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Author Topic: Tips for Tikay  (Read 13332158 times)
Marky147
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« Reply #135390 on: February 12, 2019, 01:03:59 PM »

Possibly the biggest fight of all time in UK MMA takes place at the weekend in you guessed it - Uncasville Connecticut.

Paul Daley faces Michael Page in Bellator on Saturday night. Absolutely mystifying that this fight is not in the UK but at least they have a TV deal now and it is going to be on Sky Sports.

In MMA betting I am always looking to bet against the hype train and always look to bet against the guy coming off a spectacular early knockout victory. This seems like a prime spot for it. Page is 9-0. He is flashy and exciting and fun to watch. But his calibre of opponent has been low. Honestly he hasn't fought any names at all and only one guy who ever fought in the UFC from what I can see, and that was only one fight.

His opponent is Paul 'Semtex' Daley (40-16-2) - a veteran fighter from Nottingham with big power. With a career featuring a short stint in the UFC cut short for hitting his opponent after the bell, he has fought all over the world for 15 years, fighting the likes of Tyron Woodley, Nick Diaz, Rory MacDonald and Jorge Masvidal. Even his fights in the current organisation have been against a higher class of opponent.

I understand that Page is the favourite. The odds aren't on oddechecker yet, but they are on WH, Sky and BFSB. I see Daley 12/5 on Betfair but I believe anything over 2/1 for Daley  has to be a good bet. Page is the bigger man, faster and slicker but has never fought someone like Paul Daley before and someone who can punch like Paul Daley before.  I'm on the Daley train on Saturday night.

Thanks.

Still not on Oddschecker, where can I find that Market on Wm Hill please? (Can't use Sky or BFSB), 


Managed to find it, but only 7/4 with billy.
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bergeroo
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« Reply #135391 on: February 12, 2019, 01:17:39 PM »

Possibly the biggest fight of all time in UK MMA takes place at the weekend in you guessed it - Uncasville Connecticut.

Paul Daley faces Michael Page in Bellator on Saturday night. Absolutely mystifying that this fight is not in the UK but at least they have a TV deal now and it is going to be on Sky Sports.

In MMA betting I am always looking to bet against the hype train and always look to bet against the guy coming off a spectacular early knockout victory. This seems like a prime spot for it. Page is 9-0. He is flashy and exciting and fun to watch. But his calibre of opponent has been low. Honestly he hasn't fought any names at all and only one guy who ever fought in the UFC from what I can see, and that was only one fight.

His opponent is Paul 'Semtex' Daley (40-16-2) - a veteran fighter from Nottingham with big power. With a career featuring a short stint in the UFC cut short for hitting his opponent after the bell, he has fought all over the world for 15 years, fighting the likes of Tyron Woodley, Nick Diaz, Rory MacDonald and Jorge Masvidal. Even his fights in the current organisation have been against a higher class of opponent.

I understand that Page is the favourite. The odds aren't on oddechecker yet, but they are on WH, Sky and BFSB. I see Daley 12/5 on Betfair but I believe anything over 2/1 for Daley  has to be a good bet. Page is the bigger man, faster and slicker but has never fought someone like Paul Daley before and someone who can punch like Paul Daley before.  I'm on the Daley train on Saturday night.

Thanks.

Still not on Oddschecker, where can I find that Market on Wm Hill please? (Can't use Sky or BFSB), 


Managed to find it, but only 7/4 with billy.

price has come in now overnight so it is a no bet for the moment. Will see if more bookies open at over 2/1 but I guess the price has stabilised. Would say 7/4 of a smidge of value but it is a no bet for me at that price.

Worth recording if you have Sky and watching it on Sunday morning!
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Marky147
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« Reply #135392 on: February 12, 2019, 01:32:36 PM »

Possibly the biggest fight of all time in UK MMA takes place at the weekend in you guessed it - Uncasville Connecticut.

Paul Daley faces Michael Page in Bellator on Saturday night. Absolutely mystifying that this fight is not in the UK but at least they have a TV deal now and it is going to be on Sky Sports.

In MMA betting I am always looking to bet against the hype train and always look to bet against the guy coming off a spectacular early knockout victory. This seems like a prime spot for it. Page is 9-0. He is flashy and exciting and fun to watch. But his calibre of opponent has been low. Honestly he hasn't fought any names at all and only one guy who ever fought in the UFC from what I can see, and that was only one fight.

His opponent is Paul 'Semtex' Daley (40-16-2) - a veteran fighter from Nottingham with big power. With a career featuring a short stint in the UFC cut short for hitting his opponent after the bell, he has fought all over the world for 15 years, fighting the likes of Tyron Woodley, Nick Diaz, Rory MacDonald and Jorge Masvidal. Even his fights in the current organisation have been against a higher class of opponent.

I understand that Page is the favourite. The odds aren't on oddechecker yet, but they are on WH, Sky and BFSB. I see Daley 12/5 on Betfair but I believe anything over 2/1 for Daley  has to be a good bet. Page is the bigger man, faster and slicker but has never fought someone like Paul Daley before and someone who can punch like Paul Daley before.  I'm on the Daley train on Saturday night.

Thanks.

Still not on Oddschecker, where can I find that Market on Wm Hill please? (Can't use Sky or BFSB), 


Managed to find it, but only 7/4 with billy.

price has come in now overnight so it is a no bet for the moment. Will see if more bookies open at over 2/1 but I guess the price has stabilised. Would say 7/4 of a smidge of value but it is a no bet for me at that price.

Worth recording if you have Sky and watching it on Sunday morning!

Can't get him to watch it live when we're in Vegas, so not sure he'll watch it on TV Cheesy
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tikay
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« Reply #135393 on: February 12, 2019, 01:40:53 PM »

Possibly the biggest fight of all time in UK MMA takes place at the weekend in you guessed it - Uncasville Connecticut.

Paul Daley faces Michael Page in Bellator on Saturday night. Absolutely mystifying that this fight is not in the UK but at least they have a TV deal now and it is going to be on Sky Sports.

In MMA betting I am always looking to bet against the hype train and always look to bet against the guy coming off a spectacular early knockout victory. This seems like a prime spot for it. Page is 9-0. He is flashy and exciting and fun to watch. But his calibre of opponent has been low. Honestly he hasn't fought any names at all and only one guy who ever fought in the UFC from what I can see, and that was only one fight.

His opponent is Paul 'Semtex' Daley (40-16-2) - a veteran fighter from Nottingham with big power. With a career featuring a short stint in the UFC cut short for hitting his opponent after the bell, he has fought all over the world for 15 years, fighting the likes of Tyron Woodley, Nick Diaz, Rory MacDonald and Jorge Masvidal. Even his fights in the current organisation have been against a higher class of opponent.

I understand that Page is the favourite. The odds aren't on oddechecker yet, but they are on WH, Sky and BFSB. I see Daley 12/5 on Betfair but I believe anything over 2/1 for Daley  has to be a good bet. Page is the bigger man, faster and slicker but has never fought someone like Paul Daley before and someone who can punch like Paul Daley before.  I'm on the Daley train on Saturday night.

Thanks.

Still not on Oddschecker, where can I find that Market on Wm Hill please? (Can't use Sky or BFSB), 


Managed to find it, but only 7/4 with billy.

price has come in now overnight so it is a no bet for the moment. Will see if more bookies open at over 2/1 but I guess the price has stabilised. Would say 7/4 of a smidge of value but it is a no bet for me at that price.

Worth recording if you have Sky and watching it on Sunday morning!

Can't get him to watch it live when we're in Vegas, so not sure he'll watch it on TV Cheesy

I'm getting there, never miss TJ fights these days, got the t-Shirt, Baseball Cap & everything. Just got to get my body sorted now, I'm gonna be so ripped, like TJ.



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scotty2hatty
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« Reply #135394 on: February 12, 2019, 02:46:01 PM »

MVP will likely get shown up by top tier well rounded fighters who will control him with takedowns and cage work in my opinion. Worthy fave in this but can't decide if there's value in Daley's price, expected him to be a biggish dog.

What do u think of the betting line? All of mvps upside is in his price imo. but i still have big doubts and think he faced mostly low level opposition so far.

And yeah good points about inactivity and the death of his father.

Possibly the biggest fight of all time in UK MMA takes place at the weekend in you guessed it - Uncasville Connecticut.

Paul Daley faces Michael Page in Bellator on Saturday night. Absolutely mystifying that this fight is not in the UK but at least they have a TV deal now and it is going to be on Sky Sports.

In MMA betting I am always looking to bet against the hype train and always look to bet against the guy coming off a spectacular early knockout victory. This seems like a prime spot for it. Page is 9-0. He is flashy and exciting and fun to watch. But his calibre of opponent has been low. Honestly he hasn't fought any names at all and only one guy who ever fought in the UFC from what I can see, and that was only one fight.

His opponent is Paul 'Semtex' Daley (40-16-2) - a veteran fighter from Nottingham with big power. With a career featuring a short stint in the UFC cut short for hitting his opponent after the bell, he has fought all over the world for 15 years, fighting the likes of Tyron Woodley, Nick Diaz, Rory MacDonald and Jorge Masvidal. Even his fights in the current organisation have been against a higher class of opponent.

I understand that Page is the favourite. The odds aren't on oddechecker yet, but they are on WH, Sky and BFSB. I see Daley 12/5 on Betfair but I believe anything over 2/1 for Daley  has to be a good bet. Page is the bigger man, faster and slicker but has never fought someone like Paul Daley before and someone who can punch like Paul Daley before.  I'm on the Daley train on Saturday night.

Daley is my favourite fighter and would absolutely love to see him win. He tends to lose to the top end guys when he faces them unfortunately, mostly due to his style. I guess we get to find out if MVP is top end. Other factors in Daley's favour are MVP's inactivity (one fight in 27 months, not fought since May) and the unfortunate passing of MVP's father late last year of which MVP himself has made comment as to whether it's really a good idea to fight so soon after his loss.

MVP is a good watch and quite the character. Video is 6 minutes but is a good highlights package, KO at 5:15ish is delightful.



« Last Edit: February 12, 2019, 02:47:58 PM by scotty2hatty » Logged
scotty2hatty
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« Reply #135395 on: February 12, 2019, 02:50:28 PM »

Just read the price movement, can't be anything in 7/4. No bet good advice. Hope he wins.
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« Reply #135396 on: February 12, 2019, 05:11:21 PM »

Still a rock solid bet at 3/1.  It can't realistically be bigger than 2/1 given his heavy defeat to Price.  If you think Barney still has something left then you could argue it should be odds on.  

It's not a stale price.  They were 6/1 pre event and top on their own.  They clearly have a view and cut it to 9/2 from 6/1 today at 1pm according to oddschecker records.  No idea how they make Price shorter than Gurney but they do.  

Week two is a huge week for the bet as well as Gurney is an underdog against his wildcard Duzza.  Can't see any other player being a dog to beat their wildcard.  Price plays Barney this week as well.  Draw would be perfect in that for the Gurney bet.  Price probably has the easiest wildcard in Exeter in the smallest arena.  Barney's wildcard is hopp in Berlin.

Not sure what u mean by its not stale. When u said he was 9/2, that was the oddschecker price but he was 3-1 on the spoils site. That's what I call stale.

Not doubting its a good bet or not, I totally agree. even  based on you logic looks good.

Must say, I did get 9/2 on the Boyle site after you said it was stale


Must have been me then. I searched when arb put it up elsewhere, never found better than . Not gonna argue over it.

Let's just hope it wins.
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« Reply #135397 on: February 13, 2019, 07:38:34 PM »

Dortmund with a weird selection indicating to me that Dahoud could be playing in the 10 role behind the striker. At worst the most attack minded midfielder in a 4-3-3.

33s with Billy for first goalscorer has to be worth a fiver for a sweat.
https://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/tottenham-v-borussia-dortmund/first-goalscorer
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bergeroo
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« Reply #135398 on: February 13, 2019, 08:21:24 PM »

Dortmund with a weird selection indicating to me that Dahoud could be playing in the 10 role behind the striker. At worst the most attack minded midfielder in a 4-3-3.

33s with Billy for first goalscorer has to be worth a fiver for a sweat.
https://www.oddschecker.com/football/champions-league/tottenham-v-borussia-dortmund/first-goalscorer

well they are playing a defensive 433 but I have my fingers crossed nevertheless!
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« Reply #135399 on: February 14, 2019, 05:21:38 PM »

good night for a darts draw yankee on the first four games.  All 8 players are odds against and some tighter looking matches in them than the betting implies. 
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« Reply #135400 on: February 14, 2019, 05:57:06 PM »

good night for a darts draw yankee on the first four games.  All 8 players are odds against and some tighter looking matches in them than the betting implies. 

on..... for a lucky valentines yankee
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« Reply #135401 on: February 14, 2019, 07:48:38 PM »

gameeeeeeeeeeee on
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« Reply #135402 on: February 14, 2019, 07:50:31 PM »

didnt think it was going to happen. 5 - 2 down so i went for me tea........ scorchio
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« Reply #135403 on: February 14, 2019, 09:03:21 PM »

Good point for barney for the gurney bottom bet and the draws of course
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« Reply #135404 on: February 14, 2019, 09:09:52 PM »

Couldn't get 7/2 for any of the early draws so left it.....FML

GL to those with the sweat.
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