Tips for Tikay

[Peter-27]

Who wants to play Mexican GP bingo? A combination of factors including high altitude, high tyre degradation and ultra low grip have thrown up some bizarre looking results this weekend. Based on this, there are a number of spots we can take advantage of.

Fastest Qualifier - Max Verstappen @ 6/4. Red Bull have the quickest car this weekend; by some distance too. There's no way Max Verstappen should be over EVS, Daniel Ricciardo EW (1/5 1-3) at 4/1 seems like a good spot also. Suggest £25 on both.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/mexican-grand-prix/fastest-qualifier

Points Finish - Brendon Hartley @ 13/8. This is a curious one because he has come alive with pace this weekend, even though I don't have any logic to explain why. Suggest £10.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/mexican-grand-prix/points-finish

Top Six Finish - Carlos Sainz @ 2/1 and Nico Hulkenberg @ 9/4. Best of the rest after Red Bull. Reliability aside, this should comfortably come in. Max Bet.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/mexican-grand-prix/top-6-finish

Race Winner -
Max Verstappen @ 13/8 (£50 Win)
Daniel Ricciardo @ 15/4 (£25 EW).

I also want to bet on the Renault's (Carlos Sainz & Nico Hulkenberg) for the win EW - as Red Bull have well publicised reliability problems. It's either 500/1 top two, or 150/1 top three. I'll let you guys decide what position to take on this, but again, it's really a max bet spot at those prices.

https://www.oddschecker.com/motorsport/formula-1/mexican-grand-prix/winner

[Peter-27]

A fascinating qualifying session in Mexico.

Daniel Ricciardo took pole position with Max Verstappen 2nd, very good for the sets of bets - and some profit already made.

Meanwhile, Mercedes and Ferrari have recovered somewhat from a poor Friday to overtake Renault in the pecking order. The two Renault's are solidly 7th & 8th, but they'll need unreliability or problems ahead to reach the top six. Given the order of the top four on the grid, and the long run down to turn one, there's a big potential for chaos on the opening lap.

We've got all the ingredients for an epic race tomorrow, you guys should tune in 

I'll re-review the markets tomorrow morning (UK time).

[doubleup]

Well done peter - pity they don't do reverse forecasts on the qualifying 

[Tal]

Andrew Luck over 275.5 passing yards at 17/20 with you-knee-bet or 277.5 at Evs with patrick parr/bettyfur sportsbook.

Raiders secondary a mess, the pass rush non-existent and a chuck it and hope game is a considerable possibility.

Recommend £40 if possible, please. This is my biggest bet of the day.

[Peter-27]

Well done peter - pity they don't do reverse forecasts on the qualifying 

Hah, thanks! 

I've got no further bets to recommend, purely because for the first time in a while, I have no idea what is going to happen.

Red Bull clearly have the quickest car over a whole lap, but they're losing 0.8-1.0 seconds down the straights to Mercedes and Ferrari. When you factor in DRS and slipstreams, you really can make an argument for any of the top four winning the race. It could be the rare type of race where we see numerous lead changes. Very excited to see how it plays out.

[hhyftrftdr]

For anyone who got on the Shy RAB 80/1 of 30+ goals for each of Ronaldo and Mbappe.... (think Marky did cos he loves a punt, maybe a few others did?)

Ronaldo scored 2 yesterday so I'm informed he's 7 goals from 10 games.
Mbappe has 9 from 10 games and PSG play tonight.

Long way to go but the bet has mileage.

[Chompy]

Wiiiiiiiii, got the MAX on Um Bappy and Ronaldo here. One time.

Liking the City to concede fewer than 25 spot too. Only three shipped after nine games. Nicely ahead of the game currently.

[hhyftrftdr]

Wiiiiiiiii, got the MAX on Um Bappy and Ronaldo here. One time.

Liking the City to concede fewer than 25 spot too. Only three shipped after nine games. Nicely ahead of the game currently.

That's a lovely bok before Spuds away tomorrow night

Any bets involving City and Liverpool defence/attack are looking promising 1/4 of way into the season.

[hhyftrftdr]

Wolves 5/2 for a bottom half finish anyone?

The somewhat surprising starts for Watford and Bournemouth shirley put Wolves a little down the pecking order to nab a top 10 spot? Feels like a modest honeymoon period might be coming to an end, and their next 2 games are against Spurs and Arsenal.

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/to-finish-in-bottom-half

[Peter-27]

- Verstappen won
- Hulkenberg top six
- Sainz retired
- Hartley 12th.

Profit of £52.97 for me this weekend. Not as much as I hoped, but profit nonetheless.

[hhyftrftdr]

Another for Mbappe tonight for those with interest.

[sm00035]

Wiiiiiiiii, got the MAX on Um Bappy and Ronaldo here. One time.

Liking the City to concede fewer than 25 spot too. Only three shipped after nine games. Nicely ahead of the game currently.

Does anyone remember who/when this was suggested?

Thanks

[tikay]

Another shy RAB I like and have had a small dabble on is Ronaldo and Mbappe to score 30+ goals in their respective leagues at 80/1.

Can see Ronny having a field day in Italy, some very poor teams in that league.

Same bet is 9/1 on billyhill 

There you go sm0035, it was Plumpy from Next Door.

[4KSuited]

RAB on Sly - 25/1 City to concede less than 25 league goals

In Pep's 1st 3 seasons at Barcelona they let in 35, 24 then 21

In Pep's 3 seasons at Bayern (34 game season) they let in 23,18, 17

2 seasons to date at City  39 then 27 last season.

Here you go.

Thanks Archer

[hhyftrftdr]

Us Man City fans know our onions