Tips for Tikay

[Peter-27]

An interesting FP3 session, I'm just looking through the data before going through the market

[Peter-27]

These practice sessions have been bonkers, there is almost no correlation between the data we're getting session-to-session .. especially in the midfield. Make predicting anything at all extremely difficult. Additionally, the market is fairly well priced ..

Nevertheless, I've got two suggestions:

Double Points Finish - Toro Rosso @ 9/4 with 365. Both drivers look strong in one lap trim, and look average on race pace. When the data is this inconsistent, that should be enough to get both cars into the points. Suggest £10.

Points Finish - Romain Grosjean @ EVS with Victor and Coral. Romain has been on the cusp of the top ten on pace all weekend, I suspect with the straight line advantage that the Mercedes engine has over other power units, coupled with the long back straight in Shanghai, Romain will sneak into the top ten. Suggest £10.

[rinswun]

The Wild could also play the Ducks depending on results.

Minnesota are battle hardened now,negative or positive? Time will tell. Ducks have been playing soft for weeks so this team will be fresh and ready for redemption after that series v LA where they blew it.  St Louis are slowly getting back to full strength.  Really tough call which opposition  I would prefer.

I think it's a positive. The Wild have been playing with an intensity that not many other teams have matched over the last three months. It was probably pretty important for them to get in with a couple of games to spare so they could rest up key players and anyone who is feeling a bit dinged up.

As far as match ups go, personally I'd rather face the Blues - even though I think they are the more talented team. The Blues have a real lack of successful playoff experience with no player on their roster having any experience of winning more than one playoff round. The Ducks on the other hand, have a number of key players - Getzlaf, Perry, Kesler, Beauchemin -  who have made deep runs and won Stanley Cups. I feel that extra playoff experience could be vital so the Blues might be the easier match up.

[Tal]

Fingers crossed for Mr Kendall's Hills account.

My mole there informs me they are culling a lot of accounts pre Grand National day.

That would be bad news.

Very strange time to be dong it, just before their biggest day of the year, on a race when few have much of an edge.

Fingers crossed.

Very logical time to to do it.

Especially if their limits are high and they are going to be offering some special offer prices which will have arbers salivating.

They must be crushing the masters at the moment. I know Speith was high up but getting Rory and Tiger beat must set them up nicely for today.

[tikay]

Fingers crossed for Mr Kendall's Hills account.

My mole there informs me they are culling a lot of accounts pre Grand National day.

That would be bad news.

Very strange time to be dong it, just before their biggest day of the year, on a race when few have much of an edge.

Fingers crossed.

Very logical time to to do it.

Especially if their limits are high and they are going to be offering some special offer prices which will have arbers salivating.

They must be crushing the masters at the moment. I know Speith was high up but getting Rory and Tiger beat must set them up nicely for today.

Spieth would be a magnificent result for the Firms.

[BigAdz]

And his legion of fans no doubt. 

[TightEnd]

Daily Report

Profit on Month £199.51

Outstanding Bets £4319.91

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Aia1Hxq-NDNWdFk3UmlTSXMzTjRBTVNfOWRndVFsZHc&usp=drive_web#gid=23

A loss of £35 yesterday

- £20 Bless the wings unplaced in the Topham

-£15 Ouahab beaten in straight sets in Morocco

ongoing bets

Masters

We have a right ding dong between Casey and Rose, both -5, for top British player. With £25 e/w at 7-1, this would be a good one to get home

Hoffman M the top debutant bet is in the hunt too, two shots off the lead in that category at +1

Walker +1 and Westwood +2 just made the cut

Click to see full-size image.

NBA

The San Antonio Spurs division bet is coming down to the wire. They beat the Rockets  to win their 10th straight game and move ahead of them in the stgandings with 2 games left. The Spurs are 0.5 games behind Memphis, who frustratingly crept home by a point last night too

Click to see full-size image.

The Raptors won last night, the Cavs lost. Wiggins scored another 29 points in a loss for the Tmberwolves

IPL

Rajasthan beat Kings XI Punjab in their opening match, featuring five outstanding pieces of fielding to help defend their target

Murali Vijay, top batsman bet, opened his tournament with 37





MLB

The Boston Red Sox beat the Yankees 6-5 in 19 innings over 7 hours, the longest match in Red Sox history



The White Sox lost 6-0 to the Twins in their home opener

F1 qualifying is in progress

- McLarens out in Q1, a second off the Mercedes on the tyres that are a second quicker. So still two seconds off the pace



- One force india too, still looking like colourful combine harvesters. Reliable, but slow.

[TightEnd]

These practice sessions have been bonkers, there is almost no correlation between the data we're getting session-to-session .. especially in the midfield. Make predicting anything at all extremely difficult. Additionally, the market is fairly well priced ..

Nevertheless, I've got two suggestions:

Double Points Finish - Toro Rosso @ 9/4 with 365. Both drivers look strong in one lap trim, and look average on race pace. When the data is this inconsistent, that should be enough to get both cars into the points. Suggest £10.

Points Finish - Romain Grosjean @ EVS with Victor and Coral. Romain has been on the cusp of the top ten on pace all weekend, I suspect with the straight line advantage that the Mercedes engine has over other power units, coupled with the long back straight in Shanghai, Romain will sneak into the top ten. Suggest £10.

update those after qualifying please

both toro rossos out in Q2, so the price should drift nicely

[TightEnd]

I think 3/1+ (take 3/1 imo if the 7/2 is unavailable) on Palace to get into the top ten is a good bet. If you're still with C0ral they go 7/2 as of writing. £50 is the suggestion.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-10-finish

Murray is the target man we have needed all season to bring in better performances from our wingers which he is doing. In the last 4 games he has started we have won, the one where he didn't in that time was through suspension, which we lost and I think he would have been the difference against Southampton, in a tight game. 4 assists in his last 6 games and 5 goals in 5. I bemoaned in the early season that we missed Jerome for his target man capabilities, in Murray we have found one that can score a goal. I use the word found because he has been rejuvenated since his Reading loan and is flourishing under Pardew. Under the 4 starts he has had we have scored 2 or more goals too. I think he creates a better attacking intent within the team, and granted most of those goals were set pieces but I would argue we are getting more because of our main man.

Under Pardew, if he maintained the same record for Palace from the season's start we would be in 5th place. I think we still could be being underestimated (and shown in the favourable price) considering the dire start we had clouding what it is we are currently doing and that is competing very well in every game under Pardew. Thus I think the value is here.

I don't think the bet is a favourite to come in, things could go wrong, I just don't see it as a 3/1 shot.

Without a doubt there has been luck along the way with the run, but think the price isn't bad, especially when I see Everton 2 points behind us with 7/4 as their price. Their run in is a little easier and their form is very good too but I think it highlights the value.

Stoke/West Ham/Newcastle seem to be faltering but I know this one will be ran close until the end of the season. Especially as I hugely doubt Palace will keep up the roaring winning pace they have currently.

I think the intent will be maintained all the way with the players not playing as if on holiday though, as many of them will be worried that if they don't put in a shift until the very last game they may not find a starting berth waiting for them when they come back from their real ones in July. Also, I think the players are trying to make a statement about Palace demanding respect as a mid table rather than relegation threatened team, there is a chance to go 8th and that really would be a bold statement. I would say Pardew is selling them that.

The run in sees Sunderland, West Brom, Hull, Chelsea, Man Utd, Liverpool, Swansea. That gets really tricky looking towards the end, but I think the team have shown they can compete with the best in the league and think there could be at least one shock in there.

I may be wrong on this one, and throw it up to the more in the know, but tis my view and what I posit

thanks Mr Peace, welcome back

this is a complicated one because of hoe the book looks....

we have over £300 of exposure on Palace already, which of course looks terrific compared to the situation before the GOAT took over

we also have Stoke, West Ham and Newcastle to finish top 10

Stoke and West ham are 8th-9th 3 points ahead of Palace

3-1 looks like a more than fair price though and Everton 7/4 Palace 3/1+ does look striking

anyone got any thoughts?

[TightEnd]

for reference

[Doobs]

Am on phone, but us that £300 exposure real?  Some of it must be very close to won already.  So I think we can put another palace bet on.  Run in looks messy but sure they are still a bit underrated. 3/1+ just can't be bad.

If I had a paddies account I'd be backing the GOAT for manager of the year too. 

[Peter-27]

These practice sessions have been bonkers, there is almost no correlation between the data we're getting session-to-session .. especially in the midfield. Make predicting anything at all extremely difficult. Additionally, the market is fairly well priced ..

Nevertheless, I've got two suggestions:

Double Points Finish - Toro Rosso @ 9/4 with 365. Both drivers look strong in one lap trim, and look average on race pace. When the data is this inconsistent, that should be enough to get both cars into the points. Suggest £10.

Points Finish - Romain Grosjean @ EVS with Victor and Coral. Romain has been on the cusp of the top ten on pace all weekend, I suspect with the straight line advantage that the Mercedes engine has over other power units, coupled with the long back straight in Shanghai, Romain will sneak into the top ten. Suggest £10.

update those after qualifying please

both toro rossos out in Q2, so the price should drift nicely

I'll try to update at around 3PM UK time :-)

[TightEnd]

Crystal Palace7/2Top 10 Finish - 24/05/2015
Stake £50.00
Estimated Return:£225.00
Total Stake: £50.00
Potential Return: £225.00



anyone with anything for Aintree today?

Anything stand out in Masters prices at the half way stage?

[Larry David]

The Wild could also play the Ducks depending on results.

Minnesota are battle hardened now,negative or positive? Time will tell. Ducks have been playing soft for weeks so this team will be fresh and ready for redemption after that series v LA where they blew it.  St Louis are slowly getting back to full strength.  Really tough call which opposition  I would prefer.

I think it's a positive. The Wild have been playing with an intensity that not many other teams have matched over the last three months. It was probably pretty important for them to get in with a couple of games to spare so they could rest up key players and anyone who is feeling a bit dinged up.

As far as match ups go, personally I'd rather face the Blues - even though I think they are the more talented team. The Blues have a real lack of successful playoff experience with no player on their roster having any experience of winning more than one playoff round. The Ducks on the other hand, have a number of key players - Getzlaf, Perry, Kesler, Beauchemin -  who have made deep runs and won Stanley Cups. I feel that extra playoff experience could be vital so the Blues might be the easier match up.

St Louis probably win more games playing badly than Ducks which is what you need to do in the play-offs.  If you can keep Getzlaf and Perry quiet you can beat the ducks.  When these two click they are probably the most destructive duo in the league.  I would be a little worried that Wild may hit a flat spot as they have been playing at 100% just to secure a spot. a deep run would do as I didn't really expect them to win it or even make the finals.

[nellberg]

early ipl game today, chennai were poor against a average delhi side and got away with a win due to some bizarre tactics with the dd batting order. they shouldn't be same price to beat a far stronger sunrisers team, who can spark a game into life in the first 6 overs with bat (warner, dhawan) or ball (boult, steyn). depth of sunrisers batting isn't great, but bowling of boult, steyn, bhevi and karn sharma is a match for any attack and 2/1 for the sunrisers looks the value call

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/indian-premier-league/chennai-v-hyderabad-sunrisers/winner