Tips for Tikay

[The Camel]

How many more non runners in the 3.30 at Ripon before the firms drop the 1/4 12345 concession?

Looking like the best ew race ever at this point.

[TheDazzler]

What did we do on Rooney top goal scorer, £20 e/w @ 16/1?
He's now best priced 12/1. What do people think about laying him back? Maybe just keep the place part? He has been awful the last 2 matches. And this has been going on for a while.
https://twitter.com/BenMcAleer1/status/ ... 0435207168
"In the Premier League in 2015, Rooney's managed 14 shots on target in 20 appearances, 4 of which came against Sunderland back in February"

[The Camel]

What did we do on Rooney top goal scorer, £20 e/w @ 16/1?
He's now best priced 12/1. What do people think about laying him back? Maybe just keep the place part? He has been awful the last 2 matches. And this has been going on for a while.
https://twitter.com/BenMcAleer1/status/ ... 0435207168
"In the Premier League in 2015, Rooney's managed 14 shots on target in 20 appearances, 4 of which came against Sunderland back in February"

Get rid.

Definitely.

[Tal]

He was playing centre back for most of those games.

[TheDazzler]

He was playing centre back for most of those games.

Yeah, he was playing in midfield a bit. And look, I think the stat is at least slightly misleading and unfair. But I really expected him to come out this season very sharp.
And he and United in general have been very poor going forward. I'm sure Pedro would make a difference but at the moment, the bet doesn't look like a winning one.

[arbboy]

Where are you getting rid and at what price?  Happy to top up again personally if you want to lay 20/1 ew 1/4 1234?  Let me know.  PM me.  No one wants to back on the machine at under 20/1.

Also very happy to take 5/4 rooney v kane in a match bet if you are interested in laying if rooney is so bad.

[Chompy]

If the Great Aunt Wilfred drops from the current 17 runners to 15, will they switch the place terms from five places to three?

Every channer Pipers Note, Kimbrella, Barnet Fair, Mukhmal come out if it's bottomless.

There's also a chance that, if there's a low bias in the 3.00, they'll all go across to the far side.

If 16+ stay in and they're offering five places, this will be a good one to play.

[arbboy]

If the Great Aunt Wilfred drops from the current 17 runners to 15, will they switch the place terms from five places to three?

Every channer Pipers Note, Kimbrella, Barnet Fair, Mukhmal come out if it's bottomless.

There's also a chance that, if there's a low bias in the 3.00, they'll all go across to the far side.

If 16+ stay in and they're offering five places, this will be a good one to play.

If there are 15 runners i would be amazed if you get 5 places.  You should do (ala hills chelt promo years ago) but i would be amazed if they pay 5 places with sub 16 runners.  They will find any way possible to weasal out of paying.  This is a relatively easy one.

[Chompy]

If we're down to 16 by mid-morning tomorrow, it's 1.00001 that another one comes out.

[JohnCharver]

If we're down to 16 by mid-morning tomorrow, it's 1.00001 that another one comes out.

barnet fair needs a road, and is entered up york next week, rarely runs on soft and is crap when he does. The names you listed maybe get hit twice- lose a place and grim r4s aswell (all below 16s on bf- dunno if there waive)?

sky quote 5 over 16, 4 under, dunno if they honour a glut tho. (best price about the fast ground horses you listed above aswell lol)

[Jamier-Host]

Bet in tenners on a sport with a big edge, and £2k on a guess against the clued up guy not the fixed odds loltraders.
Think you should be taking the advice Peter.

Recommending £10 here doesn't mean he bets that much himself though. Maybe he does more on his own £££?

[horseplayer]

Rooney as per does not look match fit yet after a break of not playing.

Pretty embarrassing for such a good player he needs a run of games but he will start scoring soon

Way to early to adjust positions methinks

[TightEnd]

USPGA Golf losers taken

Players who have missed the cut already

-£4 Kjeldsen
-£20 Scott
-£20 Luiten
-£15 Martin

Unfortunately we don't seeem to have sweats in the rest of the book, but you never know

month to date +£13
forward book £3400

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=28

[tikay]

Ripon tomorrow is soft ground, and recently rained-on soft ground; my favourite kind of soft ground.

There should be a low bias in the big sprints and we have to play the 3.00 each-way with Betfair Clownbook, as they're paying five places.

The field will split here and it's possible we're looking at five places from around 12 or 13 down our side of the course if things work out as expected.

We want something drawn low, that likes soft ground, and ideally likes Ripon.

£25EW Right Touch 7-1
£20EW The Hooded Claw 14-1

They've completely ducked Fast Shot, so back that at 22-1 with Joke please.

£15EW Fast Shit 22-1

I enjoy this sort of analysis from our resident pros almost more than anything else on Fred, fingers crossed our cunning plan comes together this afternoon. How can we lose?

Can you explain the what & why of this, please? What difference does it make as to how a racehorse acts on it?


recently rained-on soft ground; my favourite kind of soft ground.

Is there a "wrong kind of rain", too?

[arbboy]

Sunderland are 7/4 today to beat Norwich at home (technically their easiest game of the season).  Being 7/4 at home makes Norwich on paper quite a substantially better team than Sunderland.  Norwich are the shortest priced team to go down.  One of the prices has to be massively wrong.