Tips for Tikay

[Chompy]

"Shut'em Down Vic" have Fleur at 11-10 in the top overs market.

Someone who can should snap'em off for a few quid. Then be shut down prob.

Either Tighty or the allotment king, there'll be a footy bet to be placed at around 2.30 if one of you can be around?

[Marky147]

Looks like Ben is the TCO 

Fleur wasn't great, Lauren poor and Ben average.  Not bursting in talent.  Grunting man coming on.

Fear we have a Frankie/Mark bottom 2. 

Going a bit wrong. 

That could have gone a lot worse.

Fleur rampathon.  Should have saved that for the final.  Now here is a fella with a beard wearing a jumper. 

It's sad, but I did chuckle when Cowell asked him if he had eaten the dog.

Not worried who goes, but I'd prefer Andrea, so that we can watch stroppy spice go into meltdown.

Flip flop in our favour. 

Can't see Andrea going.  Lauren was nailed to the road under that bus.

No wonder Cheryl looked so uncomfortable for most of the evening...

Someone posted on Betfair that the only thing missing from Ben's VT, was Lauren hitting one of the children with a baseball bat

You still frequent that place, Marky?

Jeez, I've not been on there for about 10 years, but had occasion to do so earlier this week on a (sort of) work-related matter.

Yuk. It's the UK's 2+2. I'm sure that, just as with 2+2, in amongst all the dross & insults, there is some good stuff to be had, but I just can't be doing with all the personal stuff. 

Just pop in when X-Factor is on for some comedic commentary, and my post count is a massive zero!

I know what you mean, though. It's like an unsupervised playground on the most part

[tikay]

Given it is a bit of a coin flip now and Andrea can still win, think we should be happy laying Fleur at 2.06 to win X factor now.   Maybe £100 is fine.  There doesn't appear to be much value in that price for a backer.  Taking in Chompy's Cowell bet think that will make us something like Andrea +£50, Ben +£250 and Fleur +£750.  We'd also be +£50 if Lauren wins too.

If it doesn't get taken don't worry, we don't need to lay, we have great bets even if we don't.  

Edit now 2/2.04, so go for 2.02

Thanks Doobs, I'll leave that to Tighty, he's back today, & I'll only mess it up if I do it.

When does it end?

Can't say I understand any of it, but looks like we had a cracking bet with Fleur, as she is GUARANTEED to win, apparently. Must be true, too, it was in the Dailly mail.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-2863295/X-Factor-s-Fleur-East-guaranteed-win-competition-contestants-accuse-judges-favouritism.html


Anyway, I looked her up on google, so I know what she looks like now.

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Loss on Month £10-00

Outstanding Bets £4011.21

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=33

A profit of £15 yesterday

St Johnstone beat St Mirren 1-0 for a profit of £35

Click to see full-size image.

Accrington drew with Yeovil for a loss of £20

A couple of winners missed due to our protagonist's narcolepsy, too

ongoing positions

Premier League

A quick shout out to the radio commentator i heard yesterday who at the QPR game came up with

"It's Dunne to Mutch, Mutch to Yun"

anyway, i digress

a good couple of unexpected results for premier league top ten bets

Newcastle defeated Chelsea 2-1, to further delay Peter Beardsley's coronation as Newcastle manager. The ghost of Jaffa Cake's past wafting through this report as Papis "14-1" Cisse scored both

Newcastle are 7th



Stoke beat Arsenal 3-2, helped by the Arsenal defence choosing not to defend at any point in proceedings

Stoke are 12th but a big result after a run of poor form

Click to see full-size image.

We were indebted to Mr McGregor for saving a penalty against relegation bet West Brom, who drew 0-0 and are a point above the drop zone

Click to see full-size image.

Crystal Palace reportedly were very impressive, especially Bolassie, at Spurs and gained an away point

Click to see full-size image.

Liverpool gained a point, to make it 7 from 9 in the last week, at home to Sunderland

Click to see full-size image.

Aguero did knee ligaments after 7 minutes, and with Rooney injured too and Welbeck on the bench yesterday we haven't had much recent luck in goalscoring bets

the current position is:

14 - Aguero 11 - Costa 9 - Sanchez 8 - Austin 7 - Berahino, Cisse

Championship

Patrick Bamford scored again for Middlesborough, his fifth in his last six games as they beat Millwall 5-1 with a Jelle Vossen hat-trick. Things seem well set for Middlesborough and hopefully no wobbles ahead

for the Bamford middlesbourgh top scorer bet: Leadbitter 8, Bamford 6, Garcia 6

No goals for Hooper (who started, which is a sliver of encouragement) and Vetokele

Non League

Guernsey 0-3 Walton Casuals to continue their inconsistent season

Scotland

Hearts beat QoTS 4-1 and are the last unbeaten team in the UK

They are nine points clear at the top of the league

Click to see full-size image.

NBA

The Chicago Bulls lost 112-102 at the Golden State Warriors. tbhis was the warriors 12th win in a row

Click to see full-size image.

San Antonio Spurs beat the Minnesota Timberwolves 122-101

Click to see full-size image.

LA Clippers beat the New Orleans Pelicans 120-100 their seventh win on the spin

Click to see full-size image.

X Factor elimination tonight. All being well we will have interests in 2 of the final 3





today, West Ham, Leicester in action

Mainz in action in the Bundesliga

Bristol City/Luke Freeman v Telford

Toulouse in the European champions cup

Philadelphia v Seattle is a biggie in the NFL for us later, so is Patriots @ the Chargers

A big NBA programme

Ronnie against Trump in the UK snooker final in York

[TightEnd]

Given it is a bit of a coin flip now and Andrea can still win, think we should be happy laying Fleur at 2.06 to win X factor now.   Maybe £100 is fine.  There doesn't appear to be much value in that price for a backer.  Taking in Chompy's Cowell bet think that will make us something like Andrea +£50, Ben +£250 and Fleur +£750.  We'd also be +£50 if Lauren wins too.

If it doesn't get taken don't worry, we don't need to lay, we have great bets even if we don't. 

Edit now 2/2.04, so go for 2.02

X Factor winning judge   Simon   4/1   50
X-Factor   Fleur East   34.44   20
x factor winner   Fleur- Lay   2.14   39.26


currently

Fleur: win £200 (Simon bet) + £634.36 (Fleur less lay of stake) = £829.54

Ben: Win £200 (Simon bet)

Andrea: Lose £50   


Lay £100 Fleur at 2.02

Position becomes profits of

Fleur c£727

Ben c£302

Andrea c£52


so this is on, waiting to be matched

 Waiting (unmatched)
At In-PlayCancelKeep
Lay (Bet Against)    Backer's odds    Backer's stake    Your liability
The X Factor 2014
Fleur East Winner    2.02    £100.00    
£102.00
Ref: 44237408350 Submitted: 10:05 07-Dec-14

[Doobs]

Given it is a bit of a coin flip now and Andrea can still win, think we should be happy laying Fleur at 2.06 to win X factor now.   Maybe £100 is fine.  There doesn't appear to be much value in that price for a backer.  Taking in Chompy's Cowell bet think that will make us something like Andrea +£50, Ben +£250 and Fleur +£750.  We'd also be +£50 if Lauren wins too.

If it doesn't get taken don't worry, we don't need to lay, we have great bets even if we don't.  

Edit now 2/2.04, so go for 2.02

Thanks Doobs, I'll leave that to Tighty, he's back today, & I'll only mess it up if I do it.

When does it end?

Can't say I understand any of it, but looks like we had a cracking bet with Fleur, as she is GUARANTEED to win, apparently. Must be true, too, it was in the Dailly mail.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-2863295/X-Factor-s-Fleur-East-guaranteed-win-competition-contestants-accuse-judges-favouritism.html


Anyway, I looked her up on google, so I know what she looks like now.

Click to see full-size image.

It finishes next weekend.  Don't worry The Jump starts soon.  Ola is the first name I have seen linked with it, I'd worry a bit about her hand eye coordination. 

Click to see full-size image.

The Irish jokers wide awake on a Sunday and are 5/4 Fleur, not that anybody can take it.

BMU put up a corker last night, but will leave that for later. 

[BigAdz]

Given it is a bit of a coin flip now and Andrea can still win, think we should be happy laying Fleur at 2.06 to win X factor now.   Maybe £100 is fine.  There doesn't appear to be much value in that price for a backer.  Taking in Chompy's Cowell bet think that will make us something like Andrea +£50, Ben +£250 and Fleur +£750.  We'd also be +£50 if Lauren wins too.

If it doesn't get taken don't worry, we don't need to lay, we have great bets even if we don't.  

Edit now 2/2.04, so go for 2.02

Thanks Doobs, I'll leave that to Tighty, he's back today, & I'll only mess it up if I do it.

When does it end?

Can't say I understand any of it, but looks like we had a cracking bet with Fleur, as she is GUARANTEED to win, apparently. Must be true, too, it was in the Dailly mail.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-2863295/X-Factor-s-Fleur-East-guaranteed-win-competition-contestants-accuse-judges-favouritism.html


Anyway, I looked her up on google, so I know what she looks like now.

Click to see full-size image.

It finishes next weekend.  Don't worry The Jump starts soon.  Ola is the first name I have seen linked with it, I'd worry a bit about her hand eye coordination. 

Click to see full-size image.

The Irish jokers wide awake on a Sunday and are 5/4 Fleur, not that anybody can take it.

BMU put up a corker last night, but will leave that for later. 

I'm glad you didn't photoshop out the milk carton Doobs, or I would have real inadequacy issues developing......

[TightEnd]

The Fleur lay has been matched. In fact about £600 worth was trampled in the rush of backers over the last 30 minutes

£100 at 2.02 done

[booder]

A quick shout out to the radio commentator i heard yesterday who at the QPR game came up with

"It's Dunne to Mutch, Mutch to Yun"

 

[Eddycadub]

The line today for Geno Smith passing yards is 160.5 lol, don't think I'll be betting the under on that one :/

[Doobs]

The Fleur lay has been matched. In fact about £600 worth was trampled in the rush of backers over the last 30 minutes

£100 at 2.02 done

The X factor song could be interesting this year.   Surely what we need this year is a rap in the middle and something that works best with a complex dance routine.  Over to you Andrea...

[Stopsleyhatter]

Has the thread backed the Bills at +10 that tighty put up, really liked the look of that one.

[hector62]

Morning Mr T.

I have been looking at the Harlequins v Leinster rugby match all morning and can't make it anything other than a flip, so the 13/10 available is good. Harlequins league form has been iffy but they have won both of their European cup matches. This competition will give them a focus for their season and they have enough good players to win this. Yesterdays defeat of Munster at home will also boost their confidence.

Suggest £20 Harlequins @ 13/10 with Betfred or the 7/5 with betfair.

[tikay]

Has the thread backed the Bills at +10 that tighty put up, really liked the look of that one.

I doubt it, & don't actually recall seeing it. He never backs his own stuff unless we prod him.

I'll have a look for it a bit later, I've got a pie in the oven right now that needs my attention.

[Doobs]

For those that can, coral are currently 9/4 Don Cossack in the 2.00pm at Punchestown, currently 13/8 on bf.  £20 max, they are also top price the Bills+10.