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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13426974 times)
Pokerpops
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« Reply #134985 on: December 30, 2018, 12:22:49 PM »

Hate these types of games cos no result would be particularly surprising, but do we like West 'am at 11/10 away at Burnley?

Reasoning fairly obvious.

Doesn’t seem overly generous especially on a game where, as you say, any result could happen and nobody would notice.

1/4 on City equally stingy.
Not sure that the match results bets in the EPL are ever ripe for any sort of value these days.
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« Reply #134986 on: December 30, 2018, 12:33:29 PM »

Hate these types of games cos no result would be particularly surprising, but do we like West 'am at 11/10 away at Burnley?

Reasoning fairly obvious.

Doesn’t seem overly generous especially on a game where, as you say, any result could happen and nobody would notice.

1/4 on City equally stingy.
Not sure that the match results bets in the EPL are ever ripe for any sort of value these days.


Looks a smidge of value to me, nothing to get excited over but West Ham are much improved whereas Burnley are just terrible. Hammers pretty handy away from home too, and Burnley have 2nd worst home record.

Nailed on Burnley 1-0 win now.

Wouldn't touch City most weeks, bookies shit themselves when they price us up. I thought Leicester would get our post Palace backlash and that didn't happen, needs to happen today or its game over for the title race.
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« Reply #134987 on: December 30, 2018, 01:45:53 PM »

Ivan Toney 20-1 with Scuy for L1 top scorer, a quarter four spots. Luvverly.

Betfair Sportbook 33/1 same terms
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« Reply #134988 on: December 30, 2018, 02:04:25 PM »

Incred scenes.

The green clowns are 17-1, whatever the hell sort of price that is, so you'd expect BFSB to be the same. Such a slick operation.

If anyone can bang in a chunk EW at 33-1 for Fred, go for it. As much as possible.
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« Reply #134989 on: December 30, 2018, 02:38:47 PM »

seller at 100 active sportsbook counts in the country

188 opened up 40s this morning, gubbed me recently but more chance there if they revert back again (already have once today)
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tikay
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« Reply #134990 on: December 30, 2018, 02:52:34 PM »

Hate these types of games cos no result would be particularly surprising, but do we like West 'am at 11/10 away at Burnley?

Reasoning fairly obvious.

Doesn’t seem overly generous especially on a game where, as you say, any result could happen and nobody would notice.

1/4 on City equally stingy.
Not sure that the match results bets in the EPL are ever ripe for any sort of value these days.


Looks a smidge of value to me, nothing to get excited over but West Ham are much improved whereas Burnley are just terrible. Hammers pretty handy away from home too, and Burnley have 2nd worst home record.

Nailed on Burnley 1-0 win now.




1-0 Burnley? Can't see it myself.
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« Reply #134991 on: December 30, 2018, 03:35:57 PM »

https://www.nbcsports.com/bayarea/49ers/kyle-shanahan-apologizes-george-kittle-falling-shy-nfl-record

Today, George Kittle needs 99 yards to equal and 100 to better the single season receiving yards record by a Tight End in NFL history. This might be the "one he is owed".

In a game that means nothing to San Fran, they are favoured to be heavily behind against the Rams.  It's a great spot for some garbage time yards against what might well be the second string defense in the 4th quarter.

The line is 78.5 receiving yards. Best is 21/20 with Redzone. Recommend £50 if we can.
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« Reply #134992 on: December 30, 2018, 03:42:34 PM »

https://www.nbcsports.com/bayarea/49ers/kyle-shanahan-apologizes-george-kittle-falling-shy-nfl-record

Today, George Kittle needs 99 yards to equal and 100 to better the single season receiving yards record by a Tight End in NFL history. This might be the "one he is owed".

In a game that means nothing to San Fran, they are favoured to be heavily behind against the Rams.  It's a great spot for some garbage time yards against what might well be the second string defense in the 4th quarter.

The line is 78.5 receiving yards. Best is 21/20 with Redzone. Recommend £50 if we can.

Surely Travis Kelce has more
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« Reply #134993 on: December 30, 2018, 03:45:38 PM »

Kelce has 50 yards more and is a nut spot (playing the Raiders)

i don't have the RDZ log in at the moment, so would be pending tikay seeing this anyway
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« Reply #134994 on: December 30, 2018, 03:49:27 PM »

Kelce has 50 yards more and is a nut spot (playing the Raiders)

i don't have the RDZ log in at the moment, so would be pending tikay seeing this anyway

Missed that completely. Though the point stands that there's scope for him to be in play in the race by the 4th quarter. Kelce likely to be rested later in a game they should be miles clear in. Can't risk fun betting injured.

Kittle doesn't need to get 100 to beat 78.5.
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« Reply #134995 on: December 30, 2018, 05:43:34 PM »

2018 fa cup contested by 5th and 2nd places team. Both with zero chance of winning title in the latter stages of the cup. 5th place won.

2017 fa cup 1st vs 5th, 5th won

2016 5th vs 15th

2015 3rd vs 17th

2014 4th vs 16th


Haven’t bothered to keep looking as didn’t find an easy to navigate site on phone and can’t be arsed butttt, do the teams fighting for the title tend to not prioritise fa cup later stages

Was looking at odds, Man City fav, Liverpool 2nd fav
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« Reply #134996 on: December 30, 2018, 09:15:54 PM »

https://www.oddschecker.com/darts/pdc-world-championship/winner

Hard to think Michael Smith will be 40/1 to win the worlds this year in a few months.  He has had a few brutal draws at the worlds in recent years early doors and needed to get over the hump in a big game (esp against Ando).  I think this is a serious break out year for Smith this year.  Nappy factor as well.    Worth £50ew at 40/1.

Not much between him and the big boys now.  Snakebite looks seriously gone at the game and is 12/1.  Gurney and Cadby at similar prices are a joke in comparison to Smith.  Smiths world ranking of 9th is false due to terribly unlucky draws at the last few worlds (averaged 103.5 losing to unseeded floater Cross in the second round this year) where all the big money is ranking wise.

Assume fred never got on?  Hasn't been much chat about it.Hope a few got the fancy prices.  Congrats on the 9000th page fred as well.  Happy new year everyone as well. 
« Last Edit: December 30, 2018, 09:19:08 PM by arbboy » Logged
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« Reply #134997 on: December 30, 2018, 10:01:42 PM »

Incred scenes.

The green clowns are 17-1, whatever the hell sort of price that is, so you'd expect BFSB to be the same. Such a slick operation.

If anyone can bang in a chunk EW at 33-1 for Fred, go for it. As much as possible.

They allowed me £15ew so if Fred wants half of then then shout up.
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« Reply #134998 on: December 30, 2018, 10:14:40 PM »

Incred scenes.

The green clowns are 17-1, whatever the hell sort of price that is, so you'd expect BFSB to be the same. Such a slick operation.

If anyone can bang in a chunk EW at 33-1 for Fred, go for it. As much as possible.

They allowed me £15ew so if Fred wants half of then then shout up.

Very kind of you, yes please.

Don't think I have your bank details, so send them across by PM please and I'll settle up right away.
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« Reply #134999 on: December 30, 2018, 10:18:01 PM »

Booked Tikay.
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