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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16575397 times)
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« Reply #88635 on: October 11, 2014, 09:43:48 AM »

https://t.co/tJCA1eVUTH

good watch
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« Reply #88636 on: October 11, 2014, 09:44:22 AM »

I have for you what is, I think, my first ever Bet Recommend.

Only a shortie, but this looks the value spot to end all value spots, the biggest value pie we'll ever eat.






Last weekend, at the Suzuka GP, a dreadful tragedy occurred. A car crashed into the JCB which was being used to remove a car that crashed earlier, & the driver was gravely injured. The Safety Car had NOT been deployed.

There was much talk before that due to the dangerous conditions, the race should have started earlier, later, or not at all. The aftertimers piled into the F1 authorities - "this must never happen again".

Now, one week later, the F1 circus moves to a brand new track @ Sochi, in Russia. It is, essentially, a "street track" in the grounds of the Olympic Park. It is a very technical track, the third longest in the schedule, with lots of ridiculously tight corners.





Almost the entire track is sandwiched between safety fences & walls, with limited run off areas. Worse still, there are very few "escape gates" into which broken down or crashed cars can be quickly & safely removed. 






 Click to see full-size image.








The chances of "No Safety Car" must be exceedingly remote, to say the least.

We can get 4/9 "NO SAFETY CAR", with WH, although many have it at 1/3.


http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/russian-grand-prix/safety-car


I recommend £90 to win £40. Best 24 hour interest rate on your money you'll ever see.



well, first timers recommendations are placed automatically

so welcome along, and good luck with your maiden bet

please stick around.

williamhill is 2/5 not 4/9

but i could get 1.45 on bwin which beats betfair

10/11/2014 9:58 AM    Single bet    

    open GP Russia - Race, Specialbets (Will there be a safety car period during the race?)
    Yes
    ?

   90.00    1.45



You know tikay actually recommended 'NO SAFETY CAR' though... ;-)
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« Reply #88637 on: October 11, 2014, 09:51:54 AM »

Was a bit confused by that, think Yes is the suggestion but No is quoted?
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tikay
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« Reply #88638 on: October 11, 2014, 09:52:31 AM »

I have for you what is, I think, my first ever Bet Recommend.

Only a shortie, but this looks the value spot to end all value spots, the biggest value pie we'll ever eat.






Last weekend, at the Suzuka GP, a dreadful tragedy occurred. A car crashed into the JCB which was being used to remove a car that crashed earlier, & the driver was gravely injured. The Safety Car had NOT been deployed.

There was much talk before that due to the dangerous conditions, the race should have started earlier, later, or not at all. The aftertimers piled into the F1 authorities - "this must never happen again".

Now, one week later, the F1 circus moves to a brand new track @ Sochi, in Russia. It is, essentially, a "street track" in the grounds of the Olympic Park. It is a very technical track, the third longest in the schedule, with lots of ridiculously tight corners.





Almost the entire track is sandwiched between safety fences & walls, with limited run off areas. Worse still, there are very few "escape gates" into which broken down or crashed cars can be quickly & safely removed. 






 Click to see full-size image.








The chances of "No Safety Car" must be exceedingly remote, to say the least.

We can get 4/9 "NO SAFETY CAR", with WH, although many have it at 1/3.


http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/russian-grand-prix/safety-car


I recommend £90 to win £40. Best 24 hour interest rate on your money you'll ever see.



well, first timers recommendations are placed automatically

so welcome along, and good luck with your maiden bet

please stick around.

williamhill is 2/5 not 4/9

but i could get 1.45 on bwin which beats betfair

10/11/2014 9:58 AM    Single bet    

    open GP Russia - Race, Specialbets (Will there be a safety car period during the race?)
    Yes
    ?

   90.00    1.45



You know tikay actually recommended 'NO SAFETY CAR' though... ;-)

Bugger!

Yet another misclick.......

Think Tighty knew what I meant.

Spokily, during the qualifying just now, just moments ago, the commentators blew the gaffe, & explained consisely why a Safety Car is likely.
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« Reply #88639 on: October 11, 2014, 09:53:31 AM »

Was a bit confused by that, think Yes is the suggestion but No is quoted?

"YES" was the intended suggestion, lol, & Tighty backed "YES".

I am such a clot.
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« Reply #88640 on: October 11, 2014, 09:54:00 AM »

Love the bet reasoning

Makes a lot of sense and after last week will be out like a shot one imagines
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« Reply #88641 on: October 11, 2014, 09:56:11 AM »

Was a bit confused by that, think Yes is the suggestion but No is quoted?

"YES" was the intended suggestion, lol, & Tighty backed "YES".

I am such a clot.

At least its not a Grand Prix starting in over a weeks time....
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tikay
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« Reply #88642 on: October 11, 2014, 10:02:50 AM »

Was a bit confused by that, think Yes is the suggestion but No is quoted?

"YES" was the intended suggestion, lol, & Tighty backed "YES".

I am such a clot.

At least its not a Grand Prix starting in over a weeks time....

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« Reply #88643 on: October 11, 2014, 10:11:49 AM »

Nice to see lots of F1 chatter on here!

I'll be posting up some recommendation in about 45 minutes Smiley
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« Reply #88644 on: October 11, 2014, 10:49:04 AM »

I noted in the usual(ly) Wink  excellent Tighty write up, that UKIP are expected to only get 3 seats at the next election.

I understand the standard "its only a protest by election result" inevitable replies, but I think we are drastically under estimating the general consensus, and ill feeling about immigration.

I know we have a number of wet liberals/say the right thing merchants on here( stirthepot), but I suspect people are thinking, it doesn't matter who gets in next time, they will do their best to **** it up, be it economically, health wise, school wise, etc etc. People are understanding that Immigration also has a massive knock on detrimental effect on all of those major factors now too.

With this in mind, I think there is a seaswell of folk out there who will look at Immigration as their main factor when deciding who to vote for, especially in coastal areas most hit by arriving folk.

I was shocked to see that Billy have 5 or more as the bench at 5/4. Looks mighty big to me, and I would expect well in excess of that. I was hoping to get some decent prices on 20/30 plus.

Im not a politician, or spend hours looking at Mori polls etc, but thought this worthy of consideration for the big lump.

Politics aside, thoughts please?
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« Reply #88645 on: October 11, 2014, 10:54:32 AM »

Right, my pre-quali recommendations:

Race Winner: Valtteri Bottas @ 33/1 with Totesport. He has an exceptionally quick car this weekend, he'll be in the mix if Lewis (who admittedly is flying) has a problem, 33/1 is crazy. Min bet.

Qualifying Winning Margin: +0.25 @ 5/4 with Bet365. Surprised this is above evens! Again, Lewis is flying this weekend, I expect him to be considerably ahead of the field. Suggest £5.

To reach Q3: Daniil Kyvat @ 4/6 with Betfair Exchange. Daniil has an extremely quick qualifying car under him, unless he has a problem this should easily happen based on the data I've got from practice. Recommend £25.

May post some more in an hour or so, the market is still forming after FP3.

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« Reply #88646 on: October 11, 2014, 11:19:09 AM »

Although  Fred doesn't have a bet on the Grand Prix we do have a 50-1 ticket on Bunting for the Worlds, been quite impressed with his performance and attitude, if he carrys n like this he will be a real contender for the big one (can still get 33-1 if anyone hasn't yet, thin bf market he is 17.0).
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« Reply #88647 on: October 11, 2014, 11:38:53 AM »

Right, my pre-quali recommendations:

Race Winner: Valtteri Bottas @ 33/1 with Totesport. He has an exceptionally quick car this weekend, he'll be in the mix if Lewis (who admittedly is flying) has a problem, 33/1 is crazy. Min bet.

Qualifying Winning Margin: +0.25 @ 5/4 with Bet365. Surprised this is above evens! Again, Lewis is flying this weekend, I expect him to be considerably ahead of the field. Suggest £5.

To reach Q3: Daniil Kyvat @ 4/6 with Betfair Exchange. Daniil has an extremely quick qualifying car under him, unless he has a problem this should easily happen based on the data I've got from practice. Recommend £25.

May post some more in an hour or so, the market is still forming after FP3.



Sorry Pete, I've been engaged in my Saturday ablutions which are, of course, necessarily longer than the daily ones, so I hope I'm not too late to get those bets on - I'll go clicky-click-clickying right away & see what I can find.
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« Reply #88648 on: October 11, 2014, 11:47:17 AM »

Fred having a bet on the Cesar Caesar Cesar big race this afternoon?

Skai, Ladderbrokes and TheOneWeDon'tMention are six places for fellow icecreams with accounts. Rest will pay first five.
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« Reply #88649 on: October 11, 2014, 11:51:16 AM »

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