Tips for Tikay

[Ironside]

doobs surely a calendar gramslam  is  well know enough to ask for odds on it

its like asking for odds on saints to win the treble 2017/18 season (we all know its likely)

[Cavey007]

For those who can.

Lev Bell rushing yards o103.5 at 4/6 on everyday. u125.5 at 10/11 on Billy Mountains. Nice middle there

[Doobs]

doobs surely a calendar gramslam  is  well know enough to ask for odds on it

its like asking for odds on saints to win the treble 2017/18 season (we all know its likely)

I wasn't talking to you, that bet would be fine if you asked for it.

[Ironside]

doobs surely a calendar gramslam  is  well know enough to ask for odds on it

its like asking for odds on saints to win the treble 2017/18 season (we all know its likely)

I wasn't talking to you, that bet would be fine if you asked for it.

its it not the same as backing them in an accumulator?

[Tal]

For those who can.

Lev Bell rushing yards o103.5 at 4/6 on everyday. u125.5 at 10/11 on Billy Mountains. Nice middle there

125 must be too high surely? They're nearly a touchdown underdogs and Bill always tries to stop the best player.

Pats haven't allowed a 90 yards rusher in 24 games.

[Mark_Porter]

Burnley 80/1 to win the FA Cup.

3rd best home record in the Premier League this season. 10th so virtually safe. Home to Bristol City in 4th round - 19th in the Championship.

Would need a couple of home draws after that mind you.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/winner

[Peter-27]

It's one of my favourite weekends of the year, the race of champions weekend

The event kicks off tomorrow evening (UK time) with the drivers competition. Oddschecker doesn't have a category for this event, so let me know if you see a market priced up anywhere. Currently, I've only seen odds available at SkyBet.

Will be putting up my suggestions just before the 3PM football games tomorrow.

[doubleup]

doobs surely a calendar gramslam  is  well know enough to ask for odds on it

its like asking for odds on saints to win the treble 2017/18 season (we all know its likely)

I wasn't talking to you, that bet would be fine if you asked for it.

its it not the same as backing them in an accumulator?

It isn't as clear cut in the tennis, but if you look at horse racing you can see why books don't accept this kind of bet.  They set the odds for future events on the known level of form now.  When a horse wins a race the form changes.

At the moment Churchill is 6/4 to win the 2000gns and 6-1 to win the derby.  And you put a double on at ~16-1.  If he wins the 2000 then he won't be 6-1 for the Derby, lets say he will be 3-1.  If he loses the guineas you lose your bet, but if he wins, (40% of the time), you have a 16-1 on a 3-1 chance.  And you can just lay off part of that bet and freeroll.  It would always be better to put on the double in a scenario where winning the first leg reduces the odds of a single on the second leg.   

     

[Cavey007]

For those who can.

Lev Bell rushing yards o103.5 at 4/6 on everyday. u125.5 at 10/11 on Billy Mountains. Nice middle there

125 must be too high surely? They're nearly a touchdown underdogs and Bill always tries to stop the best player.

Pats haven't allowed a 90 yards rusher in 24 games.

I think 125 is too high. Yeah. But his playoff games have been 167 and 170yds. 30 and 29 carries. I would imagine Bill will stack it to try and stop Bell, double cover Brown then leave Ben and Eli Rogers, Jesse James, Cobi Hamilton to try and beat them. However at the moment there doesn't seem to be a way to stop Lev Bell. So yeah o103 and u125 nice 22 yard winning window there. Otherwise a slight loss outside it

I'll be tipping Bell attempts at o23.5 again. (o25.5 on PP)

[Doobs]

Konta is ploughing through the field in Australia. 

For those not on, betway still have 50/1 for Wimbledon, whilst a fair few bookies have already chopped her to 20/1 or so.  Stans is 40/1.  Rest are 33/1 down.  We have 66/1.

4 bookies are still showing as 33/1 for the US Open, which is what we took.

[tikay]

Burnley 80/1 to win the FA Cup.

3rd best home record in the Premier League this season. 10th so virtually safe. Home to Bristol City in 4th round - 19th in the Championship.

Would need a couple of home draws after that mind you.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/winner

Thanks Mark.

That's an interesting one.

The decision has to be made before next weekend, so no great rush, but anyone else got any thoughts on it? 

[Mark_Porter]

Burnley 80/1 to win the FA Cup.

3rd best home record in the Premier League this season. 10th so virtually safe. Home to Bristol City in 4th round - 19th in the Championship.

Would need a couple of home draws after that mind you.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/winner

Thanks Mark.

That's an interesting one.

The decision has to be made before next weekend, so no great rush, but anyone else got any thoughts on it? 

It's only with Bet365 so probably not for Fred. Was just looking for a sweat after losing the 3rd round picks.

[Doobs]

Burnley 80/1 to win the FA Cup.

3rd best home record in the Premier League this season. 10th so virtually safe. Home to Bristol City in 4th round - 19th in the Championship.

Would need a couple of home draws after that mind you.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/winner

Thanks Mark.

That's an interesting one.

The decision has to be made before next weekend, so no great rush, but anyone else got any thoughts on it? 

Have put a tenner each way on if you want it.  As it is 365 only, i am not sure we have a week to think about it, as it isn't going to take much money to move it.

My thinking is that if we thought the others were value this one must be.  Similar positions in league, but a round further and an easier draw.  Ofc it could go the way of the others, but can live with that on an 80/1 chance.

[tikay]

Burnley 80/1 to win the FA Cup.

3rd best home record in the Premier League this season. 10th so virtually safe. Home to Bristol City in 4th round - 19th in the Championship.

Would need a couple of home draws after that mind you.

http://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/fa-cup/winner

Thanks Mark.

That's an interesting one.

The decision has to be made before next weekend, so no great rush, but anyone else got any thoughts on it? 

Have put a tenner each way on if you want it.  As it is 365 only, i am not sure we have a week to think about it, as it isn't going to take much money to move it.

My thinking is that if we thought the others were value this one must be.  Similar positions in league, but a round further and an easier draw.  Ofc it could go the way of the others, but can live with that on an 80/1 chance.

Seems reasonable - yes please David.

£10 EW @ 80/1, Burnley, FA Cup.

BOOKED

[Peter-27]

Okay, as promised, race of champions bets. Not for the thread though as the only market I can see is SkyBet.

Drivers:
Sebastian Vettel @ 11/4 - suggest £30. 11/4 is a good price on Sebastian who is, without doubt, the most talented driver in the field. The problem he (and all drivers) will have is that in the knockout stages just one tiny mistake means you're out; there's the potential for huge variability on such a short event. Nevertheless, Sebastian is my main tip to retain his title.

Juan-Pablo Montoya @ 14/1 - suggest £5 EW. Juan-Pablo is an immensely quick driver if he's in the right mood .. and the suspension characteristics of the cars available should suit his style. 14/1 seems too high in my opinion, he should be more like 5/1.

Scott Speed @ 40/1 - suggest £5 EW. Scott is one of those drivers who's quick in absolutely anything, I'm flabbergasted that he's priced so high - he shouldn't be more than 15/1 topps. I suppose you could argue he may have lost some speed because he hasn't had a regular drive in a top level series for a while, but I don't see that being the case.

Nations:
Germany (Vettel/Wehrlein) @ 3/1 - suggest £50. Price is just too high. Two regular F1 drivers should be able to retain their title with ease - I would have them odds on if I were setting the prices.

Brazil (Kanaan/Massa) @ 12/1 - suggest £5. The price feels slightly too high. We know Felipe will get the job done. Brazil's chances will rest on how Tony copes running in multiple vehicles. He certainly seems confident and happy after practice.