Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

All mid/wide both tracks Romf and Cray on bags this afternoon.  Jolly fest at both tracks.  Fav backers in clover today across horses and dogs.

Monster outside at Cray

[AdamM]

Mid-card tip for this Sunday's UFC card

Igor Pokrajac vs Jan Blachovicz

Blachowicz won his UFC debut against Illr Latifi, who's a tough dude, but has lost twice since, against other solid competition. Pokrajac got cut from the UFC losing 5 in a row (although 1 was overturned to a NC). He’s won three straight in local shows, and it’s worth noting that virtually all his career losses have been a LONG way from home. In European fights, Pokrajac wins and more often than not, finishes. You can get on him at 5/2 (Paddy Power)

Full main card run down here if you're interested:
http://mmaflashback.com/2016/04/06/ufc-fight-night-rothwell-vs-dos-santos/

i know nothing about MMA, and you didn't give me a recommended amount

how often do 1/3 shots get turned over in this?

anyway, showing willing

Igor Pokrajac
Igor Pokrajac v Jan Blachowicz Winner
3/1
Total Stake: £15.00
Potential Returns: £60.00

Sorry, don't come on the thread much so didn't realise that what I had to do. Was doing my blog post and saw what I bought was a clear bookie misread so thought I'd pass it on. There'll be at least one upset like this on each card and I think Pokrajac is actually favourite in this fight.

[AdamM]

Where'd you get 3/1?

[arbboy]

Incredible the price the last 2 winning t6's at Crayford have gone off on bf.

Make that the last 3 t6's!  Incredible.  Hope some of you got a few quid out of that.  Last 3 races 6x5 forecasts!

http://www.gbgb.org.uk/resultsMeeting.aspx?id=138346

[bergeroo]

3/1 at two bookies here
http://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/igor-pokrajac-v-jan-blachowicz/winner

also why is this on a sunday night? makes no sense, was planning to watch it on Saturday!

And thanks for the recommend

Where'd you get 3/1?

[bergeroo]

Thanks for the heads up! Got on the 6 for the last two races.

Incredible the price the last 2 winning t6's at Crayford have gone off on bf.

[AdamM]

3/1 at two bookies here
http://www.oddschecker.com/ufc-mma/igor-pokrajac-v-jan-blachowicz/winner

also why is this on a sunday night? makes no sense, was planning to watch it on Saturday!

And thanks for the recommend

Where'd you get 3/1?

Weird isn't it. Undercard starts on Fight Pass at 3pm I think, with main Card at 7 (BT Eur if you don't have fight pass)

[dino1980]

One for discussion perhaps:

Jordan Henderson looks to have picked up a knee injury tonight that may well rule him out of the Euros. The prices don't seem to have adjusted yet as he's still 1.17 to make the squad: http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/england-euro-2016-specials/to-make-the-squad

So the question is whose claims for a squad place does it strengthen the most?

Fabian Delph (3.00)
Danny Drinkwater (2.38)
Michael Carrick (6.00)
Jack Wilshere (2.4)

One of that quartet seem the most likely to me, but which one and there any value to be had? I think one of the top two seems the most like-for-like Hendo replacement. Roy seems a big fan of Delph and the fact he's left footed is a factor too.

[DungBeetle]

Well done Hector

Baggy beat Verdasco comfortably - an excellent underdog tip.

Thank you!

[tikay]

Evening Tighty.

Tomorrow Baghdatis plays Verdasco at the Houston ATP. I have mentioned before that these are not your normal clay courts, and I make Baghdatis favourite to win this, but no one else does.

Suggest £15 Baghdatis @ 6/4 with sportingbet or else the 11/8 around is fine.

Too good hector, you just quietly keep coming up with the goods, value bet after value bet.

Lovely job, thank you.

We have another Tennis bet ongoing, a 12/1 (?) shot as I recall, who is now in the quarter finals. When does he next play, & what price is he now?

[rinswun]

One for discussion perhaps:

Jordan Henderson looks to have picked up a knee injury tonight that may well rule him out of the Euros. The prices don't seem to have adjusted yet as he's still 1.17 to make the squad: http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/england-euro-2016-specials/to-make-the-squad

So the question is whose claims for a squad place does it strengthen the most?

Fabian Delph (3.00)
Danny Drinkwater (2.38)
Michael Carrick (6.00)
Jack Wilshere (2.4)

One of that quartet seem the most likely to me, but which one and there any value to be had? I think one of the top two seems the most like-for-like Hendo replacement. Roy seems a big fan of Delph and the fact he's left footed is a factor too.

Roy's said Wilshere is a cert to go if he proves his fitness. He's playing tonight against Newcastle u21s with a view to playing some part in the next league game. You're basically weighing up whether you think he's a 40% chance of getting injured between now and the Euros.

Carrick's a lay for all money.

[BigAdz]

Well done Hector

Baggy beat Verdasco comfortably - an excellent underdog tip.

Thank you!

 

[TightEnd]

One for discussion perhaps:

Jordan Henderson looks to have picked up a knee injury tonight that may well rule him out of the Euros. The prices don't seem to have adjusted yet as he's still 1.17 to make the squad: http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/england-euro-2016-specials/to-make-the-squad

So the question is whose claims for a squad place does it strengthen the most?

Fabian Delph (3.00)
Danny Drinkwater (2.38)
Michael Carrick (6.00)
Jack Wilshere (2.4)

One of that quartet seem the most likely to me, but which one and there any value to be had? I think one of the top two seems the most like-for-like Hendo replacement. Roy seems a big fan of Delph and the fact he's left footed is a factor too.

How many of these would we expect to go?

3 keepers

7 or 8 defenders

4 or 5 strikers

leaves 9 or 10 midfielders, of whom Attacking midfielders like Alli and Barkley, Lallana etc will form a large component

Dier + how many for holding midfield role? 3?

[TightEnd]

The Masters Top Argentinian   grillo   6/5   50

-1 three shots clear in a three runner field

The Masters Top Australasian   smith    40/1    5

+2 3 shots behind Matsuyama

the masters top south african   grace   7/2   15

+3, three shots behind Oosthuizen

the masters top ten finish   kuchar   5/1   15

+3 a bad start

the masters top 20 finish   matsuyama   6/5   20

-1 in the top 20 at this early stage


Spieth became the first masters winner since Nicklaus in 66 to lead after a round the next year.

[tikay]

The Masters Top Argentinian   grillo   6/5   50

-1 three shots clear in a three runner field

The Masters Top Australasian   smith    40/1    5

+2 3 shots behind Matsuyama

the masters top south african   grace   7/2   15

+3, three shots behind Oosthuizen

the masters top ten finish   kuchar   5/1   15

+3 a bad start

the masters top 20 finish   matsuyama   6/5   20

-1 in the top 20 at this early stage


Spieth became the first masters winner since Nicklaus in 66 to lead after a round the next year.

Rich, is that just a selection, or is it all our positions?

Pretty sure we are on Poulter, Top GB & I, @ 20/1, down to Methuselah.

Sorry if I have misunderstood.