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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16366058 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #115920 on: April 08, 2016, 11:42:25 AM »

Tighty.

In the Morrocco tennis jobbie, which is a normal clay court, I think we should back Paul Mathieu to beat Borna Coric. Coric has been disappointing so far this season and Mathieu looks the most likely winner to me. His form in reaching the final at Kitzbuhel last season, beating Delbonnis and Almagro is better than anything Coric has done. I think Coric is favourite only because he is seeded.

Suggest £15 Mathieu @ 6/5 with Lads, hills or corals.

Paul-Henri Mathieu Borna Coric v Paul-Henri Mathieu Winner
6/5
Total Stake: £15.00
Potential Returns: £33.00
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« Reply #115921 on: April 08, 2016, 11:53:58 AM »

The Masters Top Argentinian   grillo   6/5   50

-1 three shots clear in a three runner field

The Masters Top Australasian   smith    40/1    5

+2 3 shots behind Matsuyama

the masters top south african   grace   7/2   15

+3, three shots behind Oosthuizen

the masters top ten finish   kuchar   5/1   15

+3 a bad start

the masters top 20 finish   matsuyama   6/5   20

-1 in the top 20 at this early stage


Spieth became the first masters winner since Nicklaus in 66 to lead after a round the next year.

Rich, is that just a selection, or is it all our positions?

Pretty sure we are on Poulter, Top GB & I, @ 20/1, down to Methuselah.

Sorry if I have misunderstood.

Doesn't look like my tip on Snedders was put on. My first tip to. Such a clique ffs
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« Reply #115922 on: April 08, 2016, 11:59:42 AM »

The Masters Top Argentinian   grillo   6/5   50

-1 three shots clear in a three runner field

The Masters Top Australasian   smith    40/1    5

+2 3 shots behind Matsuyama

the masters top south african   grace   7/2   15

+3, three shots behind Oosthuizen

the masters top ten finish   kuchar   5/1   15

+3 a bad start

the masters top 20 finish   matsuyama   6/5   20

-1 in the top 20 at this early stage


Spieth became the first masters winner since Nicklaus in 66 to lead after a round the next year.

Rich, is that just a selection, or is it all our positions?

Pretty sure we are on Poulter, Top GB & I, @ 20/1, down to Methuselah.

Sorry if I have misunderstood.

Doesn't look like my tip on Snedders was put on. My first tip to. Such a clique ffs

Cheesy

Not a good enough tantrum, imo.

Surely there should be a 'That's it, close my account' thrown  in, too?
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« Reply #115923 on: April 08, 2016, 12:05:15 PM »

Think there is a great value bet in 3 ball matches today.

Speith is now at best 2/1 to win the whole tournament.

In his 3 ball match today, he is 5/6 to beat Casey and DeChambeau.

Looks like a bet to me.

Get some views but recommend £50 at 5/6 with bald geezer.
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tikay
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« Reply #115924 on: April 08, 2016, 12:15:34 PM »

The Masters Top Argentinian   grillo   6/5   50

-1 three shots clear in a three runner field

The Masters Top Australasian   smith    40/1    5

+2 3 shots behind Matsuyama

the masters top south african   grace   7/2   15

+3, three shots behind Oosthuizen

the masters top ten finish   kuchar   5/1   15

+3 a bad start

the masters top 20 finish   matsuyama   6/5   20

-1 in the top 20 at this early stage


Spieth became the first masters winner since Nicklaus in 66 to lead after a round the next year.

Rich, is that just a selection, or is it all our positions?

Pretty sure we are on Poulter, Top GB & I, @ 20/1, down to Methuselah.

Sorry if I have misunderstood.

Doesn't look like my tip on Snedders was put on. My first tip to. Such a clique ffs

Sorry, but we can't be doing with old people.
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tikay
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« Reply #115925 on: April 08, 2016, 12:17:01 PM »

The Masters Top Argentinian   grillo   6/5   50

-1 three shots clear in a three runner field

The Masters Top Australasian   smith    40/1    5

+2 3 shots behind Matsuyama

the masters top south african   grace   7/2   15

+3, three shots behind Oosthuizen

the masters top ten finish   kuchar   5/1   15

+3 a bad start

the masters top 20 finish   matsuyama   6/5   20

-1 in the top 20 at this early stage


Spieth became the first masters winner since Nicklaus in 66 to lead after a round the next year.

Rich, is that just a selection, or is it all our positions?

Pretty sure we are on Poulter, Top GB & I, @ 20/1, down to Methuselah.

Sorry if I have misunderstood.

Doesn't look like my tip on Snedders was put on. My first tip to. Such a clique ffs

Cheesy

Not a good enough tantrum, imo.

Surely there should be a 'That's it, close my account' thrown  in, too?


Yeah, he needs tantrum lessons. Do we have a tantrum specialist?
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« Reply #115926 on: April 08, 2016, 12:17:34 PM »

The Masters Top Argentinian   grillo   6/5   50

-1 three shots clear in a three runner field

The Masters Top Australasian   smith    40/1    5

+2 3 shots behind Matsuyama

the masters top south african   grace   7/2   15

+3, three shots behind Oosthuizen

the masters top ten finish   kuchar   5/1   15

+3 a bad start

the masters top 20 finish   matsuyama   6/5   20

-1 in the top 20 at this early stage


Spieth became the first masters winner since Nicklaus in 66 to lead after a round the next year.

Rich, is that just a selection, or is it all our positions?

Pretty sure we are on Poulter, Top GB & I, @ 20/1, down to Methuselah.

Sorry if I have misunderstood.

Doesn't look like my tip on Snedders was put on. My first tip to. Such a clique ffs

Sorry, but we can't be doing with old people.

Needs flouncing lessons too.
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« Reply #115927 on: April 08, 2016, 12:24:21 PM »

Quote
Snip...

Delph and Wilshere.

think Drinkwater might just miss out, unless the two above have any fitness doubts

Yeah Delph would be my bet in this market. Think he's more likely go than either of the other two.
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« Reply #115928 on: April 08, 2016, 12:41:27 PM »

I know the thread has a piece of Ian Poulter already but after first round
i feel Chorals 23/20 for top 20 seems out of line.

Any thoughts?

Gl guys.
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tikay
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« Reply #115929 on: April 08, 2016, 12:46:24 PM »

I know the thread has a piece of Ian Poulter already but after first round
i feel Chorals 23/20 for top 20 seems out of line.

Any thoughts?

Gl guys.

I've no idea if that is our of line, or perceived "value", but Poulter is very streaky, & when he gets on a roll, he's improbably good. Personally, I'd not want to bet against him making the Top 20.

It's The Masters, though, & one bad hole & it's all over baby. I'd probably bet him though.   

Fred apart, I've only had one bet on The Masters this year. In a way, I enjoy watching it more, as I'm not fixated by my financial interest.

 
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TightEnd
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« Reply #115930 on: April 08, 2016, 12:51:28 PM »

Think there is a great value bet in 3 ball matches today.

Speith is now at best 2/1 to win the whole tournament.

In his 3 ball match today, he is 5/6 to beat Casey and DeChambeau.

Looks like a bet to me.

Get some views but recommend £50 at 5/6 with bald geezer.

any opinions on this please? we can safely ignore the amateur and treat it as casey v spieth?

doesn't 5/6 reflect what we all know, or should he be shorter?
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« Reply #115931 on: April 08, 2016, 12:52:43 PM »

Think there is a great value bet in 3 ball matches today.

Speith is now at best 2/1 to win the whole tournament.

In his 3 ball match today, he is 5/6 to beat Casey and DeChambeau.

Looks like a bet to me.

Get some views but recommend £50 at 5/6 with bald geezer.

any opinions on this please? we can safely ignore the amateur and treat it as casey v spieth?

doesn't 5/6 reflect what we all know, or should he be shorter?

From reading the previews dont think we can ignore the amateur not like having ian Woosnam in a 3 ball
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« Reply #115932 on: April 08, 2016, 12:55:40 PM »

Think there is a great value bet in 3 ball matches today.

Speith is now at best 2/1 to win the whole tournament.

In his 3 ball match today, he is 5/6 to beat Casey and DeChambeau.

Looks like a bet to me.

Get some views but recommend £50 at 5/6 with bald geezer.

any opinions on this please? we can safely ignore the amateur and treat it as casey v spieth?

doesn't 5/6 reflect what we all know, or should he be shorter?

2/1 to win the whole thing over next 3 rounds v 5/6 to beat to two players in second round.

I would have thought he should be shorter than 5/6.

I am missing something in the pricing of this?
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« Reply #115933 on: April 08, 2016, 01:24:19 PM »

 20.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
The Masters 2016
Top 20
   Ian Poulter   23/20   
Total stake   20.00
Estimated return   43.00


£50.00 Single
Market   Selection   Price   Hcp
2nd Round 3 Balls - The Masters
17.55 J.Spieth/P.Casey/B.DeChambeau
   Jordan Spieth   5/6   
Total stake   £ 50.00
Estimated return    £91.66



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« Reply #115934 on: April 08, 2016, 02:03:08 PM »

Think there is a great value bet in 3 ball matches today.

Speith is now at best 2/1 to win the whole tournament.

In his 3 ball match today, he is 5/6 to beat Casey and DeChambeau.

Looks like a bet to me.

Get some views but recommend £50 at 5/6 with bald geezer.

any opinions on this please? we can safely ignore the amateur and treat it as casey v spieth?

doesn't 5/6 reflect what we all know, or should he be shorter?

2/1 to win the whole thing over next 3 rounds v 5/6 to beat to two players in second round.

I would have thought he should be shorter than 5/6.

I am missing something in the pricing of this?

It's basically that 18 holes is massively bigger variance than 54, I think that's the reason for the apparent discrepancy. Fwiw I think 2's is a bit short and 5/6 is about right.
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