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Betting Tips and Sport Discussion
Tips for Tikay
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Topic: Tips for Tikay (Read 16424814 times)
Karabiner
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100185 on:
April 30, 2015, 06:49:32 PM »
How would we be pricing up Trump/Murphy?
8/11 Trump, 6/5 Murphy or bigger?
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100186 on:
April 30, 2015, 06:49:38 PM »
Quote from: Omm on April 30, 2015, 06:46:01 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on April 30, 2015, 02:50:39 PM
two more
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl-specials/nfl-draft/1st-offensive-tackle-drafted
la-el collins likely won't be drafted high, as of tuesday he is wanted for questioning (not as a suspect as far as we know) by police/paternity tests over a 2 year old child in connection with the death of his ex-girlfriend and had to leave chicago/the draft yesterday
teams can't get the necessary info in time to pick him high with the multi million dollar commitment this implies
yet uk markets are unchanged he's still in at 3rd favourite
browsing sites/twitter every single giants beat writer says they are picking ereck flowers over brandon scherff at number 9
does a team take an OL above 9? maybe but really only washington at 5 might
i can only get £1.67 on at laddies for tikay at 6-1 so left it, but if you can get on then go ahead
--
top cornerback
waynes has been as short as 1/6 but his natural landing place is the vikings at 11. their gm rick spielman is on record as wanting to trade down. there is also some talk that waynes isn't the consensus top player either at his position
kevin johnson is talented and coveted by plenty of teams from pick 15 onwards, yet he's 10-1 in stale markets
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl-specials/nfl-draft/1st-cornerback-drafted
johnson is a safer pick than byron jones...this chatter talks the issues
"Byron Jones of UConn also, like Perriman, saw his stock tremendously rise after a jaw-dropping NFL Combine performance. But, again, not every team feels he’s a top-20 pick, and more than few feel he’d be better at safety (which I agree with). If Kevin Johnson isn’t there, the Steelers likely have interest. The Cardinals, Colts and Packers all still may take him, but it wouldn’t totally shock me if he fell out of the first-round. The Vikings could be a suitor to trade back into the first-round, something GM Rick Speilman is never afraid to do."
http://optimumscouting.com/draft/state-of-the-draft-raiders-49ers-trade-trade-talk-player-team-fits-and-much-more.html
------------
slight disclaimer: small stakes stuff please and eyes open, plenty of stuff flies around on the day of the draft but i am pretty certain I will be filtering it better than uk books who aren't moving any prices...
Have corals just put the markets up tightly? They have Flowers at 10/1 and Kevin Johnson 16/1, these are the 2 your talking about, correct?
so they have
small punts only, we are trying to overturn 1/5 shots or shorter on rumours/spin close to the draft
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100187 on:
April 30, 2015, 06:51:14 PM »
they have also gone up best in the village over 2.5 qbs at 4/1
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl-specials/nfl-draft/1st-round-quarterbacks
one tweet i just saw
"The idea that a team might have to jump Denver for Bryce Petty is getting me excited... ppl told me I was crazy, but that 3rd QB magic.."
this is manning's last year, denver pick 28....
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100188 on:
April 30, 2015, 06:56:59 PM »
Quote from: nellberg on April 30, 2015, 06:49:09 PM
9/2 ballance for first innings looks a good bet regardless of the root position. they seem to price all 5 of englands batsman up at around the same price, when you wouldn't be keen on either of the openers currently. obviously hoping for a big balance score kills rooty bet off though :-( did you do jimmy top wickets bet also? sure i read it on here. i have that in the running also, talk of resting jimmy for the 3rd test is trying my patience!
i did tip both but we only did root on here
the idea for backing ballance at 9/2 first innings is solely to protect the root bet. or was
ballance fails, root bet likely wins and we take £100 less £20 on ballance
ballance scores heavily, we have 9/2 running for us and the root bet is less likely
both could lose of course, its an imprecise hedge at best
or we just run it, the original root position
the look of the pitch had me worried that england could score a lot of runs before root took guard though...
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ripple11
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100189 on:
April 30, 2015, 06:59:20 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on April 30, 2015, 05:33:21 PM
a relevant betting article
Royal baby: When to induce?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-32531618
Would they let it go into a bank hol weekend?
I see Baldy Fred is 15/8 on a boy for a coin flip!?
Kate holding the baby is 4/11 Coral, surely a banker?
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100190 on:
April 30, 2015, 07:01:30 PM »
Think we should have a bet on Ballance, personally.
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Bazzaboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100191 on:
April 30, 2015, 07:02:03 PM »
There's a big fight in Vegas this weekend but I'm interested in one tonight. Ashley Theophane is a very short 1/4 to beat Mahonri Montes. Theophane has a split decision defeat to Danny Garcia on his record which is impressive however a defeat to Darren Hamilton less so. He is pretty ordinary and can out in some very average performances, he was awful against Hamilton (who was a 17/2 dog) and has put in other stinkers. Montes is a tough Mexican whose record is comparable to Theophane's.
Theophane is coming off 4 wins in the spin following a defeat to Cano but Montes represents a step back up in class. I really like the 10/3 on Montes (7/2 if you can get on with Boyles). Rec £30
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100192 on:
April 30, 2015, 07:02:12 PM »
Quote from: ripple11 on April 30, 2015, 06:59:20 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on April 30, 2015, 05:33:21 PM
a relevant betting article
Royal baby: When to induce?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-32531618
Would they let it go into a bank hol weekend?
I see Baldy Fred is 15/8 on a boy for a coin flip!?
Kate holding the baby is 4/11 Coral, surely a banker?
there is also the elction to think about
baby arrives, thats the news cycle off the election and onto kay burley interviewing nutters who have been waiting outside the front door for a week, for about 48 hours. nightmare for the parties, especially if you need to make up ground
trying to work out when the baby arrives and its impact on election betting is taxing the old noggin
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
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By the way, I'm leaving out today
arbboy
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100193 on:
April 30, 2015, 07:03:30 PM »
Quote from: Karabiner on April 30, 2015, 06:49:32 PM
How would we be pricing up Trump/Murphy?
8/11 Trump, 6/5 Murphy or bigger?
Trump 8/13 Murphy 13/8
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tikay
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100194 on:
April 30, 2015, 07:05:23 PM »
PL Darts tonight - have we backed all the Draws? (in singles, presumably).
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TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100195 on:
April 30, 2015, 07:05:48 PM »
Quote from: tikay on April 30, 2015, 07:01:30 PM
Think we should have a bet on Ballance, personally.
no prices at the mo but there should be tomorrow
9/2 or upwards is the idea
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100196 on:
April 30, 2015, 07:07:12 PM »
Quote from: tikay on April 30, 2015, 07:05:23 PM
PL Darts tonight - have we backed all the Draws? (in singles, presumably).
you are a yankee doodle dandy.
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My eyes are open wide
By the way,I made it through the day
I watch the world outside
By the way, I'm leaving out today
TightEnd
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100197 on:
April 30, 2015, 07:09:17 PM »
Quote from: Bazzaboy on April 30, 2015, 07:02:03 PM
There's a big fight in Vegas this weekend but I'm interested in one tonight. Ashley Theophane is a very short 1/4 to beat Mahonri Montes. Theophane has a split decision defeat to Danny Garcia on his record which is impressive however a defeat to Darren Hamilton less so. He is pretty ordinary and can out in some very average performances, he was awful against Hamilton (who was a 17/2 dog) and has put in other stinkers. Montes is a tough Mexican whose record is comparable to Theophane's.
Theophane is coming off 4 wins in the spin following a defeat to Cano but Montes represents a step back up in class. I really like the 10/3 on Montes (7/2 if you can get on with Boyles). Rec £30
hello. is this televised? is it, deep breath, matchoom?
Ashley Theophane v Mahonri Montes Mahonri Montes (To Win the Fight - Match) Odds: 10/3 Stake: 30.00 Possible Return: 130.00
what is going to happen in mayweather/Pacquaio? what are you on?
when is the second fight after the draw?
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My eyes are open wide
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By the way, I'm leaving out today
Omm
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100198 on:
April 30, 2015, 07:11:25 PM »
Quote from: Tal on April 30, 2015, 01:53:23 PM
Another one for the draft tonight.
Tighty and I both agree that Winston and Mariota go 1&2, the two outstanding quarterbacks.
Pick three is Jacksonville Jagwarrrrs. They will go defense. In my view, the best player available would be Leonard Williams. However, in our "mock drafts", Tighty and I have both said they'll choose a different player (more an outside linebacker, than a defensive end): Dante Fowler. In a division that has Andrew Luck in it, you need guys who can scare on the outside of the offensive line. I think that's how the analytics-led Jagwarrrs go, rather than with Williams.
Billy Mountain disagrees, according to its "first defensive end" market:
Williams 4/7
Fowler 13/10
Recommend £30 on Fowler.
Edit: should add there's a small chance Tennessee draft Fowler instead of Mariota, as he suits their defensive system.
http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl-specials/nfl-draft/who-will-the-jaguars-select-with-the-3rd-overall-pick
Seems Bfsb are the only ones to have this market and have Folwer odds on, does this make the bet with hills larger?
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ripple11
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Re: Tips for Tikay
«
Reply #100199 on:
April 30, 2015, 07:13:04 PM »
Quote from: TightEnd on April 30, 2015, 07:02:12 PM
Quote from: ripple11 on April 30, 2015, 06:59:20 PM
Quote from: TightEnd on April 30, 2015, 05:33:21 PM
a relevant betting article
Royal baby: When to induce?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-32531618
Would they let it go into a bank hol weekend?
I see Baldy Fred is 15/8 on a boy for a coin flip!?
Kate holding the baby is 4/11 Coral, surely a banker?
there is also the elction to think about
baby arrives, thats the news cycle off the election and onto kay burley interviewing nutters who have been waiting outside the front door for a week, for about 48 hours. nightmare for the parties, especially if you need to make up ground
trying to work out when the baby arrives and its impact on election betting is taxing the old noggin
Yeh thinking about dress colour!
Surely not blue, red yellow or purple
Maybe
7/1 Pink
11/1 Cream/Beige
12/1 Apricot/Peach
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