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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16331243 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #107265 on: September 23, 2015, 11:23:07 AM »

Spreadex are back up with their divisional indicies.  Interestingly they make Skins 3rd favs which is at odds with the fixed odds guys.

Buy and sell prices below.  Pays 50 for 1st, 25 for 2nd and 10 for 3rd.

Cowboys 27.5-30.5
Eagles 26.5-29.5
Skins 14-17
Giants 11-14

Any thoughts Tighty?

Bump for Tighty's attention!

er yes thank you. i have been trying to get some work done mr bump!

think i am happy with £20 at 7-1

17 points downside if i am completely wrong doesn't appeal that much
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DungBeetle
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« Reply #107266 on: September 23, 2015, 11:26:03 AM »

Not for thread purposes but what do you think of Giants price?  Haven't they blown both game so far despite looking decent?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #107267 on: September 23, 2015, 11:34:26 AM »

Not for thread purposes but what do you think of Giants price?  Haven't they blown both game so far despite looking decent?

they have lost both times when they might have won.

should be a better team than their results are showing but there are a lot of problems across the offensive line. don't see a great deal of talent on the defense either

its quite a higgledy-piggledy division this year but i wouldn't see them 1st or 2nd in it 
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TightEnd
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« Reply #107268 on: September 23, 2015, 02:56:28 PM »

Simple Verse Appeal is allowed, wins the st leger
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Marky147
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« Reply #107269 on: September 23, 2015, 03:16:16 PM »

Simple Verse Appeal is allowed, wins the st leger

I had a score on that antepost, so better find out if I get weighed in.

No dice, gg.
« Last Edit: September 23, 2015, 03:46:30 PM by Marky147 » Logged

doubleup
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« Reply #107270 on: September 23, 2015, 04:12:39 PM »


6.05 redcar looks like a great EW race with 4 places and a short fav, if anyone has any suggestions?
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« Reply #107271 on: September 23, 2015, 05:07:30 PM »

Fred's close out positions on spreads are now all updated:

Watford + £65
Leeds/Preston + £6
Charlton minus £27.50

Total + £43.50

Worst 1 day move for all trades is a loss of £39 by my reckoning, so I'd suggest you mark them in your spreadsheet at the values I give then take off a total of £39 to cover worst single day scenario at which point you'd still be able to close them all out.
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« Reply #107272 on: September 23, 2015, 05:48:47 PM »


6.05 redcar looks like a great EW race with 4 places and a short fav, if anyone has any suggestions?

Hi doubleup, I love taking on short ones, but fav does look like should win again, has bolted up last 3 runs and still on a mark 5lb lower than has won off. Always worth a look tho...still money to be made on the places.
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« Reply #107273 on: September 23, 2015, 05:51:07 PM »


6.05 redcar looks like a great EW race with 4 places and a short fav, if anyone has any suggestions?

Hi doubleup, I love taking on short ones, but fav does look like should win again, has bolted up last 3 runs and still on a mark 5lb lower than has won off. Always worth a look tho...still money to be made on the places.

I've had tuppence e/w on Prigsnov Dancer.

Not been running too badly of late, so will take my chance.
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« Reply #107274 on: September 23, 2015, 05:51:42 PM »

Simple Verse Appeal is allowed, wins the st leger

I had a score on that antepost, so better find out if I get weighed in.

No dice, gg.

Even Boyles, who stiffed Maldini & myself on Carver are paying out Cheesy

GTFO Victor!
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« Reply #107275 on: September 23, 2015, 05:57:31 PM »

Only had a quick look at the others, but 25/1 captain scooby looks reasonable.
Has decent draw has won off higher mark.
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« Reply #107276 on: September 23, 2015, 06:07:12 PM »

Only had a quick look at the others, but 25/1 captain scooby looks reasonable.
Has decent draw has won off higher mark.

Had a look at the race, but just looks swings and roundabouts to me.  Here you take a terrible win price (vs Betfair) in exchange for a better place price.   You'd be better overall just backing it on Betfair. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #107277 on: September 23, 2015, 06:18:05 PM »

33/1 on 888 is the same as the machine but I don't know if Fred can get on there
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« Reply #107278 on: September 23, 2015, 07:44:55 PM »

It pains me to say this but Arsenal have a severe lack of pace in central defence this evening with BFG and Chambers paired.

2/1 tottnumb looks massive to me.
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« Reply #107279 on: September 23, 2015, 08:01:22 PM »

It pains me to say this but Arsenal have a severe lack of pace in central defence this evening with BFG and Chambers paired.

2/1 tottnumb looks massive to me.

Dr Antibok, I presume?

Wink
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