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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16422553 times)
TightEnd
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« Reply #120705 on: August 18, 2016, 11:29:43 AM »

Ok. Lets try again.

Despite 5 year olds not having much of a record in the Yorkshire Oaks (3.40 York), I would rather rely on the skills of John Gosden.

Furzia Cruzada looks to have had this as her target since she arrived from South America, showing gradual improvement as she has stepped up in distance, and gradually looking more and more at home over here. She has solid form in some solid Group races, and looks primed for a race Johnny G has won twice in the last 7 years.

In her last race I just got the feeling that Jimmy Fortune was under instructions to go easy, as he was strangely last to go for the whip, when looking like he could have won had he acted sooner.

Again, a nice price so no need to go mad at a general 16-1 and 20s if Fred still have Betway(sure we don't).

£10 ew.



Bet365 is the only 1/4 the odds and is top price at 18-1

if someone could help us get on, that would be great

http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/york/15:40/winner

I've got it done if you want it Tighty

yes please thanks
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« Reply #120706 on: August 18, 2016, 12:20:28 PM »

Postponed now 7-4 with BV. The horse would be closer to evens if the yard hadn't had a cough. It's a bet for Fred if you think Varian wouldn't risk running the horse unless it had worked well, scoped clean etc given that a trainer can't risk disappointing its massive arsehole of an owner.


Morning tonibell,

I only just realised that Postponed won, well done, & thanks.

Cheers, Mr K.  

Anyone impressed by Mutakayyef's run yesterday, Red Napoleon is around 12s in the mile handicap today. Unexposed - only three career runs, the second a respectable seven lengths behind Mutakayyef over c and d in a listed race back in June. I'd have put it up for Fred if anyone other than Sky was offering five spots ew.

14/1 and 4 places is available.  4 places looks reasonable.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #120707 on: August 18, 2016, 12:23:27 PM »

Morning Tighty.

Could we have £5 e/w on Gael Monfils for the Cincinnati ATP please. He is the most entertaining player around and so a personal favourite. He is in the same half as Murray, but Murray looked drained last night and could have one eye on the US. It looks like an open tournament and I wouldn't put anyone off backing Kyrgios  e/w ( usual caveats apply ).

Suggest £5 e/w Monfils @ 33-1 with Coral.



Withdrawn with a shoulder complaint so this will have to go down as a loser unfortunately.
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« Reply #120708 on: August 18, 2016, 12:39:39 PM »

Postponed now 7-4 with BV. The horse would be closer to evens if the yard hadn't had a cough. It's a bet for Fred if you think Varian wouldn't risk running the horse unless it had worked well, scoped clean etc given that a trainer can't risk disappointing its massive arsehole of an owner.


Morning tonibell,

I only just realised that Postponed won, well done, & thanks.

Cheers, Mr K.  

Anyone impressed by Mutakayyef's run yesterday, Red Napoleon is around 12s in the mile handicap today. Unexposed - only three career runs, the second a respectable seven lengths behind Mutakayyef over c and d in a listed race back in June. I'd have put it up for Fred if anyone other than Sky was offering five spots ew.

14/1 and 4 places is available.  4 places looks reasonable.

Yes, I've done it at that because I can't do Sky but I'd prefer the extra place if I could get it. Nitty, I suppose.
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« Reply #120709 on: August 18, 2016, 12:39:52 PM »

A couple more for today.

The 1.55 looks hard, but 365 are quarter first 4.  I have picked out Stormy Clouds at 7/1.  Looks solid, but maybe a trip worry, but has been running on at the end of 5f big field events.  Draw is nice.  York is a fairly easy 6 too.  Suggest 25 e/w with me quarter first 4.   Wouldn't be nearly as keen with 3 places.  Ace value would be awful.

The 2.30 looks an account closer.  I backed roly poly e/w with a "bookie" who heavily restricts me anyway.

The 3.05 I like mustashry.  Young and improving and trained by a genius.  Is 11/2 4 places in a few spots.  Suggest 25 e/w with hills to get the offer.

3.40 has been covered by Adz, and I have just followed him.  I would always wait for 10am with 365 if they aren't best price.  You sometimes get it wrong, but you get a better price much more than not.  If they are already best, or the price is fragile, t is different.

As an aside, loved boyles having the chutzpah to say on channel4 that they would happily lay 5/2 Idaho in the Leger.  No doubt they'd knock me back if I asked for evens.  They then went to the ladbrokes fella who said he wasn't embarassed to put up 6/4.  Nothing embarassing about not laying any horse at any price and that market share drifting to zero either?  They really should only feature genuine bookmakers in that slot.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #120710 on: August 18, 2016, 01:15:05 PM »

1.55 booked with you

3.05 mustashry £25 e/w 1/4 1,2,3,4 11/2 william hill money back as free bet if second is placed on mobile
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« Reply #120711 on: August 18, 2016, 01:18:52 PM »



I'm losing track here of who I owe what.

K4suited, doobs, nuros, TheDazzler (& maybe others I have forgotten?) have all placed bets for Fred in the last 24 hours.

Please PM me as & when you want paying, & I'll sort it immediately. 
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« Reply #120712 on: August 18, 2016, 01:39:39 PM »



I'm losing track here of who I owe what.

K4suited, doobs, nuros, TheDazzler (& maybe others I have forgotten?) have all placed bets for Fred in the last 24 hours.

Please PM me as & when you want paying, & I'll sort it immediately. 

I owe you some from yesterday.  will sort it later today.
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« Reply #120713 on: August 18, 2016, 01:40:52 PM »

305 looks a minefield even for a York handicap

Spent far to long on it this morning but can't decipher it.

Good luck today all
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tikay
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« Reply #120714 on: August 18, 2016, 01:42:38 PM »



I'm losing track here of who I owe what.

K4suited, doobs, nuros, TheDazzler (& maybe others I have forgotten?) have all placed bets for Fred in the last 24 hours.

Please PM me as & when you want paying, & I'll sort it immediately. 

I owe you some from yesterday.  will sort it later today.

Now that is good news.

Let's see how today goes first, & we can settle either way afterwards. Remind me though, please. Here's a photo of my memory.


 



 
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« Reply #120715 on: August 18, 2016, 01:48:40 PM »

Are those books in the post tikay?  Wink

Struggling to see why magical fire is 40s in the 230. Seems to be getting slowly closer to roly poly who is 10s.

Two best career performances on fast ground excellent young Irish trainer and though it's not really my thing gets 3lb for being beaten half a length by roly poly last time.


If anyone can get it the 40s with 365 looks very fair to me
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tikay
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« Reply #120716 on: August 18, 2016, 02:54:46 PM »

A couple more for today.

The 1.55 looks hard, but 365 are quarter first 4.  I have picked out Stormy Clouds at 7/1.  Looks solid, but maybe a trip worry, but has been running on at the end of 5f big field events.  Draw is nice.  York is a fairly easy 6 too.  Suggest 25 e/w with me quarter first 4.   Wouldn't be nearly as keen with 3 places.  Ace value would be awful.

The 2.30 looks an account closer.  I backed roly poly e/w with a "bookie" who heavily restricts me anyway.

The 3.05 I like mustashry.  Young and improving and trained by a genius.  Is 11/2 4 places in a few spots.  Suggest 25 e/w with hills to get the offer.

3.40 has been covered by Adz, and I have just followed him.  I would always wait for 10am with 365 if they aren't best price.  You sometimes get it wrong, but you get a better price much more than not.  If they are already best, or the price is fragile, t is different.

As an aside, loved boyles having the chutzpah to say on channel4 that they would happily lay 5/2 Idaho in the Leger.  No doubt they'd knock me back if I asked for evens.  They then went to the ladbrokes fella who said he wasn't embarassed to put up 6/4.  Nothing embarassing about not laying any horse at any price and that market share drifting to zero either?  They really should only feature genuine bookmakers in that slot.

Blimey, facile victory there Doobs, never in doubt from the off.

Thank you.
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« Reply #120717 on: August 18, 2016, 02:55:05 PM »

And again doobs well done
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« Reply #120718 on: August 18, 2016, 02:55:47 PM »

A couple more for today.

The 1.55 looks hard, but 365 are quarter first 4.  I have picked out Stormy Clouds at 7/1.  Looks solid, but maybe a trip worry, but has been running on at the end of 5f big field events.  Draw is nice.  York is a fairly easy 6 too.  Suggest 25 e/w with me quarter first 4.   Wouldn't be nearly as keen with 3 places.  Ace value would be awful.

The 2.30 looks an account closer.  I backed roly poly e/w with a "bookie" who heavily restricts me anyway.

The 3.05 I like mustashry.  Young and improving and trained by a genius.  Is 11/2 4 places in a few spots.  Suggest 25 e/w with hills to get the offer.

3.40 has been covered by Adz, and I have just followed him.  I would always wait for 10am with 365 if they aren't best price.  You sometimes get it wrong, but you get a better price much more than not.  If they are already best, or the price is fragile, t is different.

As an aside, loved boyles having the chutzpah to say on channel4 that they would happily lay 5/2 Idaho in the Leger.  No doubt they'd knock me back if I asked for evens.  They then went to the ladbrokes fella who said he wasn't embarassed to put up 6/4.  Nothing embarassing about not laying any horse at any price and that market share drifting to zero either?  They really should only feature genuine bookmakers in that slot.


Lovely start. Was a stand out 9-1 with Sky yesterday evening , so all good!! thumbs up
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« Reply #120719 on: August 18, 2016, 02:56:36 PM »

And again doobs well done
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