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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13428551 times)
Chompy
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« Reply #116895 on: May 01, 2016, 01:05:25 PM »

If PP 7-4 no good, Baldy is 13-8 Ding in the first eight frames betting, which is the same market.

Worth doing more here I feel.
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"I know we must all worship at the Church of Chomps, but statements like this are just plain ridic. He says he can't get a bet on, but we all know he can."
tikay
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« Reply #116896 on: May 01, 2016, 01:06:32 PM »

Any love for Captain Bob in the 3pm at HQ?

First time Quinn is riding for the stable and off his minimum weight. Trainer in form and better ground will suit.

16 runner handicap with 4 paid. 20/1 with Scuy (for non employees) and BFSB (for fellow ice creams). Can accommodate Fred up to £20 each way if so desired.

Thanks Tal.

If there are no strong anti-vibes, yes please, we'll avail ourselves of your kind offer.

Leave it for an hour please, (let's say 1pm), & if we hear no strong & credible negativity, let's do it please.

Thanks.

And in the ultimate in Ice Cream thinking, I've just returned from my daily perambulate along the Thames Path, & as I passed Molesey Lock, a most splendid old boat was passing through - it's name was Captain Bob. How can it lose?
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tikay
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« Reply #116897 on: May 01, 2016, 01:09:09 PM »

If PP 7-4 no good, Baldy is 13-8 Ding in the first eight frames betting, which is the same market.

Worth doing more here I feel.

If only.

6/4 with Baldy now.

No bet unless you say otherwise.
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« Reply #116898 on: May 01, 2016, 01:09:56 PM »

Any love for Captain Bob in the 3pm at HQ?

First time Quinn is riding for the stable and off his minimum weight. Trainer in form and better ground will suit.

16 runner handicap with 4 paid. 20/1 with Scuy (for non employees) and BFSB (for fellow ice creams). Can accommodate Fred up to £20 each way if so desired.

Thanks Tal.

If there are no strong anti-vibes, yes please, we'll avail ourselves of your kind offer.

Leave it for an hour please, (let's say 1pm), & if we hear no strong & credible negativity, let's do it please.

Thanks.

And in the ultimate in Ice Cream thinking, I've just returned from my daily perambulate along the Thames Path, & as I passed Molesey Lock, a most splendid old boat was passing through - it's name was Captain Bob. How can it lose?

16 runners with 3 hours to go.  I'd definitely wait until at least 2 or 2.30
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #116899 on: May 01, 2016, 01:10:01 PM »

April 2016 Figures
Least profitable: MotorSport (-£131.00)

This annoys me greatly. Let me be clear right now, Motorsport will be most profitable in May. No question.

 

And I hope you are, Peter, but no matter how good you are, variance is a beast, & it can affect even the best.

Don't worry about the odd loss, just keep doing the right things.

I'll have a bash at some of your Recommends shortly, but I fear I won't get many on, as we can't bet with some, & are severely restricted with others. 

The important thing is that others can get on, that's the thing that matters.


Thanks Smiley I'm just stubborn and determined  Wink
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Chompy
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« Reply #116900 on: May 01, 2016, 01:10:36 PM »

Yuh, just seen they've cut it. Took some finding on that awful Tote site too.

Nah, not my bet. Off to annoy my local PP shop manageress now, see if I can get some on.
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« Reply #116901 on: May 01, 2016, 01:14:40 PM »

Ooooh

Whilst Tighty is looking the other way we might want to back Leicester to win.  4.5 on the exchange. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
tikay
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« Reply #116902 on: May 01, 2016, 01:15:25 PM »

April 2016 Figures
Least profitable: MotorSport (-£131.00)



Podium Finish: Vettel @ EVS with Boyles/PP/Victors/Hills AND Massa @ 11/2 with 366/Uni. With Sebastian starting 7th, and Raikkonen/Bottas/Massa looking competitive this weekend, the battle for the final podium spot looks quite entertaining. Vettel is slightly overpriced at EVS, and Massa is considerably overpriced at 11/2. Massa has been quicker than Bottas through practice this weekend, and of late in general. Suggest £10 on both.

Let's start at the top.

We have £10 @ Evens with BMU, Vettel to Podiumate.

I can't get 11/2 Massa for the same thing, but you say 11/2 is "considerably over-priced", so we've had £10 @ 5/1, also with BMU.

£10 @ 1/1, BMU, Vettel to Podium

£10 @ 5/1, BMU, Massa to Podium.


2 Bets Placed
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tikay
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« Reply #116903 on: May 01, 2016, 01:17:30 PM »

Any love for Captain Bob in the 3pm at HQ?

First time Quinn is riding for the stable and off his minimum weight. Trainer in form and better ground will suit.

16 runner handicap with 4 paid. 20/1 with Scuy (for non employees) and BFSB (for fellow ice creams). Can accommodate Fred up to £20 each way if so desired.

Thanks Tal.

If there are no strong anti-vibes, yes please, we'll avail ourselves of your kind offer.

Leave it for an hour please, (let's say 1pm), & if we hear no strong & credible negativity, let's do it please.

Thanks.

And in the ultimate in Ice Cream thinking, I've just returned from my daily perambulate along the Thames Path, & as I passed Molesey Lock, a most splendid old boat was passing through - it's name was Captain Bob. How can it lose?

16 runners with 3 hours to go.  I'd definitely wait until at least 2 or 2.30

OK, will do, though there is a danger that 2 or 2.30 clashes with my Gym session.

Tal - can we wait until that time, please?
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« Reply #116904 on: May 01, 2016, 01:18:55 PM »

Any love for Captain Bob in the 3pm at HQ?

First time Quinn is riding for the stable and off his minimum weight. Trainer in form and better ground will suit.

16 runner handicap with 4 paid. 20/1 with Scuy (for non employees) and BFSB (for fellow ice creams). Can accommodate Fred up to £20 each way if so desired.

Thanks Tal.

If there are no strong anti-vibes, yes please, we'll avail ourselves of your kind offer.

Leave it for an hour please, (let's say 1pm), & if we hear no strong & credible negativity, let's do it please.

Thanks.

And in the ultimate in Ice Cream thinking, I've just returned from my daily perambulate along the Thames Path, & as I passed Molesey Lock, a most splendid old boat was passing through - it's name was Captain Bob. How can it lose?

16 runners with 3 hours to go.  I'd definitely wait until at least 2 or 2.30

OK, will do, though there is a danger that 2 or 2.30 clashes with my Gym session.

Tal - can we wait until that time, please?

No problem.

Shouldn't be any going changes now, should there?
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tikay
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« Reply #116905 on: May 01, 2016, 01:19:21 PM »

Yuh, just seen they've cut it. Took some finding on that awful Tote site too.

Nah, not my bet. Off to annoy my local PP shop manageress now, see if I can get some on.

Think yourself lucky, poor Lisa has a whole squadron of husbands & all of Birmingham to cover.
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tikay
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« Reply #116906 on: May 01, 2016, 01:24:57 PM »

April 2016 Figures
Least profitable: MotorSport (-£131.00)

 
Top Six Finish: Massa @ 5/6 with the exchange. 4/5 is okay too. I don't usually suggest bets below evens, but I do feel that this represents value. Through practice, Williams have comfortably been the third quickest team with a big gap to Force India and Red Bull behind, particularly on race pace. Suggest £50.



We have £50 @ 1.82 with Betfair Exchange. (Not fully matched yet, but I fancy it will be).

Massa to Finish Top 6, £50 @ 1.82, Betfair Exchange.


BET PLACED
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« Reply #116907 on: May 01, 2016, 01:29:26 PM »

April 2016 Figures
Least profitable: MotorSport (-£131.00)

 

Winning Margin: Exactly 5-10 Seconds @ 11/4 with 366. This is a good spot given that Hamilton (who should finish 2nd), starts 10th on the grid. The only possible flaw in this is a late safety car, but there isn't a high likelihood of this. Suggest £10.
 

We cannot get on with 365.
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« Reply #116908 on: May 01, 2016, 01:33:56 PM »

Massa is 10.0 to podium on bf.
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tikay
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« Reply #116909 on: May 01, 2016, 01:38:46 PM »

April 2016 Figures
Least profitable: MotorSport (-£131.00)

 
Not To Finish The Race: Haryanto @ 5/2 with Fred/Choral/Hills, Button @ 5/2 with Choral, Alonso @ 11/4 with Stan OR 9/4 with 366/Fred/Hills. Rio Haryanto has proven this season that he has potential in terms of speed, but he can be a little hit-and-miss in terms of consistency. This is a tough race from a physical point of view, so I suggest £10 on the rookie. As for Button & Alonso, £10 also. Just because Honda.

 

Haryanto NOT to Finish, £10 @ 5/2, BetFred.


Button NOT to Finish, £10 @ 5/2, Coral

Alonso NOT to Finish, £10 @ 9/4, BetFred.

3 Bets Placed
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