Tips for Tikay

[exstream]

tyty bobby arb for informative posts on the american football, as i said, no clue, dont know any of the rules or anything

[exstream]

Adz's dog which hosed up for us with a big outside bias at 5/1 last thurs night runs again tomorrow morning on the bags meeting at hove.

http://www.racingpost.com/greyhounds/card.sd#resultDay=2014-10-17&raceId=1323905

it gona win? what odds

[horseplayer]

I really don't understand the mentality of if TFT cannot get on don't post it. I've learnt a hell of a lot from this thread and it's nice to try and give back to each of the people who contribute and not just post tips for tikay but for everyone to back.

Not everyone reads the racing thread or greyhound thread etc so nice for other people to see.

I sometimes am too busy and only skim read TFT so would miss the bets if they are all segregated. I'm happy to be told I'm wrong here but I really cannot see the downside of posting these bets if they are +ev

Agreed

I dont really think the green machine are going to benefit from Callum posting about an offer which is a loss leader for them (certainly in a race like this)

The horse won btw so well done Callum and hopefully someone got on, sure they did

[exstream]

Scuy bet "Racing Specials" have some interesting stuff tonight.....

Had a look, price boost on this race  http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/wolverhampton/20:30/winner

They go 7/4 the fave, like most places and even worse than some lol

[Tal]

At best prices as well from those oddschecker links it's closer to 8/1 not 7/1.  Given none of the best prices available are to 100% true books (most are 105%+ books taking the best price of all 3 outcomes) 10/1 is probably under the 'true' price anyway before you add in the thurs night factor and the reverse correlation.  Looks a solid dodge for me at 10/1.  In fact i would probably be happy to lay it after Bobby's comments.

My man love for Jimmy G might have got in the way a little Arb ;o). I can't say I know what the right price is tho 10/1 didn't strike me as awful given the books will prob have the same prices for this kind of market in all 10 point fav games and an o/u around 44 1/2.

 Actually the line is 9 1/2 with Jets fav now so maybe the shrewdies are running the 'more likely to rest players if winning added option of a backdoor cover against back ups' angle in a Thursday night game too.

Found this in the evening's research for trend followers (not you, Scotty):

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Patriots -8.5 and moved to -9 within about 20 minutes on Sunday, while The Wynn opened -10 and moved to -9.5 on Monday.  By midweek, most Vegas bet shops were dealing -9.5, with some 10s with decreased juice available for Jets backers

[exstream]

I really don't understand the mentality of if TFT cannot get on don't post it. I've learnt a hell of a lot from this thread and it's nice to try and give back to each of the people who contribute and not just post tips for tikay but for everyone to back.

Not everyone reads the racing thread or greyhound thread etc so nice for other people to see.

I sometimes am too busy and only skim read TFT so would miss the bets if they are all segregated. I'm happy to be told I'm wrong here but I really cannot see the downside of posting these bets if they are +ev

Agreed

I dont really think the green machine are going to benefit from Callum posting about an offer which is a loss leader for them (certainly in a race like this)

The horse won btw so well done Callum and hopefully someone got on, sure they did

I post 365 LoL tips eventhough the thread can't get on but they do get on via someone else. Where does it end!

[arbboy]

Adz's dog which hosed up for us with a big outside bias at 5/1 last thurs night runs again tomorrow morning on the bags meeting at hove.

http://www.racingpost.com/greyhounds/card.sd#resultDay=2014-10-17&raceId=1323905

it gona win? what odds

looks up against it tomorrow tbf certainly won't be fav.  Would imagine 4 and 5 will be the market leaders.  I don't normally do the friday morning bags but i will come online around 1pm and let everyone know my thoughts as adz is buying lapdancers in poland by all accounts!

[exstream]

Adz's dog which hosed up for us with a big outside bias at 5/1 last thurs night runs again tomorrow morning on the bags meeting at hove.

http://www.racingpost.com/greyhounds/card.sd#resultDay=2014-10-17&raceId=1323905

it gona win? what odds

looks up against it tomorrow tbf certainly won't be fav.  Would imagine 4 and 5 will be the market leaders.  I don't normally do the friday morning bags but i will come online around 1pm and let everyone know my thoughts as adz is buying lapdancers in poland by all accounts!

tyty
life of luxury when 1pm is the morning

[arbboy]

Adz's dog which hosed up for us with a big outside bias at 5/1 last thurs night runs again tomorrow morning on the bags meeting at hove.

http://www.racingpost.com/greyhounds/card.sd#resultDay=2014-10-17&raceId=1323905

it gona win? what odds

looks up against it tomorrow tbf certainly won't be fav.  Would imagine 4 and 5 will be the market leaders.  I don't normally do the friday morning bags but i will come online around 1pm and let everyone know my thoughts as adz is buying lapdancers in poland by all accounts!

tyty
life of luxury when 1pm is the morning

Friday is chores day (boring stuff washing/food shopping etc) plus a swim and sauna before the 10 hour dog grind starts at 1pm with 1045pm finish on a friday night when normal degen's are 8 pints deep at the boozer! (hardly the life of luxury!).  main reason being i hate kinsley bags on a friday morning as the bf volumes are always tiny and you only ever lay 'triers' for decent money.

[tikay]

Scuy bet "Racing Specials" have some interesting stuff tonight.....

Had a look, price boost on this race  http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/wolverhampton/20:30/winner

They go 7/4 the fave, like most places and even worse than some lol

No no, not Wolverhampton, it is Newmarket and Ascot.......

[TightEnd]

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/flat/queen-elizabeth-ii-stakes/winner

SUGGEST £20 EWAY KINGSBARNS 20/1 various firms

Ground fine, not had a hard season excuses for runs this season expect this to be closer to single figures come Saturday

Betfred (where we can bet)

   Selection   Price   Hcp
Queen Elizabeth Ii Stakes
Outright Nrnb
EW 1/5 1,2,3    Kingsbarns    20/1    
Total stake   £ 40.00
Estimated return   £ 520.00
Full stake   £ 40.00
Full estimated return   £ 520.00

[TightEnd]

by the way, it is currently pouring with rain in Foxboro

though it is wind not rain that really affects points totals, the rain might be worse for NE over NYJ (supremacy) given the NYJ have no passing offense to be affected by it anyway and the NE rushing game is in flux

[exstream]

Scuy bet "Racing Specials" have some interesting stuff tonight.....

Had a look, price boost on this race  http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/wolverhampton/20:30/winner

They go 7/4 the fave, like most places and even worse than some lol

No no, not Wolverhampton, it is Newmarket and Ascot.......

Tony Kendall's flat special. Hmmm, go on then!

[rfgqqabc]

No one in the world has a PP account though.

[Tal]

Mug thoughts for the overnight entertainment...

New York can't run the ball. This, we know, as the quarterback, Geno Smith, managed 11 of the team's 31 total yards last weekend. They only tried 15 times but even still...

If they are going airborne, it's important to look at where Smith will be aiming and I'm thinking we should see where the mismatches are. The Bills caused problems last week for the Pats in one area in particular: the athletic tight end, Scott Chandler. He's not a prolific player normally and typically does blocking work with the odd catch for a few yards here and there. He made a few highlight reel plays on Sunday, showing the lack of a good linebacker for the Pats.

The Jets have two clear options here. All the thoughts will be the wide receiver, Erik Decker, who gets all the attention, but I'm favouring the big lad instead: Jace Amaro. Twelve chucks his way on Sunday (technical term) and it looks like he's got a safe pair of mitts at the moment, snaffling ten of the eggs thrown at him. 6'5" and 235lb of beef to aim at.

Click to see full-size image.

You can get 5/6 on him getting over 50.5 yards with the shouty red man. Last four games were 54/58/19/68, with the 19 being the shutout against the sensational San Diego Chargers. When you can't run for five yards, a short pass will do nicely and he will logically be in Smith's eyeline.

£30 to win £25 if favoured?