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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16368572 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #103650 on: July 08, 2015, 05:55:27 PM »

Betfair Sportsbook going Top 8 in the Open. Max £25 per player.

Fairly sure I am banned from the extra places.  Do we know if thread is banned?  Obviously great offer for those who aren't banned and from memory bf sportsbook competitive on the prices.

Did we get on Spieth for this too at 20/1 Tighty?

bfsb is quite uncompetitve on the top ten in the market. much better from 33/1 and up though

we seem to get the extra places

we're not on speith for this, just the US Open

i've kicked us off with Reed


2015 Open Championship

    66/1
    £15
    £1,267.50
    Patrick Reed
    Winner
    1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 EW

    Bet Ref: O/0140260/0000152



Quick question

Dustin Johnson. Marmalises links courses. very big hitter, good short game

this year 6th in the masters, 2nd at chambers bay

but three putted the last to blow a play off

14th at st andrews in 2010

he has 4 top 15's and 2 top 10s in 5 Opens

would you ignore the finish at chambers bay, or would we consider that it still has an effect?

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« Reply #103651 on: July 08, 2015, 06:00:47 PM »

Dustbin a must for any portfolio. One day he will just blow em away. Course made for him.

I think Stenson T3 last St Andrews Open/Casey also T3 and Ooustheizen, winner are all playing well enough and probably close enough(2/3pts) to go for the 8 places.

Casey is Top price, but will leave it to Team Maths to decide if the two extra places worth the 2/3 points.
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« Reply #103652 on: July 08, 2015, 06:07:00 PM »

thank you

interested in that too

1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 at say 20-1

or 1,2,3,4,5 at 25-1

is a common decision here with stenson, louis, scott, rose etc (ie below speith and above rickie fowler in the betting)

we'd take the extra places?
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« Reply #103653 on: July 08, 2015, 06:15:10 PM »

thank you

interested in that too

1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 at say 20-1

or 1,2,3,4,5 at 25-1

is a common decision here with stenson, louis, scott, rose etc (ie below speith and above rickie fowler in the betting)

we'd take the extra places?

Can do a spreadsheet tomorrow to answer this question.  Suspect it is close.  It makes me think there are probably better opportunities (maths wise anyway).  Am a big fan of Stenson fwiw
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« Reply #103654 on: July 08, 2015, 06:33:17 PM »

thank you

interested in that too

1/4 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8 at say 20-1

or 1,2,3,4,5 at 25-1

is a common decision here with stenson, louis, scott, rose etc (ie below speith and above rickie fowler in the betting)

we'd take the extra places?

Can do a spreadsheet tomorrow to answer this question.  Suspect it is close.  It makes me think there are probably better opportunities (maths wise anyway).  Am a big fan of Stenson fwiw


Rose has to be better elsewhere as he is 6 points worse than available.
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tikay
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« Reply #103655 on: July 08, 2015, 06:35:58 PM »



Tighty,

Plenty of suggestions for The Open, think we should build a little portfolio for this.

Go with Ranieri, too, if still value.
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« Reply #103656 on: July 08, 2015, 06:38:27 PM »

One last one.

Goose been playing well recently, and with Top Tens in the last 2 St Andrews Opens, the 250-1, top 6 with Tote looks nice for a small investment at monster odds.
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« Reply #103657 on: July 08, 2015, 06:45:16 PM »



Guess it'd be daft to have a small interest in the guy who blitzed this course like nobody ever did before or since in 2000?






 scared
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« Reply #103658 on: July 08, 2015, 10:42:27 PM »

Pradreg Radeslejvic?
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« Reply #103659 on: July 09, 2015, 09:55:24 AM »

basketball people

from nate silver

spurs+aldridge=potential champions

http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-spurs-are-going-to-be-really-good-like-golden-state-warriors-good/

ante-post candidates?
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« Reply #103660 on: July 09, 2015, 10:06:03 AM »

No bets completed yesterday

Djokovic through to the wimbledon semis where he plays Gasquet, his 50th win at Wimbledon

1/12 to reach the final and 3/4 best outright



Cook out for 20 attacking the spinner before lunch on day one, Root dropped on 0 went on to 134, Starc joint highest wicket taker so far though Hazlewood was the best bowler on show, and a shot at Cardiff being top run scoring ground i would say











Warwickshire were beaten by Yorkshire despite a rearguard hundred by young Sam Hain. Not young Ryan Sidebottom took 11 for 76 in the match

 Click to see full-size image.


in the table Middlesex drew their weather affected match in nottingham and are second, each way bet pays three places at 14-1, but the Yorkshire win makes their retention of the county championship look likely. Warwickshire are 4th

in div 2 only a day to go and Lancashire made 402-8d and reduced Essex to 139-5

Derbyshire are 37-0 following on at Chesterfield

both games badly rain afected


Greipel won another sprint at the tour, stage 5

don't know whats happening with Kwiatowski he lost time again, now 44th 11 minutes behind the lead

Sagan now 32 points behind Griepel for the green jersey

Sky in 4th 3 minutes off the top of the team standings

 Click to see full-size image.



Rory McIlroy will miss The Open. He has top-10 finishes in 6 of last 7 majors contested, including top-5s in 3 of last 4
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« Reply #103661 on: July 09, 2015, 10:17:02 AM »

Looks like Etixx have given Kwiatowski the role of super domestique to ride in support of Martin. Could all change after stage 9, but sigh  Sad
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« Reply #103662 on: July 09, 2015, 10:42:03 AM »

Stage 6 of the Tour. 

Another relatively flat stage, though is goes have a short climb at the finish.  Grieppel has shown himself to be the class of the sprinting field. Whilst not an ideal finish for him today, i think that 50/1 with Corals is worth a £5 win only investment.
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« Reply #103663 on: July 09, 2015, 11:00:01 AM »



Guess it'd be daft to have a small interest in the guy who blitzed this course like nobody ever did before or since in 2000?






 scared

Damned if you do, damned if you don't now Tikay.

If he's ever going to win another major then here or Augusta seem most likely to me.

His memories of the Old Course will obviously be good ones, and assuming the R&A don't decide to narrow the fairways too much then maybe, just maybe, he could get himself into contention.
Probably a pipe dream that he can make a triumphant return, but you never can tell.

BFSB has him at 37/1 which is distinctly out of line with others to my untutored eye. But any other golfer with Tiger's recent record would surely be much bigger than that?
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« Reply #103664 on: July 09, 2015, 11:40:07 AM »



Guess it'd be daft to have a small interest in the guy who blitzed this course like nobody ever did before or since in 2000?






 scared

Damned if you do, damned if you don't now Tikay.

If he's ever going to win another major then here or Augusta seem most likely to me.

His memories of the Old Course will obviously be good ones, and assuming the R&A don't decide to narrow the fairways too much then maybe, just maybe, he could get himself into contention.
Probably a pipe dream that he can make a triumphant return, but you never can tell.

BFSB has him at 37/1 which is distinctly out of line with others to my untutored eye. But any other golfer with Tiger's recent record would surely be much bigger than that?


It is the sportsbook that has that price (if you click through/go direct it is actually 39/1).  He is probably the one golfer where you wouldn't take advantage of the great each way terms.  If you look back on his stats, he has always been a first or nothing kind of guy.
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