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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13433563 times)
SuuPRlim
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« Reply #127860 on: May 14, 2017, 08:02:59 AM »

yeh at -3 with decent EW terms I really thought we'd have a squeak with Rickie tomorrow.

It's not impossible for him to sneak a place still!
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T_Mar
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« Reply #127861 on: May 14, 2017, 08:05:36 AM »

Redmond now just one back from Austin.

Austin - 9
Redmond - 8
Gabbi - 6
J-Rod - 6
Long - 5

2 home games left against Man U & Stoke on the final day. We have £20 at 14/1.

Might want to check this - I followed the rec blind without really paying too much attention at the time but checking details now it says Top League Scorer - He's one ahead of Austin in league goals only

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Peter-27
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« Reply #127862 on: May 14, 2017, 09:14:25 AM »

I jumped on your suggestion Peter of Mclaren not to score a point and for one of their cars to fail to finish at least one meet in the first 5 races at 4/1. Proved value regardless of what happens later, and I thank you.

Where would you put the percentage likelihood that one of the Mclaren boys finishes the race in the top ten? Alonso racing in front of the home fans has him going like a man possessed?

The likelihood of him finishing is only 10-15%. Even if he does finish, chances are he'll drop down the field during the race anyway. I wouldn't say there is much risk to this bet at all  Smiley
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« Reply #127863 on: May 14, 2017, 09:42:30 AM »

City have beaten WBA for the last 10 league games stretching back to 2012 (basically beaten them home and away every season in recent history) The last time they avoided defeat was a 0-0 on Boxing day 2011.

I know journalists/stattos like to roll out the history facts, but have never been convinced they're important. Different personnel/situation etc every time, especially the further back you go.

Obv this is a quite recent spell so more relevant, but amuses me when i see stuff like "not won away after a European game since 1973" as though that means a team is physically incapable of such a feat. If you look hard enough at a big data set you're going to find some patterns.
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TightEnd
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« Reply #127864 on: May 14, 2017, 10:34:55 AM »

KKR lost to MI yesterday so didn't make the top 2

 Click to see full-size image.


first unsuccessful chase for KKR in 13 games at Eden Gardens.were ahead of the rate for a long way but lost clumps of wickets and fell short

 Click to see full-size image.


Scenarios for who KKR will face depending on today's result

 Click to see full-size image.
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« Reply #127865 on: May 14, 2017, 11:27:28 AM »

Been scouring the markets and there's not much out there. Makes sense as this is one of the more predictable races of the season.

We are on Vettel to win the race already.
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« Reply #127866 on: May 14, 2017, 11:35:36 AM »

Been scouring the markets and there's not much out there. Makes sense as this is one of the more predictable races of the season.

We are on Vettel to win the race already.

Plenty of money to lay Alonso points finish at 2.1 to 2.14 on betfair. 
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
Peter-27
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« Reply #127867 on: May 14, 2017, 11:47:03 AM »

Been scouring the markets and there's not much out there. Makes sense as this is one of the more predictable races of the season.

We are on Vettel to win the race already.

Plenty of money to lay Alonso points finish at 2.1 to 2.14 on betfair. 

Not something I usually check, but that sounds like a good spot given that he's so unlikely to finish the race.
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Doobs
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« Reply #127868 on: May 14, 2017, 12:03:02 PM »

Been scouring the markets and there's not much out there. Makes sense as this is one of the more predictable races of the season.

We are on Vettel to win the race already.

Plenty of money to lay Alonso points finish at 2.1 to 2.14 on betfair. 

Not something I usually check, but that sounds like a good spot given that he's so unlikely to finish the race.

Someone has put up £340 to back a points finish at 2.06.  It wasn't me either.   So you can lay at just over evens.
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Most of the bets placed so far seem more like hopeful punts rather than value spots
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« Reply #127869 on: May 14, 2017, 12:48:01 PM »

Been scouring the markets and there's not much out there. Makes sense as this is one of the more predictable races of the season.

We are on Vettel to win the race already.

Plenty of money to lay Alonso points finish at 2.1 to 2.14 on betfair. 

Not something I usually check, but that sounds like a good spot given that he's so unlikely to finish the race.

Someone has put up £340 to back a points finish at 2.06.  It wasn't me either.   So you can lay at just over evens.

Already layed £50 at EVS Smiley
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Peter-27
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« Reply #127870 on: May 14, 2017, 02:53:25 PM »

Lewis wins a very close GP, so our bet is a loser I'm afraid.
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Ant040689
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« Reply #127871 on: May 14, 2017, 03:45:19 PM »

Thanks Peter for the McLaren tip 😀
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hhyftrftdr
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« Reply #127872 on: May 14, 2017, 04:13:56 PM »

City have beaten WBA for the last 10 league games stretching back to 2012 (basically beaten them home and away every season in recent history) The last time they avoided defeat was a 0-0 on Boxing day 2011.

I know journalists/stattos like to roll out the history facts, but have never been convinced they're important. Different personnel/situation etc every time, especially the further back you go.

Obv this is a quite recent spell so more relevant, but amuses me when i see stuff like "not won away after a European game since 1973" as though that means a team is physically incapable of such a feat. If you look hard enough at a big data set you're going to find some patterns.

Funny you should mention the 70s, cos WBA did win away at Man City 4-1 on 5/9/1970.......... Wink

I do agree with you, but as you say, 10 recent league games that only goes back 5 years, in which WBA have been beaten 10 from 10 (mostly comprehensively), is pretty relevant.

100% just called in a WBA 1-0 counter attack victory masterclass on Tuesday. The market you wanna empty the clip on, if it exists Wink is Pulis to mention in his post match interview how much money City have spent.
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Peter-27
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« Reply #127873 on: May 14, 2017, 05:57:20 PM »

Thanks Peter for the McLaren tip 😀

No problem, still don't understand why that was 4/1 ..
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baldock92
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« Reply #127874 on: May 14, 2017, 09:53:46 PM »

City have beaten WBA for the last 10 league games stretching back to 2012 (basically beaten them home and away every season in recent history) The last time they avoided defeat was a 0-0 on Boxing day 2011.

I know journalists/stattos like to roll out the history facts, but have never been convinced they're important. Different personnel/situation etc every time, especially the further back you go.

Obv this is a quite recent spell so more relevant, but amuses me when i see stuff like "not won away after a European game since 1973" as though that means a team is physically incapable of such a feat. If you look hard enough at a big data set you're going to find some patterns.

The market you wanna empty the clip on, if it exists Wink is Pulis to mention in his post match interview how much money City have spent.


Or how "The lads worked 'ard and showed good spirit"
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