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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 16038913 times)
Karabiner
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« Reply #125400 on: February 03, 2017, 08:41:48 PM »

The 16/1 nrnb has gone on 365 but is still there with aytaytayt
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« Reply #125401 on: February 03, 2017, 08:47:02 PM »

No recommendation from me, but i pass it on for what its worth as you can still get 14/1 over here "Pokerface"

this from an offshore bookie with US customers

 Click to see full-size image.


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-atlanta-falcons/lady-gagas-1st-song

Market with Scuy (the only one I know here that has it) now. Good evening, tradesmen.

I have a theory on the first song, so this is interesting. Would be nice to have some more bookies with the market up.

Lady Gaga not to mention Donald Trump at 5/6 (Patrick Parr) seems wrong to me. She's in Texas in front of a billion people. Surely much much more likely she focuses on the positive message of the strength and promotion of the freedom of women. At the absolute most, there will be a song choice or comment which some people will interpret as being a slight on Trump.

You can break the internet with an out of time shark. Fairly unlikely she picks a direct fight with the president.

Paddypower has it too. As do I think netbet?!

https://touchdowntips.com/2017/02/02/superbowl-stupid-prop-bets/ that was my thoughts on it all...

I haven't backed anything though. My theory was that she'd open with a new song. But obviously I have no idea.  Tell a lie. They were doing it. But have dropped it now
« Last Edit: February 03, 2017, 08:50:45 PM by Cavey007 » Logged

tikay
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« Reply #125402 on: February 03, 2017, 08:58:02 PM »

No recommendation from me, but i pass it on for what its worth as you can still get 14/1 over here "Pokerface"

this from an offshore bookie with US customers

 Click to see full-size image.


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-atlanta-falcons/lady-gagas-1st-song

Market with Scuy (the only one I know here that has it) now. Good evening, tradesmen.

I have a theory on the first song, so this is interesting. Would be nice to have some more bookies with the market up.

Lady Gaga not to mention Donald Trump at 5/6 (Patrick Parr) seems wrong to me. She's in Texas in front of a billion people. Surely much much more likely she focuses on the positive message of the strength and promotion of the freedom of women. At the absolute most, there will be a song choice or comment which some people will interpret as being a slight on Trump.

You can break the internet with an out of time shark. Fairly unlikely she picks a direct fight with the president.

Paddypower has it too. As do I think netbet?!

https://touchdowntips.com/2017/02/02/superbowl-stupid-prop-bets/ that was my thoughts on it all...

I haven't backed anything though. My theory was that she'd open with a new song. But obviously I have no idea.  Tell a lie. They were doing it. But have dropped it now

Think Tal has nailed the opening Super Bowl song and mode of dress every year so far. Always worth heeding his advice on those ones.

Hope yours gets home too, GL GL.
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engy
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« Reply #125403 on: February 03, 2017, 09:07:02 PM »

It's only 12s on there now tighty leave it? Or still do it?
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TightEnd
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« Reply #125404 on: February 03, 2017, 09:12:17 PM »

Leave it I think will try triple8 tomorrow
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Cavey007
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« Reply #125405 on: February 03, 2017, 09:24:54 PM »

No recommendation from me, but i pass it on for what its worth as you can still get 14/1 over here "Pokerface"

this from an offshore bookie with US customers

 Click to see full-size image.


http://www.oddschecker.com/american-football/nfl/new-england-patriots-at-atlanta-falcons/lady-gagas-1st-song

Market with Scuy (the only one I know here that has it) now. Good evening, tradesmen.

I have a theory on the first song, so this is interesting. Would be nice to have some more bookies with the market up.

Lady Gaga not to mention Donald Trump at 5/6 (Patrick Parr) seems wrong to me. She's in Texas in front of a billion people. Surely much much more likely she focuses on the positive message of the strength and promotion of the freedom of women. At the absolute most, there will be a song choice or comment which some people will interpret as being a slight on Trump.

You can break the internet with an out of time shark. Fairly unlikely she picks a direct fight with the president.

Paddypower has it too. As do I think netbet?!

https://touchdowntips.com/2017/02/02/superbowl-stupid-prop-bets/ that was my thoughts on it all...

I haven't backed anything though. My theory was that she'd open with a new song. But obviously I have no idea.  Tell a lie. They were doing it. But have dropped it now

Think Tal has nailed the opening Super Bowl song and mode of dress every year so far. Always worth heeding his advice on those ones.

Hope yours gets home too, GL GL.

For some reason I've taken the over on the national anthem but that's all I'll be taking in the stupid markets. I'll have a look for Tals leaning though. Given that Perfect illusion is now 50/1 it seems unlikely that's correct!
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« Reply #125406 on: February 03, 2017, 09:41:16 PM »

Where is the market, Cavey?
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« Reply #125407 on: February 03, 2017, 11:12:25 PM »

Oddschecker only has skuy listing it. I'm sure I found it elsewhere. But can't find it now. I think 188 had novelty markets. But again doesn't seem to have any listed. Sorry

Paddy and Skuy both have the national anthem. Pp is better at o2:08.5 opposed to o2:10
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« Reply #125408 on: February 03, 2017, 11:45:47 PM »

Oddschecker only has skuy listing it. I'm sure I found it elsewhere. But can't find it now. I think 188 had novelty markets. But again doesn't seem to have any listed. Sorry

Paddy and Skuy both have the national anthem. Pp is better at o2:08.5 opposed to o2:10

Scuy's first song market has been down for a few hours now, I think. Their line on the anthem is up to 2:14.

Paddy were 5/6 when I last looked, as they often are with the flip bets. If it were a choice between 10/11 for 2.10 and 5/6 for 2.09, I'd cheerfully be playing with Scuy.

Coldplay had fun last year by having two first songs. Caused mayhem for the bookies. Cue a joke about no one noticing because all Coldplay songs sound the same.
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« Reply #125409 on: February 04, 2017, 10:25:57 AM »

Gonna need some Bet365 help with this please.

Tomorrow Clan des Obeaux runs in the Scilly Isles at Sandown. He has been one of the most impressive novices over fences this season. Nicholls has been reluctant to talk up big targets due to him only being a 5 year old, but he is a potential superstar.

If he wins, I suspect Nicholls will let him take his chance in the JLT at Chelts next month, despite concerns about his age.

Currently he is top priced 16-1 with 365 for the JLT and with NRNB could end up under half that price tomorrow if he wins.

If he doesn't I fully expect no appearance at the Festival and we wait til next year for him to realize this potential.

It feels like a no brainer bet to me

Suggest £50 ew at 365 NRNB, if someone can.

advice on this one mow please

http://www.oddschecker.com/cheltenham-festival/jlt-novices-chase/winner

365 are 12-1

betfred and 888 are 16-1 but 1/5 1,2,3 and not NRNB

i've left it so far as unfortunately 365 cut while we were looking for someone to get us on

anything to do?
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« Reply #125410 on: February 04, 2017, 10:38:17 AM »

Gonna need some Bet365 help with this please.

Tomorrow Clan des Obeaux runs in the Scilly Isles at Sandown. He has been one of the most impressive novices over fences this season. Nicholls has been reluctant to talk up big targets due to him only being a 5 year old, but he is a potential superstar.

If he wins, I suspect Nicholls will let him take his chance in the JLT at Chelts next month, despite concerns about his age.

Currently he is top priced 16-1 with 365 for the JLT and with NRNB could end up under half that price tomorrow if he wins.

If he doesn't I fully expect no appearance at the Festival and we wait til next year for him to realize this potential.

It feels like a no brainer bet to me

Suggest £50 ew at 365 NRNB, if someone can.

advice on this one mow please

http://www.oddschecker.com/cheltenham-festival/jlt-novices-chase/winner

365 are 12-1

betfred and 888 are 16-1 but 1/5 1,2,3 and not NRNB

i've left it so far as unfortunately 365 cut while we were looking for someone to get us on

anything to do?


Not sure what the pros would do(been down this road too often to make a call)?

My own opinion is that the price I wanted is gone(but the original idea stands, that if he wins the price shortens, and if he doesnt it will be a Noner), and Im a "bigger the price/value, bigger the bet" merchant, so I would halve the original stake.

As I said, I dont think the 365 price will move any more this morning, so see what the recognised approach is first.
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« Reply #125411 on: February 04, 2017, 01:04:07 PM »

Tikay and I had a good friend who was one of those "bigger the price bigger the bet" merchants.

He had £750 EW a 50/1 shot in Dubai that led all the way until being headed in the last 100 yards but then got back up to win - I bet that felt good!

Unfortunately his form took a few turns for the worse afterwards.
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« Reply #125412 on: February 04, 2017, 01:24:32 PM »

Gonna need some Bet365 help with this please.

Tomorrow Clan des Obeaux runs in the Scilly Isles at Sandown. He has been one of the most impressive novices over fences this season. Nicholls has been reluctant to talk up big targets due to him only being a 5 year old, but he is a potential superstar.

If he wins, I suspect Nicholls will let him take his chance in the JLT at Chelts next month, despite concerns about his age.

Currently he is top priced 16-1 with 365 for the JLT and with NRNB could end up under half that price tomorrow if he wins.

If he doesn't I fully expect no appearance at the Festival and we wait til next year for him to realize this potential.

It feels like a no brainer bet to me

Suggest £50 ew at 365 NRNB, if someone can.

advice on this one mow please

http://www.oddschecker.com/cheltenham-festival/jlt-novices-chase/winner

365 are 12-1

betfred and 888 are 16-1 but 1/5 1,2,3 and not NRNB

i've left it so far as unfortunately 365 cut while we were looking for someone to get us on

anything to do?


Not sure what the pros would do(been down this road too often to make a call)?

My own opinion is that the price I wanted is gone(but the original idea stands, that if he wins the price shortens, and if he doesnt it will be a Noner), and Im a "bigger the price/value, bigger the bet" merchant, so I would halve the original stake.

As I said, I dont think the 365 price will move any more this morning, so see what the recognised approach is first.

16/1 without nrnb defeats the whole purpose and he would have to go off under  5/1 for the JLT to justify it, and dont get a run/got a worthless price on what the bookies are calling 2/3 of the time today (unlike nrnb angle if adz assumption is correct).
« Last Edit: February 04, 2017, 01:31:41 PM by JohnCharver » Logged
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« Reply #125413 on: February 04, 2017, 02:26:21 PM »

Copeland By-Election

Anyone see any odds on this?

Tighty any thoughts?

Labour seat forever by surely this is ripe to be overturned.

Conservative 8/11 last time i looked

what's the angle? market thinks Labour will get turned over already.
just checking that that was what the market thought as I couldn't find a market. Probably no butty in that then.
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« Reply #125414 on: February 04, 2017, 02:38:52 PM »

Drumcliff in the 3.15 at Muss tomorrow, has been eyecatching in recent races.

He has missed a recent appointment after being well backed and is fairly prominent in the Betfair market next week.

He is currently 11/4 with Billy. I don't see him going off that price.

If you can have £40 at 11/4.


Into a general 2-1.

Fingers crossed.
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