the weekend's NFL games?

Have a view on some rushing markets in Carolina v Chicago, but the longer the wait, the more likely the odds compilers will be pricing stuff up correctly.
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« Reply #88044 on: October 02, 2014, 12:57:01 PM »

When do player markets go up for the weekend's NFL games?

Have a view on some rushing markets in Carolina v Chicago, but the longer the wait, the more likely the odds compilers will be pricing stuff up correctly.

the day before at the earliest for uk bookmakers
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Tal
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« Reply #88045 on: October 02, 2014, 01:01:26 PM »

When do player markets go up for the weekend's NFL games?

Have a view on some rushing markets in Carolina v Chicago, but the longer the wait, the more likely the odds compilers will be pricing stuff up correctly.

the day before at the earliest for uk bookmakers

No problem. Will try to remember on Saturday.
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« Reply #88046 on: October 02, 2014, 01:02:16 PM »

In the Championship this weekend sees a home team at 3.6 on betfair vs a team at 2.14.
The home team have a home record this season of 1-2-2 scoring 6, conceding 8.
The losses were a 0-2 to Derby and a 1-2 to Middlesborough, two of the top 5 most likely to go up this season as per oddschecker.
The away team has an away record of 1-2-2 only beating Huddersfield away 4-0.

Already, the price for a home team at 3.6 looks big to me, factor in the above and that it's a 7 points team vs a 12 points team, how are they 3.6?

Bolton vs Bournemouth.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #88047 on: October 02, 2014, 01:02:22 PM »

are you going to be on hand for the e/w FGS markets England v San Marino, Estonia Dubai?

I see a price out there of 13/8 for England to score 10+ in the two games combined, so presumably we can get stuck into 5/2 3/1 4/1 FGS e/w etc?

Are there any strikers left?

May we assume The New Charlie Nicholas will be "nursing a knock sustained in training" for at least one of those matches?

 Click to see full-size image.


don't think Welbeck or Rooney are going to be rested from either game, assuming DW makes it through this weekend
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Tal
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« Reply #88048 on: October 02, 2014, 01:03:40 PM »

Is that a typo?

(In before someone says "no, andros really is in the squad")

Welbeck plays for United. Watch out for the bookies refusing to pay out on top gooner...
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TightEnd
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« Reply #88049 on: October 02, 2014, 01:11:57 PM »

In the Championship this weekend sees a home team at 3.6 on betfair vs a team at 2.14.
The home team have a home record this season of 1-2-2 scoring 6, conceding 8.
The losses were a 0-2 to Derby and a 1-2 to Middlesborough, two of the top 5 most likely to go up this season as per oddschecker.
The away team has an away record of 1-2-2 only beating Huddersfield away 4-0.

Already, the price for a home team at 3.6 looks big to me, factor in the above and that it's a 7 points team vs a 12 points team, how are they 3.6?

Bolton vs Bournemouth.

because they are second bottom, having lost 7 out of 10, with one win at home in 5 games, condeding 20 goals

the manager must be due the push, which may or may not work in favour of a bet here by Saturday

i accept the run of games hasn't been easy, but then again few are in the Championship

I watched Bournemouth away at Watford, nice Eddie Howe team, good football, quite impressive
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
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