Tips for Tikay

[MTT DESTROYER]

The ladbrokes radio commentator realised in running the mistake but didn't mention anything about void bets

[arbboy]

Girl in the shop said no refund but I've kept the ticket just in case she was wrong. You think it should've been void because ladbrokes got the distance wrong then?

Oh right lolbrokes got the distance wrong on their shop screens but the race was run correctly according to the official form guide in the racing post?   I doubt you have any argument here tbh and the bet will stand as a loser.  Worth a try though with lolbrokes if you have photo evidence of the screen in shop having the wrong distance to back up your claim.

[MTT DESTROYER]

Yeah thought that was probably the case.

Thanks

[Chompy]

Nice double for SDS this afternoon to extend his lead in jockey's championship.  Never a quarrel are still 1/2 SDS.

Crazy that he can still be backed this side of fives on, never mind 1-2.

Double puts him nine clear of Buick and 11 up on RyRy, who's having another Monday off tomorrow. Meanwhile, SDS has seven rides, incl a couple of short favs and a couple of 5-1 shots.

Ryan obviously not off a yard this summer.

[arbboy]

Nice double for SDS this afternoon to extend his lead in jockey's championship.  Never a quarrel are still 1/2 SDS.

Crazy that he can still be backed this side of fives on, never mind 1-2.

Double puts him nine clear of Buick and 11 up on RyRy, who's having another Monday off tomorrow. Meanwhile, SDS has seven rides, incl a couple of short favs and a couple of 5-1 shots.

Ryan obviously not off a yard this summer.

To come out of a classic weekend extending the lead is a great spot given the price of most of SDS's rides last week were mainly on the large side. 

[sonour]

Can't been having Hampshire v Essex as 50/50 in the betting for tomorrow one day cup.

Hampshire been poor this season, nobody in form, have injuries, no Vince as he is away with England and no overseas stars are named in the 13 man squad.

Essex seem to have been scoring runs for fun so far and and I would have them as favs tomorrow.

I see Essex are shortening on oddschecker , but you can still get evens.

Any thoughts?

Essex win by 3 wickets.

Thank you Ripple.

[4KSuited]

Nice double for SDS this afternoon to extend his lead in jockey's championship.  Never a quarrel are still 1/2 SDS.

Crazy that he can still be backed this side of fives on, never mind 1-2.

Double puts him nine clear of Buick and 11 up on RyRy, who's having another Monday off tomorrow. Meanwhile, SDS has seven rides, incl a couple of short favs and a couple of 5-1 shots.

Ryan obviously not off a yard this summer.

I backed Buick e/w at 10's just in case SdS suffered an absence through injury. After a slow start, Bill's doing a decent job with the relatively low workload he gets.

[4KSuited]

Nice double for SDS this afternoon to extend his lead in jockey's championship.  Never a quarrel are still 1/2 SDS.

Crazy that he can still be backed this side of fives on, never mind 1-2.

Double puts him nine clear of Buick and 11 up on RyRy, who's having another Monday off tomorrow. Meanwhile, SDS has seven rides, incl a couple of short favs and a couple of 5-1 shots.

Ryan obviously not off a yard this summer.

I backed Buick at 10's just in case SdS suffered an absence through injury. After a slow start, Bill's doing a decent job with the relatively low workload he gets.

FMP

[Chompy]

Think Buick is a bigger danger than Ryan tbh. He's got the backing of some big guns but has never been interested in numbers. If he could get in front at some point this month, he might have a crack, but that will take some doing.

[arbboy]

Think Buick is a bigger danger than Ryan tbh. He's got the backing of some big guns but has never been interested in numbers. If he could get in front at some point this month, he might have a crack, but that will take some doing.

This bet is like a rakerace.  Given (thin i know) i used to crush these on betfair poker way back in the day the easiest way to win them is to crush the competition very early on so they stop chasing you and you don't have to put the volume in at the end.   Way way better to put the volume in at the start to reduce the workload overall.   No one is close to putting in the number SDS is. 

[bergeroo]

Choral is going 16/1 on no Republic of Ireland goalscorer. Best price elsewhere is 12s. Ireland have a tough group and are hardly prolific in front of goal.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/euro-2016/republic-of-ireland-euro-2016-specials/top-goalscorer

In the odds for being knocked out in the first round, Ireland are rated third most likely, behind just Albania and Northern Ireland

However the odds on no goalscorer are as follows.
Albania 6
Hungary/N Ireland 7
Slovakia 11
Wales, Iceland Rep Ireland, Romania 16s

There is a good chance they will have just three games against Belgium, Italy and Sweden. All tough opponents and none of them weak defensively.

As you see above, in the no goalscorer prices they are bracketed with Wales, Iceland and Romania despite these other teams being far more likely to qualify and score because they have much easier groups. I think they are being overestimated in this market and 16s is too long.

Odds on no Rep of Ireland goals in each game from the bookies
Vs Sweden 2.55
vs Belgium 1.83
vs Italy 2.1

Coming out to just under 9/1

Am I missing something? It is late, perhaps my maths is wrong or I am not considering something.

If people agree with me then I recommend £25 - 16/1 no Republic of Ireland goalscorer as a bet with Choral.

 What is the opinion of everyone else on this?

[bergeroo]

Ah, they limited me and seem to have insta cut it to 10s. At least I managed to get a bit on.

[Marky147]

Ah, they limited me and seem to have insta cut it to 10s. At least I managed to get a bit on.

Went to put £50 on (25 for fred), and it span for about a minute before offering me a tenner

Site is shot to pieces, and had to reload the betting slip, by which time it referred my tenner and said price was changing.

[nellberg]

Royal London cup today, Sussex v Essex. 2pm

50 on over 9.5 sixes, 6/5, choral
60 on under 12 sixes, 5/6, bet every day

Hope for 10 or 11 for the free roll win

[Tonibell]

^ ^ ^ Spotter's badge early doors 

(RIP Big Ron)