Tips for Tikay

[Larry David]

Just another stat for those interested, Costa has played two games less but a huge difference in the shots at goal which tells you a lot about how good Aguero is at creating his own chances

Costa shots on goal 72
Aguero 104

[swinebag22]

re: laying City to finish 2nd

I think we should be cautious about betting based on things like aguero not scoring,pello under pressure, not a happy camp etc

City have generally been poor all season and some or all of the above factors (and more) have been prevalent all this time. The press have really latched on to them after Burnley/Barca but amongst this City are still putting in some good performances and getting results.
 
I'm not saying either way where City will finish this season, but I will say that the book is probably pretty much correct and should be a NO BET

Marv, luckboxes the Cheltenham Tipping Comp, thinks he knows everything.

Too good

[Larry David]

re: laying City to finish 2nd

I think we should be cautious about betting based on things like aguero not scoring,pello under pressure, not a happy camp etc

City have generally been poor all season and some or all of the above factors (and more) have been prevalent all this time. The press have really latched on to them after Burnley/Barca but amongst this City are still putting in some good performances and getting results.
 
I'm not saying either way where City will finish this season, but I will say that the book is probably pretty much correct and should be a NO BET

Good post, they still have more talent in the team than the other teams and they could easily go unbeaten for the rest of the season, plenty of gears in this team although you wouldn't think so at the moment.

[swinebag22]

re: laying City to finish 2nd

I think we should be cautious about betting based on things like aguero not scoring,pello under pressure, not a happy camp etc

City have generally been poor all season and some or all of the above factors (and more) have been prevalent all this time. The press have really latched on to them after Burnley/Barca but amongst this City are still putting in some good performances and getting results.
 
I'm not saying either way where City will finish this season, but I will say that the book is probably pretty much correct and should be a NO BET

Good post, they still have more talent in the team than the other teams and they could easily go unbeaten for the rest of the season, plenty of gears in this team although you wouldn't think so at the moment.

I am a season ticket holder and the only home games where we have had it all our own way was Spurs and Newcastle. Last season, it was generally procession. We have still won most games and away form has been pretty good all year. We have a pretty comfortable run in and would finish 2nd more often than not, hence the price offered.

[tikay]

re: laying City to finish 2nd

I think we should be cautious about betting based on things like aguero not scoring,pello under pressure, not a happy camp etc

City have generally been poor all season and some or all of the above factors (and more) have been prevalent all this time. The press have really latched on to them after Burnley/Barca but amongst this City are still putting in some good performances and getting results.
 
I'm not saying either way where City will finish this season, but I will say that the book is probably pretty much correct and should be a NO BET

Good post, they still have more talent in the team than the other teams and they could easily go unbeaten for the rest of the season, plenty of gears in this team although you wouldn't think so at the moment.

I am a season ticket holder and the only home games where we have had it all our own way was Spurs and Newcastle. Last season, it was generally procession. We have still won most games and away form has been pretty good all year. We have a pretty comfortable run in and would finish 2nd more often than not, hence the price offered.

As a season ticket holder you are in a better position that most to comment, & yes, they'll finish 2nd from here "more often than not".

The debate though is, is 4/9 is too short?

Would 4/6 not be nearer the mark? And at 4/9, it pushes all the other prices out.

It just, instinctively, feels too short. 

Football form is fickle, they could even win the EPL yet, it's far from impossible, & teams have won it from worse positions at this stage I would imagine?

Cracking debate.

[Larry David]

re: laying City to finish 2nd

I think we should be cautious about betting based on things like aguero not scoring,pello under pressure, not a happy camp etc

City have generally been poor all season and some or all of the above factors (and more) have been prevalent all this time. The press have really latched on to them after Burnley/Barca but amongst this City are still putting in some good performances and getting results.
 
I'm not saying either way where City will finish this season, but I will say that the book is probably pretty much correct and should be a NO BET

Good post, they still have more talent in the team than the other teams and they could easily go unbeaten for the rest of the season, plenty of gears in this team although you wouldn't think so at the moment.

I am a season ticket holder and the only home games where we have had it all our own way was Spurs and Newcastle. Last season, it was generally procession. We have still won most games and away form has been pretty good all year. We have a pretty comfortable run in and would finish 2nd more often than not, hence the price offered.

Indeed they would.  Do you not think looking at who has tough/easy games remaining is fairly pointless?  The mackems were expected to take 0 points from these away games.  Just thought I would throw this out there to make any decisions easier 

April 2014   Manchester United 1 Sunderland 2
                Chelsea 1  Sunderland 2
May 2014   Man City 0 Sunderland 1           

[BorntoBubble]

re: laying City to finish 2nd

I think we should be cautious about betting based on things like aguero not scoring,pello under pressure, not a happy camp etc

City have generally been poor all season and some or all of the above factors (and more) have been prevalent all this time. The press have really latched on to them after Burnley/Barca but amongst this City are still putting in some good performances and getting results.
 
I'm not saying either way where City will finish this season, but I will say that the book is probably pretty much correct and should be a NO BET

Good post, they still have more talent in the team than the other teams and they could easily go unbeaten for the rest of the season, plenty of gears in this team although you wouldn't think so at the moment.

I am a season ticket holder and the only home games where we have had it all our own way was Spurs and Newcastle. Last season, it was generally procession. We have still won most games and away form has been pretty good all year. We have a pretty comfortable run in and would finish 2nd more often than not, hence the price offered.

As a season ticket holder you are in a better position that most to comment, & yes, they'll finish 2nd from here "more often than not".

The debate though is, is 4/9 is too short?

Would 4/6 not be nearer the mark? And at 4/9, it pushes all the other prices out.

It just, instinctively, feels too short. 

Football form is fickle, they could even win the EPL yet, it's far from impossible, & teams have won it from worse positions at this stage I would imagine?

Cracking debate.

agree with this, how refreshing to see debate and not arguing! Loads of different opinions but no squabbling and that's how we all learn from peoples different views/opinions/stats.

[BorntoBubble]

re: laying City to finish 2nd

I think we should be cautious about betting based on things like aguero not scoring,pello under pressure, not a happy camp etc

City have generally been poor all season and some or all of the above factors (and more) have been prevalent all this time. The press have really latched on to them after Burnley/Barca but amongst this City are still putting in some good performances and getting results.
 
I'm not saying either way where City will finish this season, but I will say that the book is probably pretty much correct and should be a NO BET

Good post, they still have more talent in the team than the other teams and they could easily go unbeaten for the rest of the season, plenty of gears in this team although you wouldn't think so at the moment.

I am a season ticket holder and the only home games where we have had it all our own way was Spurs and Newcastle. Last season, it was generally procession. We have still won most games and away form has been pretty good all year. We have a pretty comfortable run in and would finish 2nd more often than not, hence the price offered.

Indeed they would.  Do you not think looking at who has tough/easy games remaining is fairly pointless?  The mackems were expected to take 0 points from these away games.  Just thought I would throw this out there to make any decisions easier 

April 2014   Manchester United 1 Sunderland 2
                Chelsea 1  Sunderland 2
May 2014   Man City 0 Sunderland 1           

We have to look at expectation to win games though, actual events are surely less relevant.

If City had 7 home games v bottom 7 teams and unit had 7 away games v top 8 teams and united were 5 points ahead of city now then city would still be favourites to finish above united purely because of the games remaining. In my eyes it is exactly the key to this bet, who had what games left and how likely are they to win or not win them games.

[Larry David]

This w/o Chelsea market, only two bookies have the prices up.  I haven't looked at this market until today, any of the other firms involved but taken prices down for some reason? or is it just the two?

[Larry David]

One person has spoken about the football guy at SKY being clueless in pricing up Arsenal, would it be giving him too much credit to suggest they may have liabilities already in this market so need to balance the book? MR T may know this.

[tikay]

One person has spoken about the football guy at SKY being clueless in pricing up Arsenal, would it be giving him too much credit to suggest they may have liabilities already in this market so need to balance the book? MR T may know this.

I would not know that, no, & if I did, I would not make it known, that's a conflict of interest. I have zero back office access.

I sometimes hint at how good results have been AFTER the event, (because Staff are kept informed as part of policy), but only if it is industry wide, such as Day One at Cheltenham last week, when it was well known & obvious that every Firm knocked it in.   

Argue has a view on Sky Bet''s traders, half the world have a view on Sky Bet, or in my case, I get told every day how poo Sky Poker is. Next Door, I'm tasked to field such questions & comments, here I turn the other cheek, this is where I come to play, & have bants with mates. 

Hat juggling ftw.

[Omm]

I can see a pattern emerging here

can already see the future

Maybe a thread could be started that willing contributors could ship some money that could be traded on in running tennis matches? Is that what you are think Aaron?

Groan, what a story........


http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=56870.0


Quite something to see the sort of people that fell for it, look at this list.....


Tikay - £400 SENT
MereNovice - £200 SENT
The Camel - £200
Ironside - £200
bobby1 - £200
Claypole - £200
Dubai - £200 SENT
Pleno1 - £200
Silo Graham - £200 SENT
ACE2M - £200
Girgy - £200
EvilPie - £200


Note that Trigg was on him like a shot, from the very get-go, within 6 minutes of a 20 page thread starting.......


sick inrunning results, almost as good as blatch's


I should hastily add, I'm certainly not suggesting Mr Larry is up to no good.

Not the first time I've read this but just spent the morning having a re read, really great read now (probably not at the time for those losing money). Tighy put a line near the end saying it was being discuss in diary on The Rail, just for curiosity's sake do u have the link Tikay?

[tikay]

I can see a pattern emerging here

can already see the future

Maybe a thread could be started that willing contributors could ship some money that could be traded on in running tennis matches? Is that what you are think Aaron?

Groan, what a story........


http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=56870.0


Quite something to see the sort of people that fell for it, look at this list.....


Tikay - £400 SENT
MereNovice - £200 SENT
The Camel - £200
Ironside - £200
bobby1 - £200
Claypole - £200
Dubai - £200 SENT
Pleno1 - £200
Silo Graham - £200 SENT
ACE2M - £200
Girgy - £200
EvilPie - £200


Note that Trigg was on him like a shot, from the very get-go, within 6 minutes of a 20 page thread starting.......


sick inrunning results, almost as good as blatch's


I should hastily add, I'm certainly not suggesting Mr Larry is up to no good.

Not the first time I've read this but just spent the morning having a re read, really great read now (probably not at the time for those losing money). Tighy put a line near the end saying it was being discuss in diary on The Rail, just for curiosity's sake do u have the link Tikay?

No, & I would not know how to find it. I'll have a look in a mo. (I can try inserting "solaris" into "Rail" Search).

To the best of my recollection, all but two of the investors were fuly recompensed eventually.

[swinebag22]

re: laying City to finish 2nd

I think we should be cautious about betting based on things like aguero not scoring,pello under pressure, not a happy camp etc

City have generally been poor all season and some or all of the above factors (and more) have been prevalent all this time. The press have really latched on to them after Burnley/Barca but amongst this City are still putting in some good performances and getting results.
 
I'm not saying either way where City will finish this season, but I will say that the book is probably pretty much correct and should be a NO BET

Good post, they still have more talent in the team than the other teams and they could easily go unbeaten for the rest of the season, plenty of gears in this team although you wouldn't think so at the moment.

I am a season ticket holder and the only home games where we have had it all our own way was Spurs and Newcastle. Last season, it was generally procession. We have still won most games and away form has been pretty good all year. We have a pretty comfortable run in and would finish 2nd more often than not, hence the price offered.

Indeed they would.  Do you not think looking at who has tough/easy games remaining is fairly pointless?  The mackems were expected to take 0 points from these away games.  Just thought I would throw this out there to make any decisions easier  

April 2014   Manchester United 1 Sunderland 2
                Chelsea 1  Sunderland 2
May 2014   Man City 2 Sunderland 2            

FYP - but still a great run

[tikay]

I can see a pattern emerging here

can already see the future

Maybe a thread could be started that willing contributors could ship some money that could be traded on in running tennis matches? Is that what you are think Aaron?

Groan, what a story........


http://blondepoker.com/forum/index.php?topic=56870.0


Quite something to see the sort of people that fell for it, look at this list.....


Tikay - £400 SENT
MereNovice - £200 SENT
The Camel - £200
Ironside - £200
bobby1 - £200
Claypole - £200
Dubai - £200 SENT
Pleno1 - £200
Silo Graham - £200 SENT
ACE2M - £200
Girgy - £200
EvilPie - £200


Note that Trigg was on him like a shot, from the very get-go, within 6 minutes of a 20 page thread starting.......


sick inrunning results, almost as good as blatch's


I should hastily add, I'm certainly not suggesting Mr Larry is up to no good.

Not the first time I've read this but just spent the morning having a re read, really great read now (probably not at the time for those losing money). Tighy put a line near the end saying it was being discuss in diary on The Rail, just for curiosity's sake do u have the link Tikay?

I just did a quick search by typing "siolaris" into "The Rail".

It does not seem to bring up a dedicated solaris thread, but he is referenced, or posts himself, on 20 or 30 different (unrelated) threads.

I don't actually recall a separate thread, but you know what I'm like these days.