Tips for Tikay

[tikay]

there is an assumption that some cut in the ground hinders Many Clouds?

from memory a year ago the ground was going to be too fast for it, and it wanted a bit of cut?

Think Mr Adz said Many Clouds is not inconvenienced by any ground, with, I suppose, the exceptions of extremes.

[tikay]

10.5-1 the field on the machine for the National...

Many Clpouds is 5.6 a place on Betfair

interesting, no?

Ha, saw that last night.   Only for Neil to be chatting about this morning.  Was 5.2 when I looked 15 minutes ago.  Think it is probably still a bet

Edit.  5.4 now,  I'll back you up on that Tighty.  Not sure how much we have on already, but sure this is good for another 25/50

yes Neil chatting it put me onto it

its 11.5 to win and 5.6 to place....one of the markets can't be right? (they can both be wrong)

The win price looks about right, so place must be good.

You want up to 20 e/w on Warwickshire 6/1 fifth first 3.  Backed it last night and you can have some.

I'll send you the cash for that this morning Doobs, so we don't get in a mess, & as it's a long term bet, but can you clarify how much Fred has taken?

[TightEnd]

Double

Steve Magoffin5/4Top Team Wicket Taker Groups - 10/04/2016

Michael Hogan5/4Top Team Wicket Taker Groups - 10/04/2016

1 bets @ £15.00

Stake £15.00
Estimated Return:£75.94

[TightEnd]

Bet365 now offering 111% win book 397% place book 5 places.

BOG and half your stake back up to £125 on each way bets.

from social media

what an offer that is

[MereNovice]

Coral have some interesting season-long cricket markets priced up. They have batsman groups of 6 and bowler groups of 4 for each county.

Couple of prices stand out in the bowling groups (wickets taken) :

Hogan at 5/4 against Wagg, Meschede and Salter
Magoffin at 5/4 against Shahzad, Robinson and Briggs

Hogan last season took 48 wickets in 14 games (missed 2 on paternity leave). That's a pretty average return but still beat Wagg (45 in 16), Meschede (40 in 16 games) and Salter (25 in 12). Hogan has spent the winter playing for his Australian state side (W.A) and is 4th top wicket taker in Sheffield shield cricket (37 in 9 games), so he comes into the season in good form. Wagg's been around for years, he isn't likely to suddenly improve. Meschede is a decent cricketer, but more an all-rounder and useful in limited overs. Salter is a young spinner who averages less than 2 wickets a game, he's unlikely to challenge.

Magoffin is favourite to be the top wicket taker in the league. He took 69 wickets in Div 1 last year, and should be just as prolific in Div 2 this year. Briggs only played 8 county championship games last year and may get more cricket this year after his move to Sussex from Hampshire , but he only managed 19 wickets and Magoffin should be clear of him by mid-summer. Robinson got 46 in 11 games, but has had disciplinary issues in the past and isn't guaranteed of a spot in the side. Shahzad took 22 in 5 games, but is injury prone hence why he only played 5 games. Magoffin is knocking on a bit (36 years old now) but has just signed a new 2-year deal so must feel he has plenty of cricket left in him.

I would say only injuries would stop these from copping, but both of my picks aren't spring chickens. Magoffin didn't play any List "A" cricket last year, and it may be that these 2 are saved for red-ball cricket this year, which would be an advantage.

is it worth the risk tying up the money for 5 months at 4/1 the double?

these are impossible to find on Coral, not helped by coral itself being an impossible feat of IT coding, in that every time they update it they make it more and more impenetrable

where should i be looking?

yeh, they don't make it easy for you. cricket - outrights - county championship division 2 top team wicket taker groups

while we're on, Mumbai to hit more 6's than Pune in the IPL opener looks good today. Simmons, Sharma, Rayudu, Buttler, Pollard and Pandya all prolific six-hitters. Only Chand at 3 who's not a big hitter. Pune has a top 4 of Rahane, Pietersen, Du Plessis and Smith, KP can hit a long ball but the other 3 have poor 6's stats. Dhoni isn't as prolific as I'd thought (126 in 129 IPL games) and they should be playing catch-up by the time he gets in anyway. £30 at 5/6 with billys looks good

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/indian-premier-league/mumbai-indians-v-rising-pune-supergiants/team-to-score-most-6s

Tighty is rushed off his feet elsewhere, so I've placed this Nelly, thank you.  (Wm Hill, £30 @ 5/6)



09 Apr 2016 - Mumbai v Pune - Highest Opening Partnership

Mumbai @ 5/6

Stake : £30.00


Estimated Returns : £

55.00



Transaction Reference:

O/0457483/0001555/F


BET PLACED

That appears to be a mis-click.

[TightEnd]

now that we can actually consider the masters outright without being lambasted

its 12/1 the field bar jordan and rory paying 3 places

and of course a hugely competitive heat for the places, and the top two may not win. Possibly

http://www.oddschecker.com/golf/the-masters/winner

if you've watched thurs/fri, in the field without the top two who have you thought might be value at current prices?

(possibly one for before the final round, but interested anyway)

[TightEnd]

Coral have some interesting season-long cricket markets priced up. They have batsman groups of 6 and bowler groups of 4 for each county.

Couple of prices stand out in the bowling groups (wickets taken) :

Hogan at 5/4 against Wagg, Meschede and Salter
Magoffin at 5/4 against Shahzad, Robinson and Briggs

Hogan last season took 48 wickets in 14 games (missed 2 on paternity leave). That's a pretty average return but still beat Wagg (45 in 16), Meschede (40 in 16 games) and Salter (25 in 12). Hogan has spent the winter playing for his Australian state side (W.A) and is 4th top wicket taker in Sheffield shield cricket (37 in 9 games), so he comes into the season in good form. Wagg's been around for years, he isn't likely to suddenly improve. Meschede is a decent cricketer, but more an all-rounder and useful in limited overs. Salter is a young spinner who averages less than 2 wickets a game, he's unlikely to challenge.

Magoffin is favourite to be the top wicket taker in the league. He took 69 wickets in Div 1 last year, and should be just as prolific in Div 2 this year. Briggs only played 8 county championship games last year and may get more cricket this year after his move to Sussex from Hampshire , but he only managed 19 wickets and Magoffin should be clear of him by mid-summer. Robinson got 46 in 11 games, but has had disciplinary issues in the past and isn't guaranteed of a spot in the side. Shahzad took 22 in 5 games, but is injury prone hence why he only played 5 games. Magoffin is knocking on a bit (36 years old now) but has just signed a new 2-year deal so must feel he has plenty of cricket left in him.

I would say only injuries would stop these from copping, but both of my picks aren't spring chickens. Magoffin didn't play any List "A" cricket last year, and it may be that these 2 are saved for red-ball cricket this year, which would be an advantage.

is it worth the risk tying up the money for 5 months at 4/1 the double?

these are impossible to find on Coral, not helped by coral itself being an impossible feat of IT coding, in that every time they update it they make it more and more impenetrable

where should i be looking?

yeh, they don't make it easy for you. cricket - outrights - county championship division 2 top team wicket taker groups

while we're on, Mumbai to hit more 6's than Pune in the IPL opener looks good today. Simmons, Sharma, Rayudu, Buttler, Pollard and Pandya all prolific six-hitters. Only Chand at 3 who's not a big hitter. Pune has a top 4 of Rahane, Pietersen, Du Plessis and Smith, KP can hit a long ball but the other 3 have poor 6's stats. Dhoni isn't as prolific as I'd thought (126 in 129 IPL games) and they should be playing catch-up by the time he gets in anyway. £30 at 5/6 with billys looks good

http://www.oddschecker.com/cricket/indian-premier-league/mumbai-indians-v-rising-pune-supergiants/team-to-score-most-6s

Tighty is rushed off his feet elsewhere, so I've placed this Nelly, thank you.  (Wm Hill, £30 @ 5/6)



09 Apr 2016 - Mumbai v Pune - Highest Opening Partnership

Mumbai @ 5/6

Stake : £30.00


Estimated Returns : £

55.00



Transaction Reference:

O/0457483/0001555/F


BET PLACED

That appears to be a mis-click.

I Can confirm its a mis-click

[Chompy]

10.5-1 the field on the machine for the National...

Many Clpouds is 5.6 a place on Betfair

interesting, no?

Extraordinary. Noticed it last night and have no idea why. He's not your typical all-or-nothing horse.

He's 10-1 to win, 9-2 to finish in the four and 7-4 to finish in the six. The price to finish in the four seems ool to me. Some were predicting he'd be this price to win the thing!

Not sure how it can be exploited though. Guess the obvious way would just to be to take the 5.6 to finish in the four.

[TightEnd]

and the most sixes price is now 8/11 everywhere

we'll take the opening partnership one off thread, too

[tikay]

Bugger. I say, bugger.

I had one job........

That bet is CANCELLED, I will take it myself, "Off-Fred".

I'll try again now.....

[TightEnd]

10.5-1 the field on the machine for the National...

Many Clpouds is 5.6 a place on Betfair

interesting, no?

Extraordinary. Noticed it last night and have no idea why. He's not your typical all-or-nothing horse.

He's 10-1 to win, 9-2 to finish in the four and 7-4 to finish in the six. The price to finish in the four seems ool to me. Some were predicting he'd be this price to win the thing!

Not sure how it can be exploited though. Guess the obvious way would just to be to take the 5.6 to finish in the four.

thanks

we've taken the top 4 price.

[TightEnd]

Bugger. I say, bugger.

I had one job........

That bet is CANCELLED, I will take it myself, "Off-Fred".

I'll try again now.....

no need, save yourself some clicks if you see this, the price has gone.

one of those things.

[tikay]

Bugger. I say, bugger.

I had one job........

That bet is CANCELLED, I will take it myself, "Off-Fred".

I'll try again now.....

no need, save yourself some clicks if you see this, the price has gone.

one of those things.

OK, I'll not bother, I'd probably misclick again if I did.

Fingers crossed for Highest Opening Partnership, then....

It is off-thread though.

[TightEnd]

n.b

the bet365 national offer expires midday

which i didnt realise until just now

[nellberg]

Bugger. I say, bugger.

I had one job........

That bet is CANCELLED, I will take it myself, "Off-Fred".

I'll try again now.....

no need, save yourself some clicks if you see this, the price has gone.

one of those things.

OK, I'll not bother, I'd probably misclick again if I did.

Fingers crossed for Highest Opening Partnership, then....

It is off-thread though.

Haha, Simmons and Rohit is a good opening partnership, so you should have a fair sweat. Let's hope for KP out early, to help both bets