Tips for Tikay

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £348.84

Outstanding Bets £3616.97

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=19

a loss of £33 yesterday with both backed horses unplaced in the Betfair hurdle won by Violet Dancer on a day where the Champion Jockey x19 Grand National winner x1 Gold Cup winner x2 Sports Personality of the Year winner x1 announced his impending retirement

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ongoing positions

Tennis

Janowicz plays Gasquet today in the final of ATP Montpellier after his three set winner over Sousa in yesterday's semi

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Rugby Union

Scotland lost 15-8 in Paris in the opening round of the six nations. Scotland look an exciting side in the making with finally some backs to score points but our top tounament points scorer Gregg Laidlaw had a slow start, with 3 points from 1 kick in the game



NBA

the Chicago Bulls thrashed the Pelicans 107-72

Anthony Davis went off injured for the Pelicans last night....at which point things took a turn for the worse

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the Dallas Mavs beat the Portland trailblazers 111-101, in overtime propelled by veteran superstar Dirk Nowitzki's 25 points

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NCAA

Duke beat Notre Dame 90-60 to go 20-3 for the season, currently nationally ranked number 4. Their star player Jahlil Okafor has scored 10+ points in 23 straight games, tying Duke's freshman record



Football

Premier League

Good news for the Crystal Palace bets with another away win, a real smash and grab against Leicester



Just a point for Liverpool in the Merseyside derby, not much use for our handicap bet

A 93rd minute winner at Loftus road for Southampton. More grist to the Koeman manager of the year mill, and i should probably take the relegation bet as a loser now they have 45 points



Newcastle and Stoke play each other today, West Ham and West Brom in action too

Championship

Watford beat Blackburn 1-0 with a late goal. Watford remain 6th

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Fulham drew 1-1 at home with Birmingham and are 15 points off the top six, not really in the consistent form to make a run at the play offs

Bamford scored again for Middlesborough

He now has 9 in the league this season, two behind penalty taker Leadbitter from midfield. that bet could come down to the wire

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Hooper scored a hatrick for Norwich

Such a shame he was injured just before the season started and couldn't get back in the team until Adams left

Since his return, according to whoscored.com, Hooper has a better conversion rate (45.3%) than any other player with 5+ goals in the Championship this season

Hooper now has 9 this season, 4th in the goalscorer standings has 13. Just a squeak for us if his form continues

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League one

Peterborough took the lead at Fleetwood but were held to a 1-1 draw

Doncaster lost 2-0 at home to Walsall

So Peterborough are 10th, set neither to get promoted or finish in the bottom half

they have 38 points, Doncaster 36 in the chunky match bet that we have

League Two

Newport lost their fourth in a row, this time at Wimbledon, are 6th now nine points off the top 3

Scotland

Hearts won 3-2 at Livingston and are 19 (N-N-N-nineteen) points clear at the top of the championship

Non League 

At 0-0 the quixotically named Crusher McGrath blasted a penalty over the bar. 30 seconds later, straight from the goal kick Burgess Hill town FC went down the other end and scored on their way to a 3-0 win

Guernsey are 11th, some 24 points off the top 3

 

[TightEnd]

Markets for SPOTY have moved substantially on yesterday's news, identified in a post yesterday

[Tal]

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[TightEnd]

basketball ante-post round up

Book size: £1,035

Teams
     
basketball   nba championship   cavaliers   9/2   50           
basketball   NBA Championship   Cavaliers   7/2   100            £50 e/w 1/2 1,2

The Cavaliers have won 9 of their last 10 since Lebron returned from injury. Half a game behind Chicago in their division they are currently 5th seeds in the conference
 
basketball    NBA - Atlantic Division 2014/15    Toronto Raptors   5/6   100   
basketball   NBA Championship   Toronto Raptors   66/1   20            £10 e/w 1/2 1,2

Toronto are top of the Eastern-Atlantic with a 34-17 record. 12.5 games clear in their division and as of now number 2 seeds in their confrence
   
basketball    NBA - Southwest Division 2014/15    Dallas Mavericks   10/1   10   

The Western-South west division is very tough. the Mavs are 3rd in it with a 35-18 record, 3.5 games off the division lead
         
basketball    NBA - Southwest Division    San Antonio Spurs   1.83   60   
                 NBA Southwest division   San Antonio Spurs  5/2     60

in the same division the Spurs are 4th with a 32-18 record and currently 7th play-off seeds in the conference

basketball   NBA Championship   Chicago Bulls   8/1   40            £20 e/w 1/2 1,2

The Bulls lead in Cleveland's division and currently 4th seeds in their conference

basketball   NBA Championship   LA Clippers   12/1   40            £20 e/w 1/2 1,2

The Clippers (33-18) are second in the Western-Pacific behind the team with the best record in the NBA currently, the Golden State Warriors (40-9). The Clippers are currently the 6th seed in the conference

basketball   NBA Northwestern division   Portland Trailblazers   10/11   55

Portland are 8.5 games clear in the Western-Northwest with a 34-17 record

basketball   NCAA Basketball   Duke   10/1   5           
basketball   NCAA Basketball   Duke   10/1   5           
basketball   NCAA Basketball   Duke   10   10     

Duke are nationally ranked 4, with a 20-3 record see http://espn.go.com/mens-college-basketball/team/schedule/_/id/150/duke-blue-devils

ahead of march madness, kentucky are overwhelming favourites

players
         
basketball   nba season most assists   Rajan Rondo   5/2   200            £100 e/w 1/5 1,2,3 (£80 e/w sonour)

currently injured and 4th in Assists per game.

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/assists/sort/avgAssists/year/2015/seasontype/2
           
basketball   NBA MVP   A Davies   6/1   30

currently 4th in points per game, but injured last night and on a poor team which counts against him

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/scoring-per-game
   
basketball   NBA - Rookie of the Year 2014/15   Nerlens Noel   10/1   40           
basketball   NBA Rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   20   
basketball   nba rookie of the year   wiggins   7.0   80
                Lay Wiggins £100 at 1.2, liability £20
     
Wiggins remains a short odds-on favourite for this title. He leads all rookies in scoring by a distance

http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/scoring-per-game/sort/avgPoints/position/rookies

[TightEnd]

if anyone wants some light reading

"An improbable remodel has given the Mavs real title hope"

http://espn.go.com/dallas/nba/story/_/id/12207266/remodeled-dallas-mavericks-ready-go-it

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[TightEnd]

it looks like janowicz pulled out of the final injured at 3-0 down in the first?

Gasquet is on the wires as the winner

unlucky hector but great shout, again, on the tennis

[hector62]

Not sure if we were lucky or unlucky with Janowicz. He has been ill for 2 days so I guess on the whole we got lucky to get
to the final. Ah well onto next weeks tournaments.

[hector62]

Next weeks tennis in Brazil has one of my favourite players from last year back on his favourite surface. Pablo Cuevas was consistently under rated by the bookies and won 2 tournaments. There are several players who could win this and Cuevas is the biggest price of the contenders.

Suggest £10 e/w Cuevas @ 16-1 with Victor, Corals and Laddies. Those with Paddy P can get 20-1.

[TightEnd]

 Sao Paulo - Mens Pablo Cuevas (EW) (Outright - Outright) Odds: 16/1 Stake: 20.00 Possible Return:  260.00

e/w 1/2 1,2

betvictor

[Tal]

Bump

Any views on the BAFTA for Outstanding British Film?

Imitation Game         10/11
Theory of Everything 5/4
Pride                            12/1
71                                  25/1
Under the Skin            33/1
Paddington                 40/1

Seems reasonable to call this a two horse race between the the film with guy who played Stephen Hawking on TV and the film with the guy who is playing him in a film.

The best actor nod is Cumberbatch's fifth nomination by BAFTA, although his first for a film. He has been unsuccessful on his previous four and he won't be beating Redmayne/Keaton this year. The film itself has had some criticism for its rather liberal recounting of events, when the truth of the Alan Turing story was as shocking and astonishing a story as could be told.

Must admit I'd love The Theory of Everything to win this. Any views here?

Winner. Hope people decided to give it a spin.

[scotty2hatty]

Bump

Any views on the BAFTA for Outstanding British Film?

Imitation Game         10/11
Theory of Everything 5/4
Pride                            12/1
71                                  25/1
Under the Skin            33/1
Paddington                 40/1

Seems reasonable to call this a two horse race between the the film with guy who played Stephen Hawking on TV and the film with the guy who is playing him in a film.

The best actor nod is Cumberbatch's fifth nomination by BAFTA, although his first for a film. He has been unsuccessful on his previous four and he won't be beating Redmayne/Keaton this year. The film itself has had some criticism for its rather liberal recounting of events, when the truth of the Alan Turing story was as shocking and astonishing a story as could be told.

Must admit I'd love The Theory of Everything to win this. Any views here?

Winner. Hope people decided to give it a spin.

What are you claiming a winner on Tal? I couldn't make out a recommend when you posted it, more asking for views.

[Tal]

Posted because I wanted it to win, really. Not because I know what I'm doing

[scotty2hatty]

Posted because I wanted it to win, really. Not because I know what I'm doing

As a side note, Paddington was great.

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £398.84

Outstanding Bets £3616.97

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=19

A profit of £50 yesterday, the each way return on Janowicz making the final in Montpellier at 12-1, with his withdrawal ill 3-0 down in the first against Gasquet

ongoing positions

three draws yesterday in the Premier League, and we had interest in each

relegation bet West Brom are 3 points above the bottom 3 after they came back from 2-0 down at Burnley to draw

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top ten bets Newcastle and Stoke drew 1-1. It could be that these two are fighting over one spot in the top 10, Stoke is the much bigger position

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top ten bet West Ham almost had a big result until Manchester United's late equaliser. West Ham are 8th, six points ahead of 11th

not very good news for the £200 rooney golden boot bet to see him trundling around the base of midfield game after game, it has to be said.

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in the NBA Kevin Love tops his season-high with 32 points as the cavs beat the Lakers, 120-105

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the LA Clippers were beaten at Oklahoma city 131-108

chicago bulls beat orlando 98-97, a comeback win at the buzzer

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portland trailblazers beat houston 109-98

toronto raptors won again, beating the spurs 87-82

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Latest forecast update from one outlet: Con 285, Lab 282, SNP 34, LD 26, DUP 8, UKIP 2. More details at http://electionforecast.co.uk. that would be fine for our LD bets

fun and games in the AFCON final, with the penalty shootout going to the keepers

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[Mark_Porter]

Burnley are now 9/5 to stay up. 

Dyche has been pushed out to 20/1 with BV to win LMA manager of the year.

We are already with Koeman at 4/1, now best price 2/1. Jose still heads the market at 6/5.

Dyche must be worth a fiver at that price? If he keeps Burnley up, given their resources, then he would surely have to be in the discussion. As it’s voted for by the managers of all 92 clubs then surely your lower tier clubs are more likely to recognise plucky Burnley than moneybags Mourinho?