Tips for Tikay

[Stopsleyhatter]

Is the Raiders game on UK Tv anywhere? Sky Sports or ?

I know I can find a stream if I have to but TV is better!

Thanks.

Skysports 1

[ripple11]

ShutheFrontDoor now 20/1 general for the Gold Cup

Heard a few good judges talk him up for the race last week or so, the Lexus the next aim which will probably decide whether he goes or not

Are you sure you just didnt look at the picture above........? 

[horseplayer]

ShutheFrontDoor now 20/1 general for the Gold Cup

Heard a few good judges talk him up for the race last week or so, the Lexus the next aim which will probably decide whether he goes or not

Are you sure you just didnt look at the picture above........? 

It reminded me!

[TheDazzler]

Much appreciated. Am out doing my Magnus impression tonight (chess, not sleeping), but will catch up later on the training footage.

I'm sure we can find a good use for £3.16.

What's your chess rating Tal?

Rook (ie) 

Wins.

(In answer to the question, quite a bit less than the Norwegian bloke)

Aren't we all? But.............??

Peak FIDE was 1999. I only play local league and county these days and I'm unlikely to get near that again without playing a lot more.

Oh now that you mention it, I think I asked you that before. 1999 is pretty darn good. It's considerably higher than my peak was so I'll not ask you for an online game

[tikay]

well dodged, don't recall having found that way to lose before (broken reins)

Oucho.

Great excuse though!

[Peter-27]

Hey guys, need some advice to be honest. Would love to get opinions on what I'm about to say.

As people who take gambling seriously, we always look to find value. However, over the last few F1 races I have been doing this for the betting group, with pretty poor losses. I understand that we all have up and down weeks - but I feel like I'm damaging my reputation as a result.

I have picked up a number of bets for this weekend (F1 & FE), and while you're welcome to use them all under my name, I'm going to spilt them into bets based on confidence and bets based on value.

Confidence bets:
Points Finish - Sergio Perez @ 10/11 with Paddy Power and William Hill. Suggest £10.

Value bets:
Top 6 Finish - Nico Hulkenberg @ 11/1 with Bwin.

As for the Formula E, there are a number of drivers that represent value for the win - all with Ladbrokes:  Sebastien Buemi (5/1), Nicolas Prost (14/1), Antonio Felix da Costa (33/1), Stephane Sarrazin (50/1).

[TightEnd]

jets at buffalo has been postponed, will be played monday elsewhere

the scene 2 miles from the stadium currently



meanwhile in oakland, the scene for tonight is

[Tal]

(Sound of barrels being scraped in fantasy leagues across the world)

[Waz1892]

jets at buffalo has been postponed, will be played monday elsewhere

the scene 2 miles from the stadium currently

Click to see full-size image.

That needs Motty in front of the picture in that coat

[TightEnd]

Tal

i note game 8 was drawn quickly

this is Carlsen showing extreme confidence that he can hold as black and win from here?

not great news for us, though?

[TightEnd]

Hey guys, need some advice to be honest. Would love to get opinions on what I'm about to say.

As people who take gambling seriously, we always look to find value. However, over the last few F1 races I have been doing this for the betting group, with pretty poor losses. I understand that we all have up and down weeks - but I feel like I'm damaging my reputation as a result.

I have picked up a number of bets for this weekend (F1 & FE), and while you're welcome to use them all under my name, I'm going to spilt them into bets based on confidence and bets based on value.

Confidence bets:
Points Finish - Sergio Perez @ 10/11 with Paddy Power and William Hill. Suggest £10.

Value bets:
Top 6 Finish - Nico Hulkenberg @ 11/1 with Bwin.

As for the Formula E, there are a number of drivers that represent value for the win - all with Ladbrokes:  Sebastien Buemi (5/1), Nicolas Prost (14/1), Antonio Felix da Costa (33/1), Stephane Sarrazin (50/1).

i'll do f1 tomorrow

could you narrow down the Formula E bets please? what do we know about the new formula that makes those outsiders over-priced, for example?

on F1, keep the ideas coming (next season, now!). you had a good run initially, its been tough recently but that happens and its a sport we have struggled with

in part i put that down to it being a sport with firm trends for several years...red bull won four in a row, mercedes well clear this year...and when the favourites keep winning its difficult to get a value/contrarian approach to pay

that said, we are about to make some money after Abu Dhabi. we have Hamilton ante-post at 3/1, placed in february, and then Rosberg at 6/5 mid season too 

[Stopsleyhatter]

As i am not around most of the day

Tonight's NFL

In theory this is a tough spot for the KC Chiefs

On the road at a divisional rival 4 days after a huge effort in beating the superbowl champions

However that divisional rival is the winless Raiders

the Chiefs are 7 point road favourites

Andy Reid has transitioned the 2014 Chiefs to a  run-dominated team.

KC are the No. 4 unit in rushing offense, No. 3 in yards per carry (4.75), and No. 7 in rushing attempts.

The Chiefs' run game has been dominant as a unit.

Since returning from his early-season high ankle sprain, Jamaal Charles has taken on four top-nine run defenses (NYJ, SEA, SF, BUF).

He's proceeded to kill them for 415 yards and four TDs on 70 carries (5.93 YPC).

Playing here on a short week, Oakland has allowed 335 yards and two touchdowns on 83 carries (4.04 YPC) to opposing running backs over their last three games.

You'll struggle to find a warmer favourite for first touchdown scorer all season than Jamaal Charles here, and the price should be around 3/1 not the 9/2 that is out there in places

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-oakland-raiders/first-touchdown-scorer


this game has a 42.5-point over-under, the third lowest of Week 12.

Its a Tursday game, which can tend to lower scores (less time to game plan) but perhaps less so in divisional games where the teams know each other well

I would be strongly tempted by the over here though. A low quote, a consensus of a low scoring game gives the opportunity

last game these two played Alex Smith threw for 287 yards and five touchdowns on 17-of-20 passing. This is a quarterback who runs an extremely conservative game plan, rarely throwing downfield too far and Oakland are poor, and injury hit, in pass defense


anyway there are a couple of pointers

Tighty think laddies are going 5/1 Charles 1st touchdown like the overs on total points as well.

[sonour]

As i am not around most of the day

Tonight's NFL

In theory this is a tough spot for the KC Chiefs

On the road at a divisional rival 4 days after a huge effort in beating the superbowl champions

However that divisional rival is the winless Raiders

the Chiefs are 7 point road favourites

Andy Reid has transitioned the 2014 Chiefs to a  run-dominated team.

KC are the No. 4 unit in rushing offense, No. 3 in yards per carry (4.75), and No. 7 in rushing attempts.

The Chiefs' run game has been dominant as a unit.

Since returning from his early-season high ankle sprain, Jamaal Charles has taken on four top-nine run defenses (NYJ, SEA, SF, BUF).

He's proceeded to kill them for 415 yards and four TDs on 70 carries (5.93 YPC).

Playing here on a short week, Oakland has allowed 335 yards and two touchdowns on 83 carries (4.04 YPC) to opposing running backs over their last three games.

You'll struggle to find a warmer favourite for first touchdown scorer all season than Jamaal Charles here, and the price should be around 3/1 not the 9/2 that is out there in places

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/kansas-city-chiefs-at-oakland-raiders/first-touchdown-scorer


this game has a 42.5-point over-under, the third lowest of Week 12.

Its a Tursday game, which can tend to lower scores (less time to game plan) but perhaps less so in divisional games where the teams know each other well

I would be strongly tempted by the over here though. A low quote, a consensus of a low scoring game gives the opportunity

last game these two played Alex Smith threw for 287 yards and five touchdowns on 17-of-20 passing. This is a quarterback who runs an extremely conservative game plan, rarely throwing downfield too far and Oakland are poor, and injury hit, in pass defense


anyway there are a couple of pointers

Jamaal Charles 5/1 First Touchdown Scorer

Ladbrokes

[Ironside]

ok BV is offering 15.0 on knile davis last TD in tonights game 12.0 in places
presuming KC build up a big league davis will be employed in garbage time

he is best price 3.25 to score a TD tonight (2.75 in places)
surely if he is scoring a TD it will be one of the last as charles will get first dibs on goal line chances

[Tal]

Tal

i note game 8 was drawn quickly

this is Carlsen showing extreme confidence that he can hold as black and win from here?

not great news for us, though?

It was game 9 and absolutely. They played the opening of a pretty well known game from 2012 and Carlsen forced a draw by repetition. After realising what he'd allowed, Anand winced.

Carlsen is teasing his opponent, really; it's just Barcelona playing keep-ball, rather than Man City trying to score another.

Three games left and we need Carlsen to win one of them (assuming he doesn't lose any). Anand has white in the first and third games; Carlsen in the second.

Anand has to find another way to get into an unclear middlegame or he won't get his title back. If he can't, he won't. It really is that simple.

Let's put this into a wider context: Anand is 43 years old. There are a number of guys who are going to be challenging for the seat in the 2016 cycle: Aronian, Kramnik, Caruana and new World Number 3 Grischuk included. The chances of Anand getting another chance to play for the title as challenger are small.

It's now or never.