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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16360408 times)
The Camel
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« Reply #105675 on: August 19, 2015, 01:16:49 AM »

There is a very good chance that Gleneagles doesn't go on the rain softened ground in the international (3.40 york).  If it does go I suggest that makes several horses good bets.  I particularly like Cougar Mountain at 80/1 at quarter first 3 and The Grey Gatsby at 11/1 if we can get the same an hour or so before the off.  Suggest 10 e/w and 20 e/w if we can get on.

There are several other good each way races tomorrow though expect that 17 runner affair is a bit too vulnerable with the changing conditions.  I am going to be a bit stuffed getting bets on tomorrow so can't help/update (flying back from Spain over lunch then driving) so going to struggle to update personally.  Might be able to put something up for the last and update on the international.

Good luck

If Gleneagles runs, I'll eat Paddy Ashdown's hat.
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« Reply #105676 on: August 19, 2015, 01:30:06 AM »

Carlisle have drawn QPR in the second round of the league cup, by the way.  

Away.  

If you think that's bad, how about Hartlepool v Bournemouth, Swansea v York or Sunderland v Exeter?

Carlisle to london Euston is very easy on virgin trains.  5 hours direct.  Not an issue imo obv!
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« Reply #105677 on: August 19, 2015, 01:35:49 AM »

great work tighty on plymouth. Enjoyed showing the boys in the pub the slips when they went 4-0 up!!!!!  'Why on earth did you back plymouth to beat Carlisle tonight for that much?' was a common question!
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engy
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« Reply #105678 on: August 19, 2015, 01:54:26 AM »

its only 3 hours 20 to Euston from Carlisle arboy, were not that far out in the sticks Smiley
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« Reply #105679 on: August 19, 2015, 01:55:19 AM »

its only 3 hours 20 to Euston from Carlisle arboy, were not that far out in the sticks Smiley


I can only afford the slow budget train!
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« Reply #105680 on: August 19, 2015, 02:36:40 AM »

Can get Lesner at 13/8 now, still value there?

Great spot in the match at Plymouth tonight, wish I'd have seen it!
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« Reply #105681 on: August 19, 2015, 02:39:57 AM »

Can get Lesner at 13/8 now, still value there?

Great spot in the match at Plymouth tonight, wish I'd have seen it!

Would like to say yes and that I believe the odds should be flipped, just hope that come Sunday, Undertaker doesn't go to 1/50 as that usually means it's bad.
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« Reply #105682 on: August 19, 2015, 07:05:26 AM »

Carlisle have drawn QPR in the second round of the league cup, by the way.  

Away.  

If you think that's bad, how about Hartlepool v Bournemouth, Swansea v York or Sunderland v Exeter?

Carlisle to london Euston is very easy on virgin trains.  5 hours direct.  Not an issue imo obv!

£113 a head?

Back in the van, lads!
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« Reply #105683 on: August 19, 2015, 07:57:56 AM »

Anyone have any experience with

Marathonbet (have some good football odds)
Mustardbet  (claim to take large bets ala pinnacle)

Cheers
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SuperJez
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« Reply #105684 on: August 19, 2015, 08:01:03 AM »

Mustard bet say...

Minimum deposit £2000
Minimum bet size £500 liability for them.
"Welcome to all customers" - including professional gamblers.
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tikay
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« Reply #105685 on: August 19, 2015, 08:14:38 AM »



Carlisle got a consolation goal to ease that long long journey home.

Final score 4-1, well done all.

Thank you Tighty.

It really was a clever spot by Tighty.

A good opportunity to mention that Tighty has some domestic issues at present, with 2 of his children quite unwell. One was in hospital last I heard. What with that, & preparation for UKPC, which involves a lot of intricate detailed stuff for Tighty, he is unable, at present, to give Fred the attention it needs.

Hence the "Lite" daily updates - the full-blown versions are much missed, & explains why Fred was not on the Plymouth coup. The latter does not really matter, of course, though we could have used it right now, but the main thing is the info was put up, & it seems plenty climbed aboard.

I suppose it might be easy to say looking through the rear view mirror, (Guilty, M'Lord) but it does show that in the thinner markets in League Two, there is still value to be had if you look close enough & do a bit of detective work.

I would imagine everyone will now be opening google Maps when looking at future weekday fixtures. Another little weapon in our arsenal.


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The Camel
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« Reply #105686 on: August 19, 2015, 09:09:09 AM »

There is a very good chance that Gleneagles doesn't go on the rain softened ground in the international (3.40 york).  If it does go I suggest that makes several horses good bets.  I particularly like Cougar Mountain at 80/1 at quarter first 3 and The Grey Gatsby at 11/1 if we can get the same an hour or so before the off.  Suggest 10 e/w and 20 e/w if we can get on.

There are several other good each way races tomorrow though expect that 17 runner affair is a bit too vulnerable with the changing conditions.  I am going to be a bit stuffed getting bets on tomorrow so can't help/update (flying back from Spain over lunch then driving) so going to struggle to update personally.  Might be able to put something up for the last and update on the international.

Good luck

If Gleneagles runs, I'll eat Paddy Ashdown's hat.

Prepare the salt and pepper, Twitter chatter suggests he might run after all.

Which would be a perverse decision seeing as he was withdrawn on genuinely good ground over his preferred trip of a mile. Why risk him on soft over a trip 2f further than his ideal?

Each way bandits, on yer marks.....
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"I dont think you're a wanker Keith" David Nicholson 4th March 2013
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« Reply #105687 on: August 19, 2015, 09:21:40 AM »

There is a very good chance that Gleneagles doesn't go on the rain softened ground in the international (3.40 york).  If it does go I suggest that makes several horses good bets.  I particularly like Cougar Mountain at 80/1 at quarter first 3 and The Grey Gatsby at 11/1 if we can get the same an hour or so before the off.  Suggest 10 e/w and 20 e/w if we can get on.

There are several other good each way races tomorrow though expect that 17 runner affair is a bit too vulnerable with the changing conditions.  I am going to be a bit stuffed getting bets on tomorrow so can't help/update (flying back from Spain over lunch then driving) so going to struggle to update personally.  Might be able to put something up for the last and update on the international.

Good luck

If Gleneagles runs, I'll eat Paddy Ashdown's hat.

Prepare the salt and pepper, Twitter chatter suggests he might run after all.

Which would be a perverse decision seeing as he was withdrawn on genuinely good ground over his preferred trip of a mile. Why risk him on soft over a trip 2f further than his ideal?

Each way bandits, on yer marks.....

The ground is given as good for the first 8 furlongs and good to soft the last two.  My thinking is that good at York is a better surface than good at Goodwood.  Calling Neil on this one, but Chompy did a good post the other day about similar issues.  Of course it can't be certain and is still only 50/50 on the hp sauce.  
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #105688 on: August 19, 2015, 09:27:27 AM »

There is a very good chance that Gleneagles doesn't go on the rain softened ground in the international (3.40 york).  If it does go I suggest that makes several horses good bets.  I particularly like Cougar Mountain at 80/1 at quarter first 3 and The Grey Gatsby at 11/1 if we can get the same an hour or so before the off.  Suggest 10 e/w and 20 e/w if we can get on.

There are several other good each way races tomorrow though expect that 17 runner affair is a bit too vulnerable with the changing conditions.  I am going to be a bit stuffed getting bets on tomorrow so can't help/update (flying back from Spain over lunch then driving) so going to struggle to update personally.  Might be able to put something up for the last and update on the international.

Good luck

If Gleneagles runs, I'll eat Paddy Ashdown's hat.

Prepare the salt and pepper, Twitter chatter suggests he might run after all.

Which would be a perverse decision seeing as he was withdrawn on genuinely good ground over his preferred trip of a mile. Why risk him on soft over a trip 2f further than his ideal?

Each way bandits, on yer marks.....

The ground is given as good for the first 8 furlongs and good to soft the last two.  My thinking is that good at York is a better surface than good at Goodwood.  Calling Neil on this one, but Chompy did a good post the other day about similar issues.  Of course it can't be certain and is still only 50/50 on the hp sauce.   

How recent was the rain, & what sort of rain was it? It's important, you know.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #105689 on: August 19, 2015, 09:40:58 AM »

Just a quick heads up

Iam only around until late morning today, and then at DTD from Thurs-Sun straight

think tikay is going up for tonight so will be travelling at some point too

it could well be that we won't be around to place York stuff today if it comes late, but please put it up anyway for others to peruse

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