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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16367644 times)
Chompy
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« Reply #100935 on: May 10, 2015, 10:43:44 AM »

Interesting one if Mere is able to calculate? How does our Premier League betting compare to overall football betting?

Also, meant to ask, has the VC account being restricted following that Trixie? Pretty sure a VC loltrader is always watching us. Every time something gets a positive mention they cut the price super-quick, or at least a lot of the time. If it hasn't been, could it be that we're being given preferential treatment to avoid bad PR on here? They're the least shy of all of them when it comes to restricting/shutting.



« Last Edit: May 10, 2015, 10:47:06 AM by Chompy » Logged

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TightEnd
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« Reply #100936 on: May 10, 2015, 10:49:31 AM »

the betvictor account remains in good order. never restricted a bet with us. top 3 account.
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« Reply #100937 on: May 10, 2015, 10:51:32 AM »

Quick one.

I mentioned it before and think Tighty was fishing.  

Murray is playing much better this season and has even been winning on clay (he has won one title, beat Nashikori well yesterday and faces Nadal in another final today).

Earlier in the week he was 25/1 to win the French Open in5 or 6 spots, today just one.  I was hoping to see he has avoided Djokovic in the draw before putting the bet up, but am sure the price will be gone after the draw so we can't wait.  It is the dreaded beteveryday.  Luckily for thread I can match their price each way until it goes.

Because it is each way we get 12.5/1 he reaches the final and the 25/1 beats Betfair.  He also seems a likely big dog vs Djok or Nadal in a final.  That must make each way right.

I suggest £10 e/w on the Angry Scot but can do up to £20.  If you want more, you'll need Marky.

Let me know quickly as the price could go any minute.  Obv a big sweat on today's result too.
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« Reply #100938 on: May 10, 2015, 11:11:45 AM »

Quick one.

I mentioned it before and think Tighty was fishing. 

Murray is playing much better this season and has even been winning on clay (he has won one title, beat Nashikori well yesterday and faces Nadal in another final today).

Earlier in the week he was 25/1 to win the French Open in5 or 6 spots, today just one.  I was hoping to see he has avoided Djokovic in the draw before putting the bet up, but am sure the price will be gone after the draw so we can't wait.  It is the dreaded beteveryday.  Luckily for thread I can match their price each way until it goes.

Because it is each way we get 12.5/1 he reaches the final and the 25/1 beats Betfair.  He also seems a likely big dog vs Djok or Nadal in a final.  That must make each way right.

I suggest £10 e/w on the Angry Scot but can do up to £20.  If you want more, you'll need Marky.

Let me know quickly as the price could go any minute.  Obv a big sweat on today's result too.


£10 e/w is fine

placed via you?

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TightEnd
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« Reply #100939 on: May 10, 2015, 11:17:25 AM »

F1 bets for today:

Points Finish - Romain Grosjean @ EVS with Hills and SpreadX. This is more of a probability rather than a possibility, should be less than EVS. Suggest .. hmm, how brave am I feeling ... £20. It's a good spot, take advantage.

Top 6 Finish - Felipe Massa @ 11/10 with Blose. Price is lower than usual because he only qualified 9th. I don't see any reason to lower the price though, Felipe should have no problem whatsoever getting past the Toro Rosso's and Kvyat ahead. Suggest £20.

Top 6 Finish - Daniel Ricciardo @ 2/1 with LadetteBrokes. Bit of a cover bet in case Felipe retires, but if a Mercedes or Ferrari retires then this looks good! Suggest £10.

Good luck Smiley

10 May 2015 - Spanish F1 Grand Prix - Points Finish - Points Finish

Romain Grosjean @ EVS

Stake : £20.00
Estimated Returns : £
40.00
Transaction Reference:
O/0457483/0001319/F



    GP Spain - Race
    Top 6 bet
    Pick: Felipe Massa (BRA/Williams) 2.10

Total stake 20.00 GBP
Possible winnings 42.00 GBP



Single - 2015 Spanish Grand Prix

D. Ricciardo - |Top 6 Finish|

Odds: 2/1

1 lines at £10.00 per line

Total Stake for this bet: £10.00

Potential Return:£30.00

Time : 10/5/2015-10:39

Receipt No:O/142640973/0000924


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« Reply #100940 on: May 10, 2015, 11:30:14 AM »



Well done argue & Ant (I assume?) for the Stoke & Palace bets.

That Stoke Top Half bet must have been about our oldest bet, placed 10 months ago?

18th June

Stoke v Villa v WBA was Arbboy, Palace v Hull was Ant, Palace v Newcastle was myself

 

Have bwin settled the above bet? They haven't for me.
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« Reply #100941 on: May 10, 2015, 11:32:56 AM »



Well done argue & Ant (I assume?) for the Stoke & Palace bets.

That Stoke Top Half bet must have been about our oldest bet, placed 10 months ago?

18th June

Stoke v Villa v WBA was Arbboy, Palace v Hull was Ant, Palace v Newcastle was myself

 

Have bwin settled the above bet? They haven't for me.

end of the season probably, but its a winner as of yesterday due to stoke's win
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« Reply #100942 on: May 10, 2015, 11:35:41 AM »

Quick one.

I mentioned it before and think Tighty was fishing. 

Murray is playing much better this season and has even been winning on clay (he has won one title, beat Nashikori well yesterday and faces Nadal in another final today).

Earlier in the week he was 25/1 to win the French Open in5 or 6 spots, today just one.  I was hoping to see he has avoided Djokovic in the draw before putting the bet up, but am sure the price will be gone after the draw so we can't wait.  It is the dreaded beteveryday.  Luckily for thread I can match their price each way until it goes.

Because it is each way we get 12.5/1 he reaches the final and the 25/1 beats Betfair.  He also seems a likely big dog vs Djok or Nadal in a final.  That must make each way right.

I suggest £10 e/w on the Angry Scot but can do up to £20.  If you want more, you'll need Marky.

Let me know quickly as the price could go any minute.  Obv a big sweat on today's result too.


£10 e/w is fine

placed via you?



Booked
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« Reply #100943 on: May 10, 2015, 11:44:49 AM »

you were right doobs 25s didn't last long 16s now
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arbboy
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« Reply #100944 on: May 10, 2015, 11:49:31 AM »

Both number one seeds in the NBA got beat in their game last night ( golden state and Atlanta) which makes all out ante post nba stuff shorter this morning. Getting golden state beat by Memphis really would be amazing for the positions. Game four is Monday night in Memphis with Golden St 2-1 down first to 4 wins.  
« Last Edit: May 10, 2015, 12:17:40 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #100945 on: May 10, 2015, 11:54:14 AM »

thanks for the stoke top 10 bet arboy. I opened a blose acc especially for that and also your most seat tories bet with them, I owe you a couple drinks bud
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« Reply #100946 on: May 10, 2015, 01:58:27 PM »

i have run out of money on bf backing qpr at 1.01 to go down.  Everytime i put a lump up a bot just hoovers it on bf.  94% likely to be settled as a winner in 2 hours.  don't get 1% in the bank this easy.
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« Reply #100947 on: May 10, 2015, 02:05:31 PM »

Interesting one if Mere is able to calculate? How does our Premier League betting compare to overall football betting?

Also, meant to ask, has the VC account being restricted following that Trixie? Pretty sure a VC loltrader is always watching us. Every time something gets a positive mention they cut the price super-quick, or at least a lot of the time. If it hasn't been, could it be that we're being given preferential treatment to avoid bad PR on here? They're the least shy of all of them when it comes to restricting/shutting.


My knowledge of football isn't great so I may have allocated some of these bets into the wrong category but this should be fairly close:

Category      No. of bets    Amount bet   P/L    ROI%
Premier League   244   8230.72   1600.8   19.45
Championship   164   5134.94   -619.29   -12.06
Other English leagues   228   6618.14   488.67   7.38
Scotland   64   1380.46   220.22   15.95
Domestic cup games   32   752.57   343.45   45.64
European     173   5296.79   724.04   13.67    (European leagues and Champions' League etc)
International   206   6620.49   881.52   13.32
Misc.         26   737.33   410.86   55.72      (Next manager markets etc)
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« Reply #100948 on: May 10, 2015, 02:16:45 PM »

Would be interested to see the mix of match betting (ie 1x2), exotics on matches and ante post betting esp for the epl.
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« Reply #100949 on: May 10, 2015, 02:44:33 PM »

Would be interested to see the mix of match betting (ie 1x2), exotics on matches and ante post betting esp for the epl.

For the EPL:

Category  No.    Amount bet   P/L    ROI%
1-2-X      123      4997.88   1248.45   24.98
"Exotic"       80      1616.58   106.22   6.57
Ante-post       41      1616.26   246.13   15.23
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