Tips for Tikay

TightEnd

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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88920 on: October 16, 2014, 05:54:13 PM »

8-10pm tonight channel861

Sky Betting Preview on the Future Champions Day at Newmarket tomorrow, & the Champions Day @ Ascot on Saturday.

In the studio will be.....

Sean Boyce (AtTheRaces)

Dave Ord (SportingLife.com)

Michael Shinners (SkyBet)

Neil Channing (BettingEmporium.com)

Tony Kendall (Tips for tikay)

They will be analysing the main races from Newmarket on Friday, & Ascot on Saturday.

--

by the by, with the ground heavy and possibly more rain to come, I would be interested in people's stock tips for tomorrow and Saturday given the conditions (and long season) will suit some and hinder others

is there any value around for TfT?


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tikay

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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88921 on: October 16, 2014, 06:02:11 PM »

Quote from: TightEnd on October 16, 2014, 05:54:13 PM

8-10pm tonight channel861

Sky Betting Preview on the Future Champions Day at Newmarket tomorrow, & the Champions Day @ Ascot on Saturday.

In the studio will be.....

Sean Boyce (AtTheRaces)

Dave Ord (SportingLife.com)

Michael Shinners (SkyBet)

Neil Channing (BettingEmporium.com)

Tony Kendall (Tips for tikay)

They will be analysing the main races from Newmarket on Friday, & Ascot on Saturday.

--

by the by, with the ground heavy and possibly more rain to come, I would be interested in people's stock tips for tomorrow and Saturday given the conditions (and long season) will suit some and hinder others

is there any value around for TfT?

I've been up all night studying form, talking to the likes of Sir Michael, Frankie, Lester, Choc Thornton etc, & I have come up with two lovely bets for you, decent prices, too.

You'll have to watch the Show to get them though.

I believe Mr Channing has a pointer or two lined up, too.


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tikay

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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88922 on: October 16, 2014, 06:04:21 PM »

Talking of Choc Thornton reminds me, does anyone know if Adzy is OK?

He has not logged into blonde since Sunday.

Hopefully he is just buying up great swathes pf land in the South of France from the money he won on my "NO SAFETY CAR" coup.


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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88923 on: October 16, 2014, 06:08:26 PM »

Quote from: tikay on October 16, 2014, 06:04:21 PM

He has been far too nice to me lately so i agree something is must be up with him!! All joking aside hope everything is well adz.


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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88924 on: October 16, 2014, 06:18:48 PM »

Email with some "stats" later


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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88925 on: October 16, 2014, 06:19:44 PM »

Quote from: horseplayer on October 16, 2014, 06:18:48 PM

Email with some "stats" later

Ha, thanks John.

Seriously, I've worked my socks off to find two lovely bets. My spider is knackered.


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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88926 on: October 16, 2014, 06:20:57 PM »

I could just dig out the email I sent last year...

Cant believe its been a year


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exstream

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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88927 on: October 16, 2014, 06:27:14 PM »

have no clue about american football but pp go 10/1 that patriots win each quarter tonight

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-jets-at-new-england-patriots/1st-quarter-winner
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-jets-at-new-england-patriots/2nd-quarter-winner
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-jets-at-new-england-patriots/3rd-quarter-winner
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-york-jets-at-new-england-patriots/4th-quarter-winner

Going by best odds on those, it would come out at 7/1, I think?


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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88928 on: October 16, 2014, 06:42:44 PM »

Quote from: exstream on October 16, 2014, 06:27:14 PM

It's effectively a fourfold accumulator, obviously. If you allow for paddy's cut, how does that come out?

Supremacy line and total points suggests patriots win 27-17 (9.5/44), so can someone with a binomial distribution table work it out that way?


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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88929 on: October 16, 2014, 06:44:28 PM »

Quote from: tikay on October 16, 2014, 06:19:44 PM

Quote from: horseplayer on October 16, 2014, 06:18:48 PM

Email with some "stats" later

Ha, thanks John.

Seriously, I've worked my socks off to find two lovely bets. My spider is knackered.

Is it possible to catch this masterclass online later?

One wouldn't want to miss TV's Tony Kendall (horseracing enthusiast) and the panel giving their verdicts.


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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88930 on: October 16, 2014, 06:45:18 PM »

paddy power MBS if 2nd or 3rd in 7:30 at wolves

There is a big favorite but paddy are pretty short on him at the minute 11/8 best priced 13/8.

I would wait for closer to the off where the prices level out a bit and back for the full £50 not often do they do this on races with such a short priced fav.

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/wolverhampton/19:30/winner

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TightEnd

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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88931 on: October 16, 2014, 06:48:07 PM »

People keep mentioning Paddy Power

Its quite frustrating to keep mentioning that we can't bet with them, they won't lay any bets etc

I appreciate others will be able to take advantage but there's not a lot of point putting PP stuff up here I am afraid and giving their ludicrous strategy the oxygen of publicity

thanks


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Tal

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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88932 on: October 16, 2014, 06:49:04 PM »

Jets haven't won against the spread this season and are the only team with that record this season, apparently.


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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88933 on: October 16, 2014, 06:50:12 PM »

Quote from: exstream on October 16, 2014, 06:27:14 PM

Pretty sure this is reverse correlated as well in that if NE have won the first 3 qtrs they will be a bigger price to win the final qtr as there will be little incentive for them to score in the final quarter and they will close the game out kneeling etc etc. Not 100% on this as not an nfl expert but it seems logical. The weasal irish firm are good at making things look attractive that are not. Also in at least one qtr they will not start with the ball (either 1st or 3rd qtr) this isn't priced into these prices either as the loltraders don't know which team will kick off in each half (thinking about it more these two probably cancel each other out).


« Last Edit: October 16, 2014, 06:53:55 PM by arbboy »	Logged

TightEnd

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Re: Tips for Tikay

« Reply #88934 on: October 16, 2014, 06:51:03 PM »

Quote from: Tal on October 16, 2014, 06:49:04 PM

Jets haven't won against the spread this season and are the only team with that record this season, apparently.

I raise that stat with

The Jets play Tom Brady tonight five days after playing Peyton Manning

they are the first team ever to have had to play Brady then Manning or vice versa within 5 days of each other

(goes to rake the pot, waits for Tal to tap table)


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