Tips for Tikay

[horseplayer]

http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb/betting/g/531588/2015-Cricket-Specials.html

[Ironside]

The Footie threads do get trolled a bit I suppose, but the lack of balance in them absolutely appals me. To win any debate, each side has to yield a few points first. No Manager, Team, Player, or Chairman is ALL bad or ALL good, but we only hear the extreme ends of the debate. There is real hate there, & I see no reason for that at all.

It's an emotive subject, and I guess it's very hard for fans to be objective.

I can see why you get frustrated, but it amuses me, rather than appalls

Don't tar us all with the same brush please.

the saints thread is quite amicable but maybe thats because we are out performing our pre season expetations

[Karabiner]

Anyone got any inside info for the camel racing at Taunton tomorrow?

[BigAdz]

Anyone got any inside info for the camel racing at Taunton tomorrow?

Don't back the one called Keith.

[MereNovice]

As it is unlikely that there will be any more action before midnight, I thought that I would treat you all to an early month-end report.
It's also possible that I will be comatose when the New Year enters.


December 2014 Figures

Closed bets: 87
Amount wagered: £2,308.21
Profit/loss: £316.10
ROI: 13.69%

Number of "sports" bet on: 10
Most popular: Football (28), NFL (16), Horses (14),  Misc. (11).
Most profitable: Misc. (£399.44), MotorSport (£115.00), Football (£103.54),  Golf (£25.00) - the only 4  winning "sports" this month
Least profitable: Basketball (-£105.00), Horses (-£83.89), Cricket (-£58.00)

Number of tipsters: 27 including 1 new tipster.


Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 4,184
Amount wagered: £127,921.02
Profit/loss: £4,899.66
ROI: 3.83%

Number of "sports" bet on: 30    (Note that the number of sports has decreased by 2 due to Rallying, Nascar and Formula1 being consolidated under MotorSport with all other Motor Racing)
Most popular:  Horses(1,039), Football (1,025), Golf (349), Cricket(257).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Football   2,727.00   31,689.22   8.61   1,025
Misc.   1,992.80   5,437.44   36.65   132
Baseball   1,037.20   1,726.00   60.09   37
...
Golf   -426.08   9,445.84   -4.51   349
RU   -443.64   4,151.87   -10.69   213
Basketball   -494.51   3,806.89   -12.99   101


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 163


Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 49

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
BoyleSports      2,510.40   4,515.45   55.60   115
Ladbrokes      2,384.96   15,699.80   15.19   540
Bet365      1,351.63   5,427.15   24.90   239
...
Coral      -491.44   7,924.40   -6.20   278
PaddyPower      -520.15   7,663.64   -6.79   360
BetFred      -1,309.83   9,595.27   -13.65   323


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7


I have created a new spreadsheet for 2015:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=34



All closed bets have been archived:

2014
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdGZaNDduYUZRWE1JZW9qcDFEdHNrRXc#gid=7

Pre-2014

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdHVrekx6T0REUXVNOWw5YTVWa0pWZGc



Figures for 2014 are:

Closed bets: 1,489
Amount wagered: £40,846.33
Profit/loss: -£71.90
ROI: -0.18%


Month   Profit     Amt Bet     ROI    No. 

Dec. 316.10   2,288.21   13.81   86
Nov. 481.78   2,941.06   16.38   89
Oct. 370.21   2,665.08   13.89   80
Sep. 472.17   2,125.95   22.21   95
Aug. -763.95   3,134.29   -24.37   119
Jul. 456.46   3,140.28   14.54   141
Jun. 842.39   6,450.94   13.06   220
May 136.58   4,366.25   3.13   129
Apr. -52.38   4,208.84   -1.24   144
Mar. -1,073.32   3,994.32   -26.87   177
Feb. -467.45   2,752.61   -16.98   91
Jan. -790.49   2,778.50   -28.45   118



I can't say that I follow the thread avidly currently but when I do look at it, the contribution that Tighty makes staggers me.


Happy New Year all.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1N4t51IVQ5M

[MereNovice]

On a personal note, I am aware that many of you have threatened to buy me a drink the next time we meet (or have very kindly offered me payment for running assorted competitions on Blonde). I've been feeling guilty of depriving you all of this opportunity due to my asocial tendencies so I've decided to give you the chance to sponsor me to go tee-total during January.

See:

https://www.justgiving.com/Vince-Gough-dryathlete2015/?utm_source=Facebook&utm_medium=fundraisingpage&utm_content=Vince-Gough-dryathlete2015&utm_campaign=pfp-share


If you do contribute, please don't forget to include "Gift Aid".


Many thanks,

Vince

[BorntoBubble]

On a personal note, I am aware that many of you have threatened to buy me a drink the next time we meet (or have very kindly offered me payment for running assorted competitions on Blonde). I've been feeling guilty of depriving you all of this opportunity due to my asocial tendencies so I've decided to give you the chance to sponsor me to go tee-total during January.

See:

https://www.justgiving.com/Vince-Gough-dryathlete2015/?utm_source=Facebook&utm_medium=fundraisingpage&utm_content=Vince-Gough-dryathlete2015&utm_campaign=pfp-share


If you do contribute, please don't forget to include "Gift Aid".


Many thanks,

Vince

Will be doing! Once I'm sober again. Good luck and thanks!

[RickBFA]

Thanks to Tikay and Tighty for what is still a cracking thread.

Happy New Year!

[nuros]

Happy new year all!!

[Karabiner]

Happy New Year everyone, let's hope it's a profitable one.

[tikay]

Big "thank you" to everyone who contributed to Fred Fun in 2014.

Let's hope we have a few of these in 2015.

[tikay]

On a personal note, I am aware that many of you have threatened to buy me a drink the next time we meet (or have very kindly offered me payment for running assorted competitions on Blonde). I've been feeling guilty of depriving you all of this opportunity due to my asocial tendencies so I've decided to give you the chance to sponsor me to go tee-total during January.

See:

https://www.justgiving.com/Vince-Gough-dryathlete2015/?utm_source=Facebook&utm_medium=fundraisingpage&utm_content=Vince-Gough-dryathlete2015&utm_campaign=pfp-share


If you do contribute, please don't forget to include "Gift Aid".


Many thanks,

Vince

Ladies & Gents.

Vince is one of the reasons that Fred is a wonderful Fun Freeroll for us all.

I hope all of you consider making a donation, however small, to Vince's charity cause.

Don't forget, as well as keeping the Fred Spready immaculately up to date & accurate, Vince also ran stuff in 2014 including WSOP Fantasy League, World Cup Predictions, Cheltenham & Royal Ascot Tipping Comps etc.

For the fun he has helped give, at abso zero cost to any of us, a small donation from you would not go amiss.

The link is here....


https://www.justgiving.com/Vince-Gough-dryathlete2015/?utm_source=Facebook&utm_medium=fundraisingpage&utm_content=Vince-Gough-dryathlete2015&utm_campaign=pfp-share

[tikay]

As it is unlikely that there will be any more action before midnight, I thought that I would treat you all to an early month-end report.
It's also possible that I will be comatose when the New Year enters.


December 2014 Figures

Closed bets: 87
Amount wagered: £2,308.21
Profit/loss: £316.10
ROI: 13.69%

Number of "sports" bet on: 10
Most popular: Football (28), NFL (16), Horses (14),  Misc. (11).
Most profitable: Misc. (£399.44), MotorSport (£115.00), Football (£103.54),  Golf (£25.00) - the only 4  winning "sports" this month
Least profitable: Basketball (-£105.00), Horses (-£83.89), Cricket (-£58.00)

Number of tipsters: 27 including 1 new tipster.


Overall statistics (since February 2012)

Total closed bets: 4,184
Amount wagered: £127,921.02
Profit/loss: £4,899.66
ROI: 3.83%

Number of "sports" bet on: 30    (Note that the number of sports has decreased by 2 due to Rallying, Nascar and Formula1 being consolidated under MotorSport with all other Motor Racing)
Most popular:  Horses(1,039), Football (1,025), Golf (349), Cricket(257).

Most and least profitable sports (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Sport               Profit  Amt Bet       ROI   No.
Football   2,727.00   31,689.22   8.61   1,025
Misc.   1,992.80   5,437.44   36.65   132
Baseball   1,037.20   1,726.00   60.09   37
...
Golf   -426.08   9,445.84   -4.51   349
RU   -443.64   4,151.87   -10.69   213
Basketball   -494.51   3,806.89   -12.99   101


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=4


Total number of tipsters: 163


Number of different bookies/exchanges/agents: 49

Most and least profitable bookies (based on aggregate profit/loss) are:
        
Bookie          Profit     Amt Bet   ROI     No.
BoyleSports      2,510.40   4,515.45   55.60   115
Ladbrokes      2,384.96   15,699.80   15.19   540
Bet365      1,351.63   5,427.15   24.90   239
...
Coral      -491.44   7,924.40   -6.20   278
PaddyPower      -520.15   7,663.64   -6.79   360
BetFred      -1,309.83   9,595.27   -13.65   323


The complete list is here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=7


I have created a new spreadsheet for 2015:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc#gid=34



All closed bets have been archived:

2014
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdGZaNDduYUZRWE1JZW9qcDFEdHNrRXc#gid=7

Pre-2014

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdHVrekx6T0REUXVNOWw5YTVWa0pWZGc



Figures for 2014 are:

Closed bets: 1,489
Amount wagered: £40,846.33
Profit/loss: -£71.90
ROI: -0.18%


Month   Profit     Amt Bet     ROI    No. 

Dec. 316.10   2,288.21   13.81   86
Nov. 481.78   2,941.06   16.38   89
Oct. 370.21   2,665.08   13.89   80
Sep. 472.17   2,125.95   22.21   95
Aug. -763.95   3,134.29   -24.37   119
Jul. 456.46   3,140.28   14.54   141
Jun. 842.39   6,450.94   13.06   220
May 136.58   4,366.25   3.13   129
Apr. -52.38   4,208.84   -1.24   144
Mar. -1,073.32   3,994.32   -26.87   177
Feb. -467.45   2,752.61   -16.98   91
Jan. -790.49   2,778.50   -28.45   118



I can't say that I follow the thread avidly currently but when I do look at it, the contribution that Tighty makes staggers me.


Happy New Year all.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1N4t51IVQ5M

Thanks Vince.

I'll pick up on a few points shortly......

[tikay]

Individual months don't mean too much, but this is fairly heartening, this is December.....


Closed bets: 87
Amount wagered: £2,308.21
Profit/loss: £316.10
ROI: 13.69%

That came from 27 different "tipsters", so a nice sprread, & we had one NEW Tipster. 

[tikay]

Most profitable: Misc. (£399.44), MotorSport (£115.00), Football (£103.54),  Golf (£25.00) - the only 4  winning "sports" this month

Who'd have thought that the Top 2 "sports" for December would be "Misc" & "MotorSport"?

Least profitable: Basketball (-£105.00), Horses (-£83.89), Cricket (-£58.00)

I think the Basketball loss should be seen in the context of our overall NBA book, which is one of the most promising ever seen on Fred.

"Motorsport", once the least successful Sport on Fred, & down over £1,000 at one stage iirc, is now only £264 down, reflecting some great work by our F1 experts. F1 starts again in March, & maybe we can climb into profit in Motorsport in 2015.

Our current "Least Profitable Sport"? Basketball. Pretty sure that will turn into profit in 2015, given our NBA book. 

Golf is our "third worst" Sport, @ -£426. Don't quite know what to make of that, but golf is high variance, & a single outright win could correct that at a stroke. Or not. We don't seem to do so much golf as previously, not sure why.

Our 2nd most profitable "Sport" is "Misc". Incred.