Tips for Tikay

[Teacake]

Bunting had 3 bounce outs at crucial times that really cost him.

His darts are ridiculously light, something like 11g so he is prone to bounce outs.

[maldini32]

Andre Russel top Renegades batsman in tomorrows Melbourne derby.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/t20-big-bash/melbourne-renegades-v-melbourne-stars/top-melbourne-renegades-batsman

He has been pushed up the order. Batted 4th last match, its bit of a dart he could easily bat 6 or 7 but at the price its worth a small interest. If he gets in he scores very quickly and can clear the boundary comfortably.

Stick a tenner on @ 12's Boyles or Laddies.

[Omm]

Bunting didn't do much wrong. He walked in to Barney on a good day.

Cracking match, of course we were on the wrong side but could easily have gone the other way, whoever told Barney to put his specs on needs shooting.

[tikay]

Bunting didn't do much wrong. He walked in to Barney on a good day.

Cracking match, of course we were on the wrong side but could easily have gone the other way, whoever told Barney to put his specs on needs shooting.

It ebbed & flowed throughout, but eventually ebbed at the wrong & decisive moment.

No regrets here, it was a cracking bet. Be a long time before we see Bunting at those prices again. 

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £25-00

Outstanding Bets £3591.46

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=34

A loss of £70 yesterday with Bunting beating 5-4 by RVB in the PDC Quarters

Only able to follow on twitter, I gather that after RVB missed four doubles to win the set at 2-2 he put his glasses on.

This reminded me of the story where a cricketing thespian, C Aubrey-Smith, goes out to field in a game many many years ago. After a while his captain asked him to field at slip, and the actor called to the boundary

"bring me me glasses"

His butler brought on his glasses

Play resumes and next ball Aubrey-Smith drops a dolly, to general exasperation

He takes off his glasses, looks at them and says to the captain

"Damn blasted fool brought me my reading glasses"

Which perhaps is not the most appropriate anecdote from darts to cricket, but its all i've got

Anyway, a good run for the Bunting bets, and nearly a real sweat until...

Click to see full-size image.

tikay won't have checked, but he has MVG at 100-30 off thread running for him now, an offer price from a few weeks back

elsewhere

Cleveland Cavs, minus Lebron, beat Charlotte 91-87

Dallas Mavs beat Boston Celtics 119-101. Rajan Rondo returned to Boston for the first time since his tgrade to Dallas, scored 29 points and 5 assists. this was the most points he has scored in a game for two years, but it does seem his assist numbers are suffering. Perhaps a change of playing style?

Click to see full-size image.

Golden State beat the Toronto Raptors 126-105


The NFL play offs start tonight, we have Pittsburgh in the late game in what will be a rainy snotty nosed battle between divisional rivals. Pitt are 3 point favourites but have to play without injured star runnign back LeVeon Bell

The Steelers are 0-3 and have averaged 14.0 PPG in the games Le'Veon Bell has missed in his career

We have 14/1 the Steelers for the AFC Conference

[tikay]

"tikay won't have checked, but he has MVG at 100-30 off thread running for him now, an offer price from a few weeks back"

!

Love to see things like that, & no, I was not aware. Thank you.

Err, go MvG!

[tikay]

As it's Saturday, & so I'm allowd to stay up late tonight, can we have some NFL tips for tonight's games, please?

[Newportlad]

Tonight sees the start of the NFL playoffs.
The first game is Arizona Cardlinals at Carolina Panthers.   As we know, Arizona are down to their 3rd string QB in Ryan Lindley.
Carolina on the other hand have won their last 4 games through great defence, and QB Cam Newton getting back to full health.   Arizona have a really good defence as well, so a low scoring game is likely (line is set at 38)
I had a look at the line for Ryan Lindley passing yards, and was expecting around the 180 mark.  I was very surprised to see that Redshoutyman has is at 225.

Recommend £100 on this.  Looks good value unless I'm missing something.

[TightEnd]

Tonight sees the start of the NFL playoffs.
The first game is Arizona Cardlinals at Carolina Panthers.   As we know, Arizona are down to their 3rd string QB in Ryan Lindley.
Carolina on the other hand have won their last 4 games through great defence, and QB Cam Newton getting back to full health.   Arizona have a really good defence as well, so a low scoring game is likely (line is set at 38)
I had a look at the line for Ryan Lindley passing yards, and was expecting around the 180 mark.  I was very surprised to see that Redshoutyman has is at 225.

Recommend £100 on this.  Looks good value unless I'm missing something.

we wouldn't get £100 on, generally limited to £25 or so

Lindley passed for 216 against Seattle, 316 against the 49ers the past two weeks..both higher numbers than you'd expect against those opponents

this bet wouldn't be the slam dunk you think it is, though the Carolina defense has come back to form in the last month as you say

[TightEnd]

I think we can have a decent sweat on the FA Cup.  Seems to me the each way value in recent seasons has been premier league teams who are solid midtable outfits, not likely to be involved in relegation or Europa league places, who also have favourable 3rd round draws.

In the last 10 years, Stoke, Pompey, Everton, West Ham and Hull have all reached the final with that profile.  Only Pompey have actually won from this bunch, but the each way odds are attractive.

With that in mind, what are people's views on throwing a few £5 ew darts at:

Swansea at 40-1 (away to Tranmere)
Stoke at 40-1 (home to Wrexham)
Villa at 66-1 (home to Blackpool)

I actually like Stoke the most.  Might do £10 e/w on them.    Not an original idea by any stretch - but worse a discussion I think.

Villa? ughhhhh

Newcastle?

anyway, not much comment on these.

any thoughts on the theory behind the bets? (avoid teams going for top 6, at risk of bottom 3, liable to huge rotation, lack of motivation to win FA Cup)

obviously a deadline of lunchtime ish

[MereNovice]

Andre Russel top Renegades batsman in tomorrows Melbourne derby.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/t20-big-bash/melbourne-renegades-v-melbourne-stars/top-melbourne-renegades-batsman

He has been pushed up the order. Batted 4th last match, its bit of a dart he could easily bat 6 or 7 but at the price its worth a small interest. If he gets in he scores very quickly and can clear the boundary comfortably.

Stick a tenner on @ 12's Boyles or Laddies.

Missed out by one run.
If he had won this bet without making double figures it would have been my favourite tip of all time.

http://www.espncricinfo.com/big-bash-league-2014-15/engine/match/756763.html

[hector62]

I like the FA cup theory but I am uggh on Villa as well as they struggle to score goals.

[horseplayer]

Would not be mad keen on villa as a side either

However they are a 66_1 shot very easy to be negative about those and they have the plumb draw as dung says

[tikay]

Andre Russel top Renegades batsman in tomorrows Melbourne derby.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/t20-big-bash/melbourne-renegades-v-melbourne-stars/top-melbourne-renegades-batsman

He has been pushed up the order. Batted 4th last match, its bit of a dart he could easily bat 6 or 7 but at the price its worth a small interest. If he gets in he scores very quickly and can clear the boundary comfortably.

Stick a tenner on @ 12's Boyles or Laddies.

Missed out by one run.
If he had won this bet without making double figures it would have been my favourite tip of all time.

Vince, great to see you here!

Do you have any views on forthcoming Ladies Tennis for us? What, in particular, should we be looking for?

Click to see full-size image.

[maldini32]

Andre Russel top Renegades batsman in tomorrows Melbourne derby.

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/t20-big-bash/melbourne-renegades-v-melbourne-stars/top-melbourne-renegades-batsman

He has been pushed up the order. Batted 4th last match, its bit of a dart he could easily bat 6 or 7 but at the price its worth a small interest. If he gets in he scores very quickly and can clear the boundary comfortably.

Stick a tenner on @ 12's Boyles or Laddies.

Missed out by one run.
If he had won this bet without making double figures it would have been my favourite tip of all time.

http://www.espncricinfo.com/big-bash-league-2014-15/engine/match/756763.html

Lowest score every in the big bash. It's harsh missing out by one, can't really complain when your man scores 9!