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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16365448 times)
horseplayer
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« Reply #93900 on: January 15, 2015, 10:16:41 AM »

Thanks Berg - will do this for an interest.

Last time I watched the African nations cup it was terrible though.  Bad pitches and 5 of the first 7 games I happened watch had 1 goal or less!  Think that was 4/6 years ago

I'll give it another go on your recommendation!

Usually a mixture of the sublime the ridiculous and the average

And that's just in one game

Certainly improved massively standard wise though like the bet berg this is their cup final e.t.c
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« Reply #93901 on: January 15, 2015, 10:22:38 AM »

I think Burkina Faso is a really good bet but it has to be each way, so I would suggest going in for the 16s ew for a small bet (£5ew?) if you want an interest, unless you can get someone else to get on for you at bet365, I am maxed out on there for this bet. 20s to 16s is a difference though, so I guess I will leave the final choice to the seasoned gamblers amongst you.

The top scorer bet is more of a punt for sure, so I guess would leave that one at the lower odds.

My favorite tournament the African Cup of Nations starts this weekend (football hipster alert!). It is being held in Equatorial Guinea. It was a last minute decision to move it there and some of the pitches and stadiums could be interesting!

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/africa-cup-of-nations/african-nations-cup/winner

The draw is heavily lopsided with Groups C and D being by far the toughest and teams from these two groups playing each other in the quarter finals. It is also an open tournament this year, with usual favourites Ivory Coast far weaker than previous years and Nigeria, Egypt and Morocco not there.

Looking at Groups A and B, Tunisia are probably the strongest team on paper but Egypt are the only North African team to ever win outside of North Africa, so history goes against them here.

The bet I would suggest is Burkina Faso each way. They were surprise runners up two years ago and have the easiest draw possible with a very winnable group and if they manage that they will likely avoid Tunisia in the quarter finals. They are not the best side in the competition, they are solid and have some good players but don't have any players in the English league so are a little unknown. I would hope that if/when they make the semis and face probably their first strong opponents of the competition, they will be less tired having had an easier run. And as we have seen when they made the final two years ago, Zambia winning it 3 years ago and Drogba's strong Ivory Coast team never managing to win, there is potential for outsiders to make a run in this competition.

I don't think Ivory Coast deserve to be favourites or rather they are favourites by default, they are defensively suspect and will miss Drogba and I would look to lay them. Algeria have a strong side but the precedent for North African side not winning in the rest of the continent is hard to ignore. Senegal, Cameroon and Ghana all have a shot and I will enjoy watching their matches but all these five teams are in Groups C and D so I don't see how any of them can be a bet.

Suggest Burkina Faso each way 20/1 with Bet365

- corrected typos.


Bet365 maxmimum is £1.50 each way

bwin win only 20-1 is possible

if not i would have to take 16-1

Bet365 Pitropra maxmimum is 75p each way

the best place i could most likely get on is betfred at 28-1

please advise
« Last Edit: January 15, 2015, 10:27:35 AM by bergeroo » Logged
TightEnd
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« Reply #93902 on: January 15, 2015, 10:28:37 AM »

no problem

17 Jan 2015 - Africa Cup Of Nations 2015 - Outright - Outright
Tip It

Burkina Faso @ 16/1  EW @ 1/3 1-2

Stake : £10.00 (£5.00 x 2)
Estimated Returns : £
116.66



i follow Algeria quite closely because of Mahrez. They were good in the world cup and in games since have been better (albeit in warm ups most recently). i like them of the shorter priced teams
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« Reply #93903 on: January 15, 2015, 10:31:41 AM »

Sorry, you were a bit quick for me...

I can do the GS bet, if you want it?
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« Reply #93904 on: January 15, 2015, 10:33:01 AM »

Sorry, you were a bit quick for me...

I can do the GS bet, if you want it?

yes please
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« Reply #93905 on: January 15, 2015, 10:35:38 AM »

Sorry, you were a bit quick for me...

I can do the GS bet, if you want it?

yes please

£5EW @ 40/1 Jonathan Pitroipa

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« Reply #93906 on: January 15, 2015, 11:05:05 AM »

no problem

17 Jan 2015 - Africa Cup Of Nations 2015 - Outright - Outright
Tip It

Burkina Faso @ 16/1  EW @ 1/3 1-2

Stake : £10.00 (£5.00 x 2)
Estimated Returns : £
116.66



i follow Algeria quite closely because of Mahrez. They were good in the world cup and in games since have been better (albeit in warm ups most recently). i like them of the shorter priced teams

1/3 1-2 seems dreadful to me.  We can get 20/1 win only or can take 16/1 and then get 5/1 the final.  You can definitely beat one on Betfair and the other doesn't look much of a stretch.  I think we need to stop, count to 10 and think if we can't get the original price. 

I think the order should have been
Wait to see if we can get 20/1 1-2 from someone.  I know I am busy, but do pop in every so often.
If not win only
If not Betfair
If not walk away
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #93907 on: January 15, 2015, 11:15:06 AM »

Ladbrokes making quite a few horseracing ricks at the moment.

Not a recommend, but they were way to big earlier with Handy Andy in the 2.35 opening at . 2pts bigger than anyone else.

They are still 10-1 on Gunna be a devil in 3.40, which again is far bigger than it will be tomorrow.



As suggested, both these horses are now a lot shorter than their original price

Handy Andy, best 13/2 as low as 5-1

Gunna be a devil was 10-1 now best 6-1, as low as 5-1.


These are not tips, but horses I know are likely to be backed, they will provide either value, or a chance to lay back for free.

If Fred wants these posted each day, just say the word.
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« Reply #93908 on: January 15, 2015, 11:23:48 AM »

no problem

17 Jan 2015 - Africa Cup Of Nations 2015 - Outright - Outright
Tip It

Burkina Faso @ 16/1  EW @ 1/3 1-2

Stake : £10.00 (£5.00 x 2)
Estimated Returns : £
116.66



i follow Algeria quite closely because of Mahrez. They were good in the world cup and in games since have been better (albeit in warm ups most recently). i like them of the shorter priced teams

1/3 1-2 seems dreadful to me.  We can get 20/1 win only or can take 16/1 and then get 5/1 the final.  You can definitely beat one on Betfair and the other doesn't look much of a stretch.  I think we need to stop, count to 10 and think if we can't get the original price. 

I think the order should have been
Wait to see if we can get 20/1 1-2 from someone.  I know I am busy, but do pop in every so often.
If not win only
If not Betfair
If not walk away

all noted

i have limited time, and a window to get things done on here early in the morning, hence not being patient
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« Reply #93909 on: January 15, 2015, 11:24:27 AM »

bet365 ‏@bet365

We're NRNB/Best Odds Guaranteed on the Clarence House: Sprinter Sacre 1/1, Dodging Bullets 5/2, Twinlight 5/1, Somerbsy 6/1, Grey Gold 50/1.

Nicky Henderson said, "All being well we are going to go".

as 5 were in at final decs this morning
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« Reply #93910 on: January 15, 2015, 11:25:09 AM »

Ladbrokes making quite a few horseracing ricks at the moment.

Not a recommend, but they were way to big earlier with Handy Andy in the 2.35 opening at . 2pts bigger than anyone else.

They are still 10-1 on Gunna be a devil in 3.40, which again is far bigger than it will be tomorrow.



As suggested, both these horses are now a lot shorter than their original price

Handy Andy, best 13/2 as low as 5-1

Gunna be a devil was 10-1 now best 6-1, as low as 5-1.


These are not tips, but horses I know are likely to be backed, they will provide either value, or a chance to lay back for free.

If Fred wants these posted each day, just say the word.

all info greatly appreciated

even if its not suitable for the "book", it may be info that other people will take advantage of
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« Reply #93911 on: January 15, 2015, 11:39:32 AM »



Iago Aspas scored again last night for Sevilla, he is the top scorer in the cup with 7 goals





Who knew this was even possible.
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« Reply #93912 on: January 15, 2015, 12:09:37 PM »

Ladbrokes making quite a few horseracing ricks at the moment.

Not a recommend, but they were way to big earlier with Handy Andy in the 2.35 opening at . 2pts bigger than anyone else.

They are still 10-1 on Gunna be a devil in 3.40, which again is far bigger than it will be tomorrow.



As suggested, both these horses are now a lot shorter than their original price

Handy Andy, best 13/2 as low as 5-1

Gunna be a devil was 10-1 now best 6-1, as low as 5-1.


These are not tips, but horses I know are likely to be backed, they will provide either value, or a chance to lay back for free.

If Fred wants these posted each day, just say the word.

Yes please Adz, I'd like them posted every day. Smiley
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« Reply #93913 on: January 15, 2015, 01:11:08 PM »

Promising start for the golf bets

Kaymer, our 14-1 suggestion, leading at -8

Uihlein, a great poke at 110-1 from bobby1, in tied 6th, 3 off the lead, at -5.
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« Reply #93914 on: January 15, 2015, 01:17:56 PM »

Nice start from Levy too Wink
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