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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16424610 times)
arbboy
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« Reply #108795 on: November 08, 2015, 01:42:49 AM »

At his best Wolf is a top ten pdc player. I would have him as a slight jolly against wade at his best.
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baldock92
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« Reply #108796 on: November 08, 2015, 01:44:30 AM »

outside bias looks to have carried over from this morning bags on ch212 on sky for the evening meeting.  

2 more wides win. Do you avoid them if the odds are tiny (think in the 8:02 trap 6 was 2/5) and just back the other 2 wides?

At crayford i try to lay short priced slow away dogs on the inside when it is favouring the outside where they will struggle to overcome the bias coming from behind as it is such a leaders track and you have the added chance of them finding trouble at the first bend if they are slow away.  Would be laying them stronger place only at a shorter price as well on nights like tonight as well as in the win market.

I am mainly a layer rather than a backer generally.

Ah ok. Just trying to get an understanding so just throwing a few quid on traps 4-6 to win unless the price is piss poor. Hope the wides keep winning, Thanks!

You have backed every winner so far then!!!  wp!  You need a betfair account generally for dogs if you are backing big prices as most of them will be a bigger price there than with the betting firms just in case you didn't know already.  the last t5 winner 5/1 sp was over 8/1 on bf.

Shit i've missed a ton of value then! Just put a few quid on each via bet365 before I left to the pub. Coming back with a kebab and to find a tidy profit is always a positive though   Definitely getting on with BF next time!
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« Reply #108797 on: November 08, 2015, 10:16:02 AM »

Im going to do a football bet!!

Atheltic Bilbao v Espanyol.

In Bilbaos last 5 home games, there has been a total of 20 goals, and in Espanyols last 5 away games, there has been a total of 19 goals, with the teams total games averaging 2.9 and 3.1 goals per game respectively.

This one has over 2.5 goals written all over it.

Recommend £30 on OVER 2.5 goals.
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Ant040689
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« Reply #108798 on: November 08, 2015, 10:18:32 AM »

Suggest 40 quid on Palace and the draw today at 2.1+. Achieved through laying on betfair, double chance or Asian handicap Palace +0.5.

On mobile and in a rush so forgive me for no links.

Liverpool under Klopp have generally been a team that are involved in tight games aside from Chelsea letting them run riot and so too have Palace been involved in tight games recently with West Ham and our 10 men the exception.

Palace have been resolute defensively and welcome back the attacking left back threat of Soaure today and even though Pardew has said he isn't likely to be available, Conor Wickham could well feature, as in mid week he said in interview that he was 100% fit.

Yes Palace have struggled in the attacking department and could do today but if the game goes to plan you could see a cagey game with Palace perhaps bundling a goal in or from a set piece or something. I generally feel this game will be relatively level thereby making the 5/1 look value. Obviously could be wrong but it's only my opinion.

As I think the draw could well be likely I like the double chance aspect. However if it makes mathematical sense to also back an outright winner as well as the double chance then go for it. And I suggest a tenner at 5/1ish as well, but would rather shrewdies okayed that strategy.
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Newportlad
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« Reply #108799 on: November 08, 2015, 11:05:14 AM »

Im going to do a football bet!!

Atheltic Bilbao v Espanyol.

In Bilbaos last 5 home games, there has been a total of 20 goals, and in Espanyols last 5 away games, there has been a total of 19 goals, with the teams total games averaging 2.9 and 3.1 goals per game respectively.

This one has over 2.5 goals written all over it.

Recommend £30 on OVER 2.5 goals.

Stu, what odds did you get?
Best I can see is 4/5
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fatcatstu
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« Reply #108800 on: November 08, 2015, 11:20:57 AM »

I got 3/4 on price rush on betfair mate.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #108801 on: November 08, 2015, 11:38:42 AM »

Im going to do a football bet!!

Atheltic Bilbao v Espanyol.

In Bilbaos last 5 home games, there has been a total of 20 goals, and in Espanyols last 5 away games, there has been a total of 19 goals, with the teams total games averaging 2.9 and 3.1 goals per game respectively.

This one has over 2.5 goals written all over it.

Recommend £30 on OVER 2.5 goals.

friendly request

all about the price, if it can go in the recommendation with an oddschecker link, thanks

anyway, here goes (didn't realise it started at 11)

Over 2.5 Athletic Bilbao v Espanyol Total Goals Over/Under
4/5
Total Stake: £25.00
Potential Returns: £45.00
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fatcatstu
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« Reply #108802 on: November 08, 2015, 11:40:59 AM »

Im going to do a football bet!!

Atheltic Bilbao v Espanyol.

In Bilbaos last 5 home games, there has been a total of 20 goals, and in Espanyols last 5 away games, there has been a total of 19 goals, with the teams total games averaging 2.9 and 3.1 goals per game respectively.

This one has over 2.5 goals written all over it.

Recommend £30 on OVER 2.5 goals.

friendly request

all about the price, if it can go in the recommendation with an oddschecker link, thanks

anyway, here goes (didn't realise it started at 11)

Over 2.5 Athletic Bilbao v Espanyol Total Goals Over/Under
4/5
Total Stake: £25.00
Potential Returns: £45.00


Duly noted, sorry mate!
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TightEnd
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« Reply #108803 on: November 08, 2015, 11:41:34 AM »

Suggest 40 quid on Palace and the draw today at 2.1+. Achieved through laying on betfair, double chance or Asian handicap Palace +0.5.

On mobile and in a rush so forgive me for no links.

Liverpool under Klopp have generally been a team that are involved in tight games aside from Chelsea letting them run riot and so too have Palace been involved in tight games recently with West Ham and our 10 men the exception.

Palace have been resolute defensively and welcome back the attacking left back threat of Soaure today and even though Pardew has said he isn't likely to be available, Conor Wickham could well feature, as in mid week he said in interview that he was 100% fit.

Yes Palace have struggled in the attacking department and could do today but if the game goes to plan you could see a cagey game with Palace perhaps bundling a goal in or from a set piece or something. I generally feel this game will be relatively level thereby making the 5/1 look value. Obviously could be wrong but it's only my opinion.

As I think the draw could well be likely I like the double chance aspect. However if it makes mathematical sense to also back an outright winner as well as the double chance then go for it. And I suggest a tenner at 5/1ish as well, but would rather shrewdies okayed that strategy.

we have £40 888sport Palace double chance at 2.43. beat the AH +0.5 price
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fatcatstu
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« Reply #108804 on: November 08, 2015, 11:56:45 AM »

Im going to do a football bet!!

Atheltic Bilbao v Espanyol.

In Bilbaos last 5 home games, there has been a total of 20 goals, and in Espanyols last 5 away games, there has been a total of 19 goals, with the teams total games averaging 2.9 and 3.1 goals per game respectively.

This one has over 2.5 goals written all over it.

Recommend £30 on OVER 2.5 goals.

friendly request

all about the price, if it can go in the recommendation with an oddschecker link, thanks

anyway, here goes (didn't realise it started at 11)

Over 2.5 Athletic Bilbao v Espanyol Total Goals Over/Under
4/5
Total Stake: £25.00
Potential Returns: £45.00


Duly noted, sorry mate!

1-0 Bilbao 7 minutes in.
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Karabiner
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« Reply #108805 on: November 08, 2015, 11:57:49 AM »

8/11(1.75) Arsenal looks very short to me considering the amount of injuries that we currently have which has increased the work-load of the starting eleven.

The other lot from down the road have been playing some decent stuff too and they look particularly strong defensively as well as having offensive threats.

I won't be doing it myself for obvious reasons but I honestly think Arsenal are a lay at that price.
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« Reply #108806 on: November 08, 2015, 12:10:03 PM »

Okies, Ant-style Posh essay coming...

Choral go 9-2 about a top six finish and that's plain wrong. This is a weak league and we're arguably the best team in it, with scope for further improvement.

Bookmakers have consistently over-rated us for the past couple of seasons, under a gone-at-the-game Fergie and a youth team manager who was nowhere near up to the job. Now they're under-rating us at the start of what's looking a major upswing.

Since Westley came in the improvement has been amazing; he's such a good speaker and has us playing the way Darragh has always wanted, all-out attack and entertainment. We're already the country's leading scorers (32 after 16 games), which isn't bad after a shaky start, and we'd be odds against to not top 100 goals this season.

A number of the squad will wind up at a much higher level but, in the short term, the only one liable to be poached in January is Maddison. He's been out injured for a few weeks, though, and even if he does go Darragh would replace him. A bid for Ben Gladwin wouldn't be a surprise, given he can't get a look-in at QPR.

Alnwick is a very good keeper for this level, Santos and Zakuani are a good partnership at the back (£2m+-rated Jack Baldwin is just back from a long-term knee injury (sent off yesterday after coming on in injury time)). Callum Elder, on loan from Leicester, hasn't put a foot wrong at left-back, and Smith is fitter than all last season at right-back.

Midfield is where all the quality is though. Chris Forrester is possibly the best we've ever had, Oztumer has been amazing under Westley, likewise Jon Taylor, who's finally fit after having knee problems all last season.

When Forrester, Taylor, Oztumer and Maddison all start there's nobody in this league can live with us. There's quality on the bench too.

The front three of Angol, Washington and Coulibaly is fine. Washington doesn't score as much as he should but he has serious pace and still improving.

Our next four games are Fleetwood (H), Crewe (A), Barnsley (H) and Scunthorpe (A), 21st, 24th, 22nd and 10th in the table respectively.

Was going to go for the max £300 rec, but will settle for £100 for now, 9-2 Choral.
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« Reply #108807 on: November 08, 2015, 12:23:11 PM »

£88 coral 9/2 and £12 ladbrokes 4-1

due to restrictions @coral we took some of chompy's to make up the £100
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« Reply #108808 on: November 08, 2015, 12:24:23 PM »

Im going to do a football bet!!

Atheltic Bilbao v Espanyol.

In Bilbaos last 5 home games, there has been a total of 20 goals, and in Espanyols last 5 away games, there has been a total of 19 goals, with the teams total games averaging 2.9 and 3.1 goals per game respectively.

This one has over 2.5 goals written all over it.

Recommend £30 on OVER 2.5 goals.

friendly request

all about the price, if it can go in the recommendation with an oddschecker link, thanks

anyway, here goes (didn't realise it started at 11)

Over 2.5 Athletic Bilbao v Espanyol Total Goals Over/Under
4/5
Total Stake: £25.00
Potential Returns: £45.00


Duly noted, sorry mate!

1-0 Bilbao 7 minutes in.

Inaki Williams the next cab on the Bilbao potential superb striker generator

What a talent great goal
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arbboy
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« Reply #108809 on: November 08, 2015, 12:25:21 PM »

http://www.oddschecker.com/darts/grand-slam-of-darts/jelle-klaasen-v-martin-adams/winner

Adams a dog in this game?  Really?  Klassen ranked 20th in PDC.  How low down the pdc does Adams have to go to be a jolly in a game having averaged 104 last night and beat a top 8 player?
« Last Edit: November 08, 2015, 12:38:16 PM by arbboy » Logged
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