Tips for Tikay

[fatcatstu]

Ok, so time to looks for som redemption after Matt Ryan let me down by 1 yard on Thursday!

Minnesota play Kansas at 6pm, in a game they should be winning comfortably against one of the worst teams in the league, shorn of the best RB around at the minute.

When The Vikings do well, Adrian Peterson has a big game, busting 134 yards and 125 yards in the 2 games they have won, while rushing for 81 yards on just 16 carries last week as they chased the game against Denver.

Ladbrokes have set the line at 90.5 yards, which looks a great bet against a team alloweing an average of 98.6 yards per game to the Rush. I would also expect the Vikings to be leading this game most of the time, which will mean alot more carries for 'All Day'

Recommend £20 on Adrian Peterson OVER 90.5 yards

[TightEnd]

Cincinnati @ Buffalo Sky Sports 6pm Sunday

Bengals-Bills : 42.5-point total, Cincinnati favoured by 3.5.

Bengals 5-0. Bills 3-2

Cincinnati is playing aggressive passing offense, leading the NFL in both yards per attempt (9.5) and 20-plus-yard completions (25). Dalton gets the ball out quickly and will need to today to minimise the Buffalo edge rush

The Bills defense limited running backs to 3.8 yards per carry and just two rushing scores through five games. So its difficult to run on them.

In the passing game, Dalton's targets this year through the first five games:

A.J. Green 43; Tyler Eifert 36; Marvin Jones 26; Bernard 21; Mohamed Sanu 20

This game sets up for targets to Eifert. Buffalo is allowing the fifth most receptions to tight ends, while CBs Stephon Gilmore and Ronald Darby are both having really good seasons for Buffalo so the match up for the cincinnati receivers is tough too

the best match up here is Eifert against the safeties and linebackers. Eifert is Dalton's top target in the red zone this year. not that surprising as he has a big catching radius so can snag a lot of balls



Five games this season, 5 TDs, only fit for three of the games. Has over 300 yards receving and averages 60+ yards per game

http://www.nfl.com/player/tylereifert/2540148/gamelogs

on the other side of the ball

Buffalo has a forecast team total today of just 19.5 points in the markets.

EJ Manuel is at QB as Taylor is injured

Watkins is back but has been moaning about not being targetted. EJ is unlikely to help that much

Rushing game in flux. Mccoy just back from injury, Williams injured. sigend a running back off the street last week to make up the numbers

their best match up might be charles clay at tight end

So the hosts are restricted on offense (back up QB, injuries at running back, a pouting diva at wide receiver) and the best match up for the visitors looks to be eifert

Eifert

9/5 anytime TD

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cincinnati-bengals-at-buffalo-bills/anytime-touchdown-scorer

10-1 to 12-1 first TD

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cincinnati-bengals-at-buffalo-bills/first-touchdown-scorer

Over 50.5 receiving

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cincinnati-bengals-at-buffalo-bills/total-receiving-yds-tyler-eifert

for the thread its unlikely to matter much as we'll be restricted but for myself, taking a 10 point bank, i split it

60% receiving yards overs, 30% anytime td, 10% first TD

I do think over 50.5 receiving is the best prop bet line i have seen for today across the NFL

[Newportlad]

Jim Harbaugh left the San Francisco 49ers to return to being a head coach of a college team. He is now in Michigan, the team that produced the great Tom Brady among others. It was the big derby tonight, as they hosted Michigan State.

23-21 up. The last play of the game. The home crowd loving it. Plan is simple: boot the ball into enemy territory, tackle the bloke who catches it and celebrate a glorious victory.



Or you could do that...

I saw this game on the TV last night.   I'd had a little bet on Michigan State, and this play had me jumping around the room.
There has been some great endings to college football games over the last couple of years.   Check out the ending of  Auburn vs Alabama game from a couple of years ago.

[Chompy]

Is the anytime touchdown scorer a good market to ever be playing?

Just had a look at Cin-Buf and 356 have 13 players quoted at below 2-1. What is the market expecting for this game? Five touchdowns?

At first glance it looks like the anytime scorer markets for footy in as much as most of the time prices have everything well covered?

[Tal]

Cincinnati @ Buffalo Sky Sports 6pm Sunday

Bengals-Bills : 42.5-point total, Cincinnati favoured by 3.5.

Bengals 5-0. Bills 3-2

Cincinnati is playing aggressive passing offense, leading the NFL in both yards per attempt (9.5) and 20-plus-yard completions (25). Dalton gets the ball out quickly and will need to today to minimise the Buffalo edge rush

The Bills defense limited running backs to 3.8 yards per carry and just two rushing scores through five games. So its difficult to run on them.

In the passing game, Dalton's targets this year through the first five games:

A.J. Green 43; Tyler Eifert 36; Marvin Jones 26; Bernard 21; Mohamed Sanu 20

This game sets up for targets to Eifert. Buffalo is allowing the fifth most receptions to tight ends, while CBs Stephon Gilmore and Ronald Darby are both having really good seasons for Buffalo so the match up for the cincinnati receivers is tough too

the best match up here is Eifert against the safeties and linebackers. Eifert is Dalton's top target in the red zone this year. not that surprising as he has a big catching radius so can snag a lot of balls



Five games this season, 5 TDs, only fit for three of the games. Has over 300 yards receving and averages 60+ yards per game

http://www.nfl.com/player/tylereifert/2540148/gamelogs

on the other side of the ball

Buffalo has a forecast team total today of just 19.5 points in the markets.

EJ Manuel is at QB as Taylor is injured

Watkins is back but has been moaning about not being targetted. EJ is unlikely to help that much

Rushing game in flux. Mccoy just back from injury, Williams injured. sigend a running back off the street last week to make up the numbers

their best match up might be charles clay at tight end

So the hosts are restricted on offense (back up QB, injuries at running back, a pouting diva at wide receiver) and the best match up for the visitors looks to be eifert

Eifert

9/5 anytime TD

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cincinnati-bengals-at-buffalo-bills/anytime-touchdown-scorer

10-1 to 12-1 first TD

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cincinnati-bengals-at-buffalo-bills/first-touchdown-scorer

Over 50.5 receiving

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cincinnati-bengals-at-buffalo-bills/total-receiving-yds-tyler-eifert

for the thread its unlikely to matter much as we'll be restricted but for myself, taking a 10 point bank, i split it

60% receiving yards overs, 30% anytime td, 10% first TD

I do think over 50.5 receiving is the best prop bet line i have seen for today across the NFL

I don't disagree, but just be aware that the Bills currently rank fifth in the league against opposing Tight Ends:

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/teamdef

Countenance that with who we have played against: Indy, New England, Miami, New York Giants and Tennessee, which is probably one tight end better than Eifert in New England's Rob Gronkowski...and he went for 113 yards and a touchdown.

I like the yards bet most of those you've posted for sure.

EJ Manuel starting might open up a chance for a left field Bills touchdown scorer in Robert Woods. He had 5 touchdowns last season, the second highest in the team. 25/1 first touchdown scorer with Chorals and 20/1 last touchdown with BMU.

Watkins is half fit at best and the number two receiver, Percy Harvin, is also 50/50 with a hip injury. Woods has a good rapport with Manuel and, although neither is very good, he will be looking for the ball in the end zone and will only have one man to beat.

Pick which you prefer, Tighty, if either. They're not outrageously bad prices but I am slightly surprised to see the prices start with a 2.

A nominal £10 stake please.

[Stopsleyhatter]

Cincinnati @ Buffalo Sky Sports 6pm Sunday

Bengals-Bills : 42.5-point total, Cincinnati favoured by 3.5.

Bengals 5-0. Bills 3-2

Cincinnati is playing aggressive passing offense, leading the NFL in both yards per attempt (9.5) and 20-plus-yard completions (25). Dalton gets the ball out quickly and will need to today to minimise the Buffalo edge rush

The Bills defense limited running backs to 3.8 yards per carry and just two rushing scores through five games. So its difficult to run on them.

In the passing game, Dalton's targets this year through the first five games:

A.J. Green 43; Tyler Eifert 36; Marvin Jones 26; Bernard 21; Mohamed Sanu 20

This game sets up for targets to Eifert. Buffalo is allowing the fifth most receptions to tight ends, while CBs Stephon Gilmore and Ronald Darby are both having really good seasons for Buffalo so the match up for the cincinnati receivers is tough too

the best match up here is Eifert against the safeties and linebackers. Eifert is Dalton's top target in the red zone this year. not that surprising as he has a big catching radius so can snag a lot of balls



Five games this season, 5 TDs, only fit for three of the games. Has over 300 yards receving and averages 60+ yards per game

http://www.nfl.com/player/tylereifert/2540148/gamelogs

on the other side of the ball

Buffalo has a forecast team total today of just 19.5 points in the markets.

EJ Manuel is at QB as Taylor is injured

Watkins is back but has been moaning about not being targetted. EJ is unlikely to help that much

Rushing game in flux. Mccoy just back from injury, Williams injured. sigend a running back off the street last week to make up the numbers

their best match up might be charles clay at tight end

So the hosts are restricted on offense (back up QB, injuries at running back, a pouting diva at wide receiver) and the best match up for the visitors looks to be eifert

Eifert

9/5 anytime TD

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cincinnati-bengals-at-buffalo-bills/anytime-touchdown-scorer

10-1 to 12-1 first TD

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cincinnati-bengals-at-buffalo-bills/first-touchdown-scorer

Over 50.5 receiving

http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/cincinnati-bengals-at-buffalo-bills/total-receiving-yds-tyler-eifert

for the thread its unlikely to matter much as we'll be restricted but for myself, taking a 10 point bank, i split it

60% receiving yards overs, 30% anytime td, 10% first TD

I do think over 50.5 receiving is the best prop bet line i have seen for today across the NFL

Nice spot on the over 50.5 receiving.Thats probably only 6-7 receptions as Eiferts yac always looks pretty good.As an aside Marvin Jones scored 4 touchdowns last time we played a Rex Ryan team so should takeaway one of the bills better defenders.

[hhyftrftdr]

Little update for the Roma bet, they won at home yesterday 3-1. Salah seems to have been a very astute loan signing for them.

All the title rivals play today, will keep an eye on proceedings.

[tikay]

Little update for the Roma bet, they won at home yesterday 3-1. Salah seems to have been a very astute loan signing for them.

All the title rivals play today, will keep an eye on proceedings.

Thanks Plumpy, & well done on yesterday's demolition job v Bournemouth.

[TightEnd]

     Bet placed, its reference is 538/580

Bet ref: 538/580 £10.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills
1st TD Scorer
   Woods, Robert   25/1   
Total stake   £ 10.00
Estimated return   £ 260.00
Full stake   £ 10.00
Full estimated return   £ 260.00

for Tal

[Tal]

I really like Carolina tonight in Seattle against the spread. Seattle has had 2/3 of the money all week, pushing the line all the way to +7.5 in vegas. The British bookies have yet to pass 7, annoyingly, but I'd still be minded to take that. The Panthers are 5-1-1 (W-L-D) against the spread in their last seven games. The Seahawks 1-5-2 in its last eight.

Also, apart from a fourth quarter blowout in the playoff game last season, three of the last five games between the teams have gone under the 41 point total for today. The Panthers are an unfashionable team that has gone 4-0 without anyone even considering them playoff relevant, having lost their best wide receiver at the start of the season. The Seahawks are a shadow of the team that made the superbowl last season but still have talent.

Seven points feels huge to me.

If it goes 7.5 and anyone sees it, post ITT please.

Otherwise, let's take 7 and we can have a push if it ties. £33 Billy Mountains at 10/11.

Seattle rank 30th against opposing Tight Ends, leaking 64 yards a game through five weeks. Greg Olsen is an elite TE and will give the safeties headaches tonight. Kam Chancellor has not been the force people expected him to be, having returned from refusing to play, amid contract talks.

57.5 yards for him (Billy Mountains) is a good ten less than I was expecting. 12/1 first touchdown with BMU and Chorals is worthy of a play.

Recommend:

£33 Carolina +7 at 10/11
£33 Greg Olsen over 57.5 yards at 10/11
£10 Greg Olsen first touchdown at 12/1

[TightEnd]

Carolina Panthers +7 Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks Point Spread
10/11
Total Stake: £33.00
Potential Returns: £63.00


Greg Olsen Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks First Touchdown Scorer
12/1
Total Stake: £10.00
Potential Returns: £130.00

Over Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks Total Receiving Yds - Greg Olsen
10/11
Total Stake: £33.00
Potential Returns: £63.03

[TightEnd]

Ok, so time to looks for som redemption after Matt Ryan let me down by 1 yard on Thursday!

Minnesota play Kansas at 6pm, in a game they should be winning comfortably against one of the worst teams in the league, shorn of the best RB around at the minute.

When The Vikings do well, Adrian Peterson has a big game, busting 134 yards and 125 yards in the 2 games they have won, while rushing for 81 yards on just 16 carries last week as they chased the game against Denver.

Ladbrokes have set the line at 90.5 yards, which looks a great bet against a team alloweing an average of 98.6 yards per game to the Rush. I would also expect the Vikings to be leading this game most of the time, which will mean alot more carries for 'All Day'

Recommend £20 on Adrian Peterson OVER 90.5 yards

Over Kansas City Chiefs at Minnesota Vikings Total Rushing Yds - Adrian Peterson
10/11
Total Stake: £11.00
Potential Returns: £21.00

[HutchGF]

Not wishing to inflict a bok, but can I personally thank the American Football tipsters. Tremendous strike-rate so far and I'm sure we're all making a nice few quid.

[TL900]

I really like Carolina tonight in Seattle against the spread. Seattle has had 2/3 of the money all week, pushing the line all the way to +7.5 in vegas. The British bookies have yet to pass 7, annoyingly, but I'd still be minded to take that. The Panthers are 5-1-1 (W-L-D) against the spread in their last seven games. The Seahawks 1-5-2 in its last eight.

Also, apart from a fourth quarter blowout in the playoff game last season, three of the last five games between the teams have gone under the 41 point total for today. The Panthers are an unfashionable team that has gone 4-0 without anyone even considering them playoff relevant, having lost their best wide receiver at the start of the season. The Seahawks are a shadow of the team that made the superbowl last season but still have talent.

Seven points feels huge to me.

If it goes 7.5 and anyone sees it, post ITT please.

Otherwise, let's take 7 and we can have a push if it ties. £33 Billy Mountains at 10/11.

Seattle rank 30th against opposing Tight Ends, leaking 64 yards a game through five weeks. Greg Olsen is an elite TE and will give the safeties headaches tonight. Kam Chancellor has not been the force people expected him to be, having returned from refusing to play, amid contract talks.

57.5 yards for him (Billy Mountains) is a good ten less than I was expecting. 12/1 first touchdown with BMU and Chorals is worthy of a play.

Recommend:

£33 Carolina +7 at 10/11
£33 Greg Olsen over 57.5 yards at 10/11
£10 Greg Olsen first touchdown at 12/1

panthers have beaten the Jags/Texans/Saints and Bucs all in the bottom 10 teams in the league, sure seattle arent playing like the powerhouse they are but they are clearly still top 3 most talented roster in the league. In the corresponding fixture last year i believe seattle were -13.5? Seattle have covered the spread in 12 out of their last 13 home games where they have been favoured by 7 or less (the 1 being 2 weeks ago vs Detroit) Lynch is back tonight with Rawls being a very good backup option now.

On the flip side, I keep expecting Seattle to show up and be the team they are supposed to be and it hasnt really happened yet so maybe it doesnt happen again for another week? Id be taking the Seattle -7 for sure in this matchup though.

[Karabiner]

How many points were Ireland favourites on the spread?