Tips for Tikay

[Marky147]

It'll last longer than it would in my account.

[bergeroo]

Current promo on B0ylesports. Get your money back if Sinn Fein form the next Irish government. There's got to be a joke in there somewhere but it is too late and I am too tired to think of one!

[nirvana]

Chelsea top 5 finish - around on betfair (exchange)

The really smart money is lumping fivers on this

[TightEnd]

Peter, very interesting read.

Fred doesn't do Scuybet because of Tikay's occasional television poker expertery. Some of us mugs can still get on with them, though (thin), so don't let that stop you.

When would the Lewis Total World Titles bet be paid out? If he gets beaten by Nico this season, is he likely to retire? The year after? Strikes me as someone who enjoys all the things that F1 brings and he can pick his team if Toto chucks him out. My concern would be locking up the money for the next ten years. Thoughts?

That would be my worry, too, there's a possibility that the bookies would not settle for some years.

Utility of my £25 is probably better doing nothing in their account, than being in mine

I guess the length of the bet is a fair counter-argument. Let's see, Lewis is 31 now. I would imagine he'd retire at 35/36 to go off and become a rapper, or open a dog grooming store, or something equally daft. So, I would say another five years perhaps. The way I see it, it's 10/1, the return would be £500, and I probably won't be doing anything better with the £50 stake, it will just be sat in my bank account with a circa 1% interest rate 

i think the point is not return relative to bank, its that you could make your own ROI on the £50 many times over in the x years until he retires and exceed £500

i won't be doing that bet for utility/time value of money reasons (and 5 years feels a long time in TfT terms, a lot can happen), can't do the sky bets and can do Rosberg

you dont think Vettel has got a serious shot at improving past the Mercs? 

[bergeroo]

I've checked the history on oddschecker and can't see Rosberg ever being 9/2 recently. Was it on the exchange? He is 3/1 best I can see and 7/2 on the exchange.

I've almost given up on F1, this season is pretty much the last throw of the dice. I really hope the Ferrari can challenge the Merc this season.

Okay, F1 pre-season testing kicks off tomorrow. I've been scouring the markets and found the following bet suggestions.

Drivers Championship Winner - Nico Rosberg @ 9/2 with Betfayre. You guys know my thoughts about Nico Rosberg being the more complete driver already, despite Lewis taking the last two titles. From the USGP last year, and the collision between the two drivers on the opening lap, something changed in Nico. He saw the incident at turn one as Lewis overstepping the line of what is acceptable, and I think it made him realise that he needs to be that aggressive also - which he was - and he won the last three races of the season. Not to mention that he has taken the last six pole positions. I expect Nico to outpace and comprehensively beat Lewis this season. Suggest £50.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/drivers-championship

Total Drivers Championships (Lewis Hamilton) - 3 @ 10/1 with Choral. This is half linked to the bet above. With new regulations due in 2017, it's possible we will see Mercedes dominance end then. If Nico can take the title this season, it's more than likely that Lewis will not win another title in F1, 10/1 is utter madness. Suggest £50.

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/lewis-hamilton/total-drivers-championships

F1 Specials - McLaren not to get a podium finish in 2016 @ 2/1 with SkaiBet. I like this bet a lot! With McLaren openly coming out and stating that they are sticking to their "size zero" engine concept, I think they are doomed this season, unless we get an absolutely bonkers race .. I can't see a McLaren podium happening at all. Max bet (I was limited to £125).

F1 Specials - McLaren to finish last in the constructors championship @ 16/1 with SkaiBet. This was actually my request to the bookie. With Manor getting Mercedes engines, and technical assistance from Williams, as well as an increased budget, there is a scenario that McLaren will finish dead last this season. I think it's worth £20.

https://www.skybet.com/formula-1/request_-_a_-_bet/event/18830609?action=GoRBSBetslip&bsnls=1&bsopen=1

I will be thinking up more bets to suggest to SkaiBet as testing progresses, will keep you posted.

[tikay]

Peter, very interesting read.

Fred doesn't do Scuybet because of Tikay's occasional television poker expertery. Some of us mugs can still get on with them, though (thin), so don't let that stop you.

When would the Lewis Total World Titles bet be paid out? If he gets beaten by Nico this season, is he likely to retire? The year after? Strikes me as someone who enjoys all the things that F1 brings and he can pick his team if Toto chucks him out. My concern would be locking up the money for the next ten years. Thoughts?

That would be my worry, too, there's a possibility that the bookies would not settle for some years.

Utility of my £25 is probably better doing nothing in their account, than being in mine

I guess the length of the bet is a fair counter-argument. Let's see, Lewis is 31 now. I would imagine he'd retire at 35/36 to go off and become a rapper, or open a dog grooming store, or something equally daft. So, I would say another five years perhaps. The way I see it, it's 10/1, the return would be £500, and I probably won't be doing anything better with the £50 stake, it will just be sat in my bank account with a circa 1% interest rate 

i think the point is not return relative to bank, its that you could make your own ROI on the £50 many times over in the x years until he retires and exceed £500

i won't be doing that bet for utility/time value of money reasons (and 5 years feels a long time in TfT terms, a lot can happen), can't do the sky bets and can do Rosberg

you dont think Vettel has got a serious shot at improving past the Mercs? 

It's a long time in real life terms for me, too. It's probably the same price that I'm still around in 5 years. Imagine clog popping & leaving an unsettled bet with a bookie?   

[TightEnd]

Profit yesterday £124

Profit on the month £501.52

Outstanding Bets £3571.22

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1eCEvN9MELsUxB81rHuWrfoX3zwIMPQQ205Lcjm3kbgU/edit#gid=19

yesterday's winners

£150 (net) Ben Marshall FGS-LGS in the Blackburn west ham game, his fifth goal in six games in his 100th game for the club

Click to see full-size image.

£24 Newcastle beat northampton by a point with 16 points from veteran fly half Andy Goode

Click to see full-size image.

losers

-£50 Man C Academy to win the F A Cup

Click to see full-size image.

ongoing

Arsenal or Hull v Watford in the quarter finals. we have £50 at 9-1 on Arsenal to win the F A Cup

Reading v Crystal Palace
Everton v Chelsea
Arsenal/Hull v Watford
Shrewsbury/Man Utd v West Ham

A convincing win for Roma sees them move up to fourth in Serie A, now 8 points behind Juve

Denny Hamlin edged Martin Truex Jr. to win Daytona 500 Margin of victory 0.010 sec, closest in Daytona 500 history

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

as stated, went to get on Rsberg

9/2? we'll be lucky

peter to advise

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/drivers-championship

[tikay]

Lol @ "Man City Academy". Poor old Percy Plump won't be happy. Incidentally, Tighty, he's gonna try & pop in to see us on Friday evening at UKPC.

Great bet by horsey, well dome John, & once again, hector delivers.   

[TightEnd]

NZ ended overnight on 121/4, 14 behind Aus with two days to go

http://www.espncricinfo.com/new-zealand-v-australia-2015-16/engine/match/914239.html

Hazlewood has 1 wicket so far in this innings, Lyon 0

Hazlewood 9, Lyon 10 for the series

the Hazlewood bet will be decided tomorrow

[Chompy]

as stated, went to get on Rsberg

9/2? we'll be lucky

peter to advise

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/drivers-championship

Rosberg is 5.4 to back currently. Near enough 9-2.

[bergeroo]

Thanks. I'll have a bit of that!

as stated, went to get on Rsberg

9/2? we'll be lucky

peter to advise

http://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-one/drivers-championship

Rosberg is 5.4 to back currently. Near enough 9-2.

[TightEnd]

cheers trying to get matched at 5.5

still interested in if the ferrari will challenge this year, Peter. thanks

[horseplayer]

Good stuff again peter

Looking forward to another profitable Motorsport season

[AndrewT]

I'm pretty sure that Hector is Biff from Back to the Future 2