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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13440609 times)
tikay
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« Reply #124875 on: January 17, 2017, 05:00:15 PM »

16.40 kempton today...

any tips? have a reasonable 4 fold, with 3 wins with this the last race. Have got Tred Softly at 13/8 and has won on this course and ground before, which is good to see. Any thoughts? Cash out or happy t let it go

How DID you get that through without comment, Mr Verndog?

Wink
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« Reply #124876 on: January 17, 2017, 05:06:50 PM »

16.40 kempton today...

any tips? have a reasonable 4 fold, with 3 wins with this the last race. Have got Tred Softly at 13/8 and has won on this course and ground before, which is good to see. Any thoughts? Cash out or happy t let it go

How DID you get that through without comment, Mr Verndog?

Wink

haha, I'm quite new to this thread, so I apologise for uttering forbidden phrases! I never had any real intention of doing so, just thought id leave it there for balance!
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tikay
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« Reply #124877 on: January 17, 2017, 05:14:54 PM »

16.40 kempton today...

any tips? have a reasonable 4 fold, with 3 wins with this the last race. Have got Tred Softly at 13/8 and has won on this course and ground before, which is good to see. Any thoughts? Cash out or happy t let it go

How DID you get that through without comment, Mr Verndog?

Wink

haha, I'm quite new to this thread, so I apologise for uttering forbidden phrases! I never had any real intention of doing so, just thought id leave it there for balance!

Ha, no worries m8.

You might just find some negativity itt towards using Cash Out. Just marking your card, sorta thing. Mum's the word.

Any questions, we have a ton of folk here happy to help. 

You gonna be in Vegas come June?
« Last Edit: January 17, 2017, 05:16:35 PM by tikay » Logged

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« Reply #124878 on: January 17, 2017, 05:19:03 PM »

16.40 kempton today...

any tips? have a reasonable 4 fold, with 3 wins with this the last race. Have got Tred Softly at 13/8 and has won on this course and ground before, which is good to see. Any thoughts? Cash out or happy t let it go

How DID you get that through without comment, Mr Verndog?

Wink

haha, I'm quite new to this thread, so I apologise for uttering forbidden phrases! I never had any real intention of doing so, just thought id leave it there for balance!

Ha, no worries m8.

You might just find some negativity itt towards using Cash Out. Just marking your card, sorta thing. Mum's the word.

You gonna be in Vegas come June?

Ha that is no problem, I definitely prefer not too! i now know!

Probably not vegas this year, have just started a new job, so getting myself up and running with that! hopefully 2018 though!
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« Reply #124879 on: January 17, 2017, 05:46:45 PM »

not even in the bloody picture!!!! stupid horses
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« Reply #124880 on: January 18, 2017, 02:00:59 PM »

Peter - Thanks for the steer on Bottas

In tennis news. Kuznetsova and Svitolina both move into round three without expending too much effort in the Australian Open.

Elsewhere in Melbourne I can't be having Kohlschreiber so short tomorrow vs Donald Young.
The guy has been in decline for a while, struggling with the heat etc. Yes he is a favourite but this price is too short surely?

Any opinions out there?
http://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/australian-open/mens/donald-young-v-philipp-kohlschreiber/winner
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« Reply #124881 on: January 18, 2017, 02:57:14 PM »

Feels like somebody knows something about Leyton Orient. Backed off the boards for relegation with the Fodds boys this morning.

Points deduction coming?
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« Reply #124882 on: January 18, 2017, 05:24:25 PM »

2nd ODI tomorrow, 8am, India v England.

over 10.5 sixes @ Koral, evens
under 13 sixes @ beteveryday, evens

hope for 11 or 12!
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« Reply #124883 on: January 18, 2017, 06:01:33 PM »

2nd ODI tomorrow, 8am, India v England.

over 10.5 sixes @ Koral, evens
under 13 sixes @ beteveryday, evens

hope for 11 or 12!

Cheers.

I have limits of £1,200 with Koral.
and
£2,000 with beteveryday
Nice!
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« Reply #124884 on: January 18, 2017, 06:04:32 PM »

you HAD those limits.  If you take those two limit bets you won't have those limits tomorrow! 
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« Reply #124885 on: January 18, 2017, 06:06:50 PM »

2nd ODI tomorrow, 8am, India v England.

over 10.5 sixes @ Koral, evens
under 13 sixes @ beteveryday, evens

hope for 11 or 12!

Cheers.

I have limits of £1,200 with Koral.
and
£2,000 with beteveryday
Nice!

MBN! You have the limits but did you do the full amount!?

Thanks nellberg

I use one of those accounts a fair bit, the other never, assume this could raise some flags?
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« Reply #124886 on: January 18, 2017, 06:11:13 PM »

Under 13.5 at SatanJames at 10/11 is worth a look too, arguably better with a bigger middle for a tiny cost.
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« Reply #124887 on: January 18, 2017, 06:13:59 PM »

I really dont get how these firms get these things so wrong compared to each other?  Are you all sure there is not a potential rule issue here or something that you could get fucked on?  It would be like a firm going up 10 corners on an epl game and another going up 13.   The difference when the potential spread of outcomes here is relatively small is just huge given the fact they are probably all betting to 108% as well on these markets.  The mid band of 11-13 in this market must be a 3/1? poke right?  What is the maximum/minimum number of sixes?  Is the distribution similar to corners in a football match? 
« Last Edit: January 18, 2017, 06:15:48 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #124888 on: January 18, 2017, 06:24:05 PM »

in modern day ODIs, big bats, two powerplays, boundaries in (sometimes) then incidence of sixes has risen dramatically along with average scores

in the first ODI last sunday the game had 700 runs and 23 sixes

Cuttack tomorrow, could well be 20+ sixes again (only needs one or two of roy, buttler, stokes, kohli etc to get in)

scores of 400+ are going to be commonplace

quotes of 10-11 for this series are laughable

in less benign conditions, say England in May, a range of 11-15 is more feasible.
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« Reply #124889 on: January 18, 2017, 06:33:16 PM »

you HAD those limits.  If you take those two limit bets you won't have those limits tomorrow! 

Yeah im not silly, just bet 2.5x my normal bet sizing
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