Tips for Tikay

[arbboy]

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/money/bills/article-6006281/BT-drops-sports-coverage-looks-make-money-18m-customers.html

BT sport following sky by cutting back on other sports after over paying for soccer product.

[Ant040689]

Does Mawson to Fulham for £15m (potential add ons taking it to (£20m) strike anyone else as a shrewd bit of business for them? I would have rated him closer to £30m.

[rinswun]

Personally I think he's one of the more overrated players in English football at the moment. Was no better than average for the second half of last season, verging on terrible at the Amex when Swansea lost 4-1. £15mil looks like an over payment even in this day and age. Like a lot of Fulham's other business but Mawson is Champ quality.

[Ant040689]

Personally I think he's one of the more overrated players in English football at the moment. Was no better than average for the second half of last season, verging on terrible at the Amex when Swansea lost 4-1. £15mil looks like an over payment even in this day and age. Like a lot of Fulham's other business but Mawson is Champ quality.

fair play, could easily be guilt of oversight myself.

Palace seem very quiet in the transfer window on the buying front btw, which i hope means we are simply keen on holding onto Wilf.

[DungBeetle]

Does Mawson to Fulham for £15m (potential add ons taking it to (£20m) strike anyone else as a shrewd bit of business for them? I would have rated him closer to £30m.

Whenever Watford beat Swansea the last few years a Mawson clanger would be involved.

[rinswun]

Personally I think he's one of the more overrated players in English football at the moment. Was no better than average for the second half of last season, verging on terrible at the Amex when Swansea lost 4-1. £15mil looks like an over payment even in this day and age. Like a lot of Fulham's other business but Mawson is Champ quality.

fair play, could easily be guilt of oversight myself.

Palace seem very quiet in the transfer window on the buying front btw, which i hope means we are simply keen on holding onto Wilf.

Worst case scenario for Palace is surely Zaha leaving on deadline day and them scrambling to reinvest? Feels similar to Le Tiss era Southampton at Selhurst right now.

[Dacorb]

Got to agree on the Mawson being overrated opinions. Watched him closely from a Swans angle, he regularly makes basic mistakes, and his positioning can be poor. He was a big threat in the opponents box when Gylfi was there with his set piece quality though

[hhyftrftdr]

Not for fred as its shy but Kane at 14/1 for PFA POTY looks good to me.

Think this is the first season he isn't eligible for YPOTY so all eggs will be in the POTY basket. He'll net another 25+ goals, is a bit of a media darling (which shouldn't have any sway but certainly doesn't hinder), will be there or thereabouts. He's probably already drafted the ceremony speech. As low as 7/1 elsewhere.

Other picks (that fred could do) would be KDB at 12s (almost a truck unloader as Salah won't repeat that freak season and KDB is the most complete footballer in the league) and Mahrez, who is a ridiculously absurd 50/1 shot on beteveryday when everyone else has him around 20s.

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/pfa-player-of-the-year

[4KSuited]

BBC SPOTY

With Geraint winning the TdF, and Harry getting the Lustrous Boot, I've been reminded by the above post (poster's name's defeated me) to have another look at the odds..

Harry 10/11
Geraint 5/2
Hamilton 12/1
Anthony Joshua 14/1
Pickford 25/1

To me these prices are horribly skewed by recency.
Harry's a nice guy, but as a standalone achievement, his WC goals (how many from the spot?) isn't great.
Ditto Geraint's a lovely guy, but Cycling and Sky are still tainted in the public mind.
Hamilton? No question he's a brilliant F1 talent, and it's likely to be another crown this season. But he's marmite, no?
Mr Joshua has a world title fight in September against a world class opponent. He's a class act with great humility.

He was 9/2 about 4 weeks ago.

I'm putting £20 of my own cash on. Does Fred want some?

Edit: prices above are Everyday. Shy are 16/1 and offering EW 1/4 1-3

[BigAdz]

I think GT is a good thing. The Welsh alone will get him home.

[arbboy]

BBC SPOTY

With Geraint winning the TdF, and Harry getting the Lustrous Boot, I've been reminded by the above post (poster's name's defeated me) to have another look at the odds..

Harry 10/11
Geraint 5/2
Hamilton 12/1
Anthony Joshua 14/1
Pickford 25/1

To me these prices are horribly skewed by recency.
Harry's a nice guy, but as a standalone achievement, his WC goals (how many from the spot?) isn't great.
Ditto Geraint's a lovely guy, but Cycling and Sky are still tainted in the public mind.
Hamilton? No question he's a brilliant F1 talent, and it's likely to be another crown this season. But he's marmite, no?
Mr Joshua has a world title fight in September against a world class opponent. He's a class act with great humility.

He was 9/2 about 4 weeks ago.

I'm putting £20 of my own cash on. Does Fred want some?

Edit: prices above are Everyday. Shy are 16/1 and offering EW 1/4 1-3

AJ adds nothing winning this fight and risks everything.  He was 9/2 a while back because he could potentially have fought Wilder.   That is the major reason for the adjustment.  He is nailed on for 2019 when he fights the big boys providing he wins.

[arbboy]

I think GT is a good thing. The Welsh alone will get him home.

The Welsh vote alone could get him home easily given how low the voting figures have been the last few years.  Cycling overall popularity added to the Welsh vote would seem a very strong combo.  Middle class/middle aged types in lycra are the types who actually bother to vote in this as well.  Three different cyclists have won in the last 10 heats from three different countries.  Wales isn't one of them.   Cycling fans clearly vote in this in the modern era.

Kane looks a bad fav to me given how England's campaign collapsed and half his goals were pens.  Long way to go yet for SPOTY.  Graveyard for odds on pokes too early in the year.

[horseplayer]

Click to see full-size image.

The analytics boys like him fwiw

[hhyftrftdr]

Kane at 10/11 has to be a joke, Shirley?

I guess even if he doesn't win it, he'll still try and claim it.

[TightEnd]

I think GT is a good thing. The Welsh alone will get him home.

The Welsh vote alone could get him home easily given how low the voting figures have been the last few years.  Cycling overall popularity added to the Welsh vote would seem a very strong combo.  Middle class/middle aged types in lycra are the types who actually bother to vote in this as well.  Three different cyclists have won in the last 10 heats from three different countries.  Wales isn't one of them.   Cycling fans clearly vote in this in the modern era.

Kane looks a bad fav to me given how England's campaign collapsed and half his goals were pens.  Long way to go yet for SPOTY.  Graveyard for odds on pokes too early in the year.

i think there will be a strong anti-froome pro geraint vote (one isn't squeaky clean, one perceived as being the blue eyed boy)...add to that the nationalist welsh vote (Calzaghe was a big beneficiary of that) and i would have him favourite over Kane personally