Tips for Tikay

[Peter-27]

FP2 just finished for the Buenos Aires ePrix - based on the results I can't really see any value for the win at the moment.

Although, Karun Chandhok at 50/1 might be a nice each way bet. You can bet on him each way, but it doesn't say what positions that would be - I assume 1st, 2nd or 3rd?

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-e/buenos-aires-eprix/winner

[TightEnd]

FP2 just finished for the Buenos Aires ePrix - based on the results I can't really see any value for the win at the moment.

Although, Karun Chandhok at 50/1 might be a nice each way bet. You can bet on him each way, but it doesn't say what positions that would be - I assume 1st, 2nd or 3rd?

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-e/buenos-aires-eprix/winner

Event Information:    Race 4 - Buenos Aires
Formula E
2015-01-10 15:00:00
Market:    Race winner
Selection:    Karun Chandhok @ 50/1
   
Receipt No.:    O/142640973/0000824
Placed at:    14:44 10/01/2015
Bet Type:    Single
Stake Per Line:    £5.00
Number of lines:    2
Stake:    £10.00
Tax:    £0.00
Tax Rate:    0.00%
Total Paid:    £10.00
   
   
   £310.00

1/5 1,2,3

[TightEnd]

I think Fred should have £30 on Durrant at 11/10 in this evenings darts. He has been very impressive all tournament averaging mid to high 90s every round. Adams was always a bit suspect under pressure in his peak and bottle generally doesn't improve with age. Durrant has been more impressive to this point and I'd have him the marginal favourite here.

    Bet Reference: 687461788
    Single
            Glenn Durrant v Martin Adams
            Glen Durrant 11/10   
        Match Prices
    Total Stake: (30.00 x 1) 30.00
    Possible Payout (inc. stake) 63.00

[TightEnd]

NFL Play offs today



we are on Bal +7 and Car +11.5 from earlier in the week

only the third time ever that all 4 favourites are favoured by 6 points or more

Since 1990, 24/96 of the wildcard round winners ended up winning in the divisional round

All four favorites in Divisional Playoffs have not covered since 1991

i think one of the favourites, at least, is going to get beat this weekend


open for business on sub-markets etc tonight or for tomorrow's two games

Yes, I'd like a few "interest" bets for tonoight's Televised games if possible, please.

for reference from twitter

Ravens (+7) receiving 52% of bets. 60% taking over 47.5

Seahawks (-11) receiving 57% of bets. 58% taking under 39.5

[Tal]

This is really boring, but I've spent the last two days getting more and more convinced that New England are going to win comfortably tonight.

The sub-zero temperatures won't make too much difference:

Click to see full-size image.

These numbers aren't wildly different from their warmer scores. Flacco is a playoff specialist seemingly and has won the most playoff games on the road among QBs in recent times (possibly ever?). Add a bit for that in the calculations.

But the big difference between last week and this for the Ravens is the QB release speed. Brady is so much quicker than Roethlisberger at letting the ball go and that makes the Ravens pass rush far less effective. He's also wilier and with far more options available to him (remember that Big Ben had lost his Bell last week).

The Ravens don't match up well on offence on paper and I can't help feel they've flattered to deceive. Flacco will have to perform keyhole surgery while being blitzed with his team of second-tier receivers. If they don't get the ground game firing against Wilfork and co, they've no chance of a repeat of the win in 2013.

The Patriots will attack in the deep, where Baltimore are weakest, which brings in Brandon LaFell, whose 65.5 line feels attractive to me (BMU). I'd say the same about Gronk but it seems impossibly dull to pick him

Views, Tighty et al?

[TightEnd]

We are on Baltimore +7

It will depend on whether the Baltimore pass rushers, suggs and dumervil, get success against the Patriots OL

This is a match up i like, a baltimore strength against a pats weakness

you have to like it to fancy baltimore as because as you say, the pats should do well against the ravens secondary. they will probably double gronk with c j mosley and a safety

so, to your question, la fell should be 1 on 1 with a corner.

[Tal]

We are on Baltimore +7

It will depend on whether the Baltimore pass rushers, suggs and dumervil, get success against the Patriots OL

This is a match up i like, a baltimore strength against a pats weakness

you have to like it to fancy baltimore as because as you say, the pats should do well against the ravens secondary. they will probably double gronk with c j mosley and a safety

so, to your question, la fell should be 1 on 1 with a corner.

Patriots wideouts looks the obvious thing to focus on for me. Brady has Edelman for short passes (Vereen on 3rd) and Gronk will be double covered as you say. Amendola might get a few plays but shouldn't this be a game where, if La Fell can get separation from a corner, he should find some good numbers?

[TightEnd]

if you think he will not be under pressure - Lafell

if you think he will be forced to move around and throw quickly, screens to vereen, short stuff/crossing routes to edelman

take your pick :-)

[Bazzaboy]

Mitchell 5-0 up in a race to 6.

[Tal]

if you think he will not be under pressure - Lafell

if you think he will be forced to move around and throw quickly, screens to vereen, short stuff/crossing routes to edelman

take your pick :-)

I think it was Max Euwe who said the best way to play is not to do what you want to do most. but what your opponent wants you to do least.

Here, that would be attacking the secondary. LaFell, please.

[Bazzaboy]

Mitchell through to the final

[TightEnd]

Event Information:    Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots - Player Props
NFL Player Props
2015-01-10 21:35:00
Market:    Receiving Yards - B LaFell
Selection:    Over @ 10/11
Handicap:    +65.5
   
Receipt No.:    O/142640973/0000825
Placed at:    15:52 10/01/2015
Bet Type:    Single
Stake Per Line:    £27.50
Number of lines:    1
Stake:    £27.50
Tax:    £0.00
Tax Rate:    0.00%
Total Paid:    £27.50
   
   
   £52.50

[TightEnd]

Mitchell through to the final

guaranteed profit, well done

if he finishes anything like he has over the last 48 hours, he will win. might be priced as underdog to Adams too?

[Marky147]

Wasn't on myself, but good stuff for all the punters who are on!

[Bazzaboy]

Mitchell through to the final

guaranteed profit, well done

if he finishes anything like he has over the last 48 hours, he will win. might be priced as underdog to Adams too?

He will probably be about 6/5 tomorrow against Adams, 11/10 v Durrant. He definitely has a shot, he scored and finished really apart from a couple of legs in the 5th set.