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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16330520 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #103260 on: June 27, 2015, 02:32:21 PM »

I don't know about the betting side of things when it comes to whether .. but my knowledge of whether systems (from Formula One!!) has taught me that long range (14 days+) whether forecasts are only 30% accurate because they rely on wind speed/direction simulation. This is very hard to model in the UK and makes whether prediction very tricky. Just something to consider.

Everywhere you go, always take the whether with you, Peter
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« Reply #103261 on: June 27, 2015, 02:33:10 PM »

Wiiiiii, I'll take whatever thread doesn't want.

Teak is about to settle up after the staking triumph, so we'll work something out.

the £250 is yours. only fair.
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« Reply #103262 on: June 27, 2015, 02:34:23 PM »

That's def an out-of-date forecast.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/gcpvn15h9

Wednesday 1st forecast to be around four dedgrees hotter than Tuesday 30th.

July is gonne be phew what a scorcher. If August beats it, so be it.

Cheers for links.  Basically they got 28.5% of their book (which is their margin and more) plus the 2.5% for October onwards which both can't win.  Cracking bet just like last year.  You would think the loltraders would have learnt from last year's mistakes.
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« Reply #103263 on: June 27, 2015, 02:34:32 PM »

I don't know about the betting side of things when it comes to whether .. but my knowledge of whether systems (from Formula One!!) has taught me that long range (14 days+) whether forecasts are only 30% accurate because they rely on wind speed/direction simulation. This is very hard to model in the UK and makes whether prediction very tricky. Just something to consider.

Everywhere you go, always take the whether with you, Peter

Lol, beat me to it. Weather or not it's a shrewd move, I'll gladly take the half monkey. Ta.
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« Reply #103264 on: June 27, 2015, 02:35:12 PM »

Wiiiiii, I'll take whatever thread doesn't want.

Teak is about to settle up after the staking triumph, so we'll work something out.

the £250 is yours. only fair.

What is the max online?

8/13 now!  Tighty smashing the market to pieces.
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« Reply #103265 on: June 27, 2015, 02:36:25 PM »

Wiiiiii, I'll take whatever thread doesn't want.

Teak is about to settle up after the staking triumph, so we'll work something out.

the £250 is yours. only fair.

What is the max online?

8/13 now!  Tighty smashing the market to pieces.

i took £50 and was allowed another £250
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« Reply #103266 on: June 27, 2015, 02:40:28 PM »

I don't know about the betting side of things when it comes to whether .. but my knowledge of whether systems (from Formula One!!) has taught me that long range (14 days+) whether forecasts are only 30% accurate because they rely on wind speed/direction simulation. This is very hard to model in the UK and makes whether prediction very tricky. Just something to consider.

Everywhere you go, always take the whether with you, Peter

Ahh WTF. That shows just how much four hours sleep during the week can influence you!! I managed to do it FOUR times!? 
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« Reply #103267 on: June 27, 2015, 02:59:28 PM »

tiny boundary at trent bridge, rock hard new pitch so bowlers should be in for a tough afternoon. should be high scoring.

northants bat first, and they hit all the way down

then you have hales, lumb, taylor and co to chase

wh o11.5 sixes 5/6 is a reasonable quote. expected to see +/- 13-14 sixes quoted

or o37.5 boundaries 5/6 as an alternative

last night at worcestershire northants won, game had 23 fours and 21 sixes

last night at derby notts lost, game had 35 fours and 10 sixes

this pitch looks a belter


see how i can lose this one :-)

2.30pm start
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« Reply #103268 on: June 27, 2015, 03:12:28 PM »

Clever Cookie is a non-runner in the Northumberland Plate this afternoon because of the fast ground. http://bit.ly/1H55NN9

should i punt doubleup's pair in a revised market?

nearly caught looks ok @ 16-1 with lads blue surf gr8 at 22-1 with bet everyday if someone can place - £10 ew on each?
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« Reply #103269 on: June 27, 2015, 03:17:52 PM »

Clever Cookie is a non-runner in the Northumberland Plate this afternoon because of the fast ground. http://bit.ly/1H55NN9

should i punt doubleup's pair in a revised market?

nearly caught looks ok @ 16-1 with lads blue surf gr8 at 22-1 with bet everyday if someone can place - £10 ew on each?

thanks

i can't get 5 places 16-1 or 22-1 anywhere we can get on
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« Reply #103270 on: June 27, 2015, 04:36:12 PM »

3rd Nearly Caught 11-1

well done

b365 offered me £1.32 e/w at 16-1 and v few others were 5 places, and  no one else was around to offer

keep em coming!
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« Reply #103271 on: June 27, 2015, 05:05:50 PM »

I assume that this weather bet wont pay out unti Jan 1 2016 though?
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« Reply #103272 on: June 27, 2015, 05:13:07 PM »

I assume that this weather bet wont pay out unti Jan 1 2016 though?

Hi Sharon

No, it didn't pay out til 1st Jan in prior years
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« Reply #103273 on: June 27, 2015, 05:37:15 PM »

Buemi won the race which is bad for both of the Formula E bets (Vergne to win today, and Piquet to win the title) Angry
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« Reply #103274 on: June 27, 2015, 05:40:32 PM »

I assume that this weather bet wont pay out unti Jan 1 2016 though?

Hi Sharon

No, it didn't pay out til 1st Jan in prior years

My online bets were settled in November but they wouldn't settle the shop ones until the end of the year.
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