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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16089397 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #98730 on: April 10, 2015, 08:22:15 PM »

Would you prefer to do min bet on the win at 11.0

and the top 2 finish at 3.0

in effect get the e/w bet that the rest are offering...

or 8-1 at Ladbrokes e/w getting 2.66-1 the place...

especiaily, the value is in the place, isn't it? 

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner



its ok

all the 8-1 is 1/4 the odds

new question

shall i back the place too and create the e/w bet?
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« Reply #98731 on: April 10, 2015, 08:26:14 PM »

Would you prefer to do min bet on the win at 11.0

and the top 2 finish at 3.0

in effect get the e/w bet that the rest are offering...

or 8-1 at Ladbrokes e/w getting 2.66-1 the place...

especiaily, the value is in the place, isn't it? 

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner



its ok

all the 8-1 is 1/4 the odds

new question

shall i back the place too and create the e/w bet?

Put up 4.0 on betfair?  It might not be taken, but 2/1 doesn't seem massive value and somebody may take it?  There is a huge gap between backers and layers right now.

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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
TightEnd
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« Reply #98732 on: April 10, 2015, 08:28:54 PM »

the win part is done anyway

Sebastian Vettel Winner    11    £5.00    
£50.00
Ref: 48795967716M Matched: 19:51 10-Apr-15

top 2 finish at 4.0+ then...?
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« Reply #98733 on: April 10, 2015, 08:31:00 PM »

Would you prefer to do min bet on the win at 11.0

and the top 2 finish at 3.0

in effect get the e/w bet that the rest are offering...

or 8-1 at Ladbrokes e/w getting 2.66-1 the place...

especiaily, the value is in the place, isn't it?  

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/chinese-grand-prix/winner



its ok

all the 8-1 is 1/4 the odds

new question

shall i back the place too and create the e/w bet?

Put up 4.0 on betfair?  It might not be taken, but 2/1 doesn't seem massive value and somebody may take it?  There is a huge gap between backers and layers right now.



This.

2/1 each way wouldn't be that great, 3/1 may be worth taking.

I'd rather just keep the win bet against my name for now TBH, may expand to each way depending on how tomorrow's practice session goes.

I will place more bets after FP3 .. although it finishes at 6AM and I'm not sure you guys will be online then? Qualifying starts at 8AM.

Question, I thought the "min bet" was now £10 rather than £5? Keep the Sebastian bet at £5, but I was hoping the Ericsson bet yesterday would have been £10.
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« Reply #98734 on: April 10, 2015, 08:35:23 PM »

easier just to specify a monetary amount then, Peter, avoid any confusion

1% =£50, 0.1% =£5 but whatever works for the person placing the bet

i'll set my alarm for 6am if i have a spreadsheet to update, wouldn't want to leave it untended for a few hours....:-).
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« Reply #98735 on: April 10, 2015, 08:35:33 PM »

Fingers crossed for Mr Kendall's Hills account.

My mole there informs me they are culling a lot of accounts pre Grand National day.


That would be bad news.

Very strange time to be dong it, just before their biggest day of the year, on a race when few have much of an edge.

Fingers crossed.


Very logical time to to do it.

Especially if their limits are high and they are going to be offering some special offer prices which will have arbers salivating.
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« Reply #98736 on: April 10, 2015, 08:39:32 PM »

easier just to specify a monetary amount then, Peter, avoid any confusion

1% =£50, 0.1% =£5 but whatever works for the person placing the bet

i'll set my alarm for 6am if i have a spreadsheet to update, wouldn't want to leave it untended for a few hours....:-).

Okay, but last time I suggested a £5 bet you said the minimum we now bet with "our" balance is £10. That's where the confusion came from, but I will now start to specify.

It is quite possible that after FP3 there will no more bets to suggest, just so you know. Would hate to think you wake up specifically to place my bets and then don't receive any tips from me!  Wink
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« Reply #98737 on: April 10, 2015, 08:41:13 PM »

Tikay!

TIKAY!!

Quick!!!

Sky Sports' Coverage Starting with MONTY!!!!

 Click to see full-size image.
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"You must take your opponent into a deep, dark forest, where 2+2=5, and the path leading out is only wide enough for one"
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« Reply #98738 on: April 10, 2015, 10:37:32 PM »

A very rare picture.

Monty holding an important golf trophy aloft in triumph.
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« Reply #98739 on: April 10, 2015, 10:43:17 PM »

A very rare picture.

Monty holding an important golf trophy aloft in triumph.

He won the Ryder Cup, you know. In fact, he actually captained a winning Europe team.
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« Reply #98740 on: April 10, 2015, 10:44:30 PM »

ouch camel loll, tickled me that statement
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« Reply #98741 on: April 11, 2015, 12:13:34 AM »


The reception Crenshaw got on the 18th was very moving.

Can't be too many sports where that would happen.
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« Reply #98742 on: April 11, 2015, 12:14:30 AM »


The reception Crenshaw got on the 18th was very moving.

Can't be too many sports where that would happen.

Was just telling the old man about that.

Was quite touching, even though I didn't have a clue who he was Cheesy

Some shift his caddy put in, too!
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« Reply #98743 on: April 11, 2015, 12:28:11 AM »

US Masters - Outrights Morgan Hoffman (EW) (Top Debutant - Tournament) Odds: 12/1 Stake: 30.00 Possible Return:  246.00

15 e/w 5 places

8 debs are going to make cut by the looks of it,

Willet -2,
Noh level
Compton +1
Hoffman +1
Koepka +1
Weisberger +1
Lahri +2
Tring ale +2

So we're in the mix at half way
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« Reply #98744 on: April 11, 2015, 05:11:45 AM »

I think 3/1+ (take 3/1 imo if the 7/2 is unavailable) on Palace to get into the top ten is a good bet. If you're still with C0ral they go 7/2 as of writing. £50 is the suggestion.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-10-finish

Murray is the target man we have needed all season to bring in better performances from our wingers which he is doing. In the last 4 games he has started we have won, the one where he didn't in that time was through suspension, which we lost and I think he would have been the difference against Southampton, in a tight game. 4 assists in his last 6 games and 5 goals in 5. I bemoaned in the early season that we missed Jerome for his target man capabilities, in Murray we have found one that can score a goal. I use the word found because he has been rejuvenated since his Reading loan and is flourishing under Pardew. Under the 4 starts he has had we have scored 2 or more goals too. I think he creates a better attacking intent within the team, and granted most of those goals were set pieces but I would argue we are getting more because of our main man.

Under Pardew, if he maintained the same record for Palace from the season's start we would be in 5th place. I think we still could be being underestimated (and shown in the favourable price) considering the dire start we had clouding what it is we are currently doing and that is competing very well in every game under Pardew. Thus I think the value is here.

I don't think the bet is a favourite to come in, things could go wrong, I just don't see it as a 3/1 shot.

Without a doubt there has been luck along the way with the run, but think the price isn't bad, especially when I see Everton 2 points behind us with 7/4 as their price. Their run in is a little easier and their form is very good too but I think it highlights the value.

Stoke/West Ham/Newcastle seem to be faltering but I know this one will be ran close until the end of the season. Especially as I hugely doubt Palace will keep up the roaring winning pace they have currently.

I think the intent will be maintained all the way with the players not playing as if on holiday though, as many of them will be worried that if they don't put in a shift until the very last game they may not find a starting berth waiting for them when they come back from their real ones in July. Also, I think the players are trying to make a statement about Palace demanding respect as a mid table rather than relegation threatened team, there is a chance to go 8th and that really would be a bold statement. I would say Pardew is selling them that.

The run in sees Sunderland, West Brom, Hull, Chelsea, Man Utd, Liverpool, Swansea. That gets really tricky looking towards the end, but I think the team have shown they can compete with the best in the league and think there could be at least one shock in there.

I may be wrong on this one, and throw it up to the more in the know, but tis my view and what I posit Smiley
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