Super League 2012

[kinboshi]

Starts again tonight.  Warrington favourites to top the league again?  Any predictions?

This sounds interesting/innovative/a waste of time (delete as apporpriate):  http://www.skysports.com/opinion/story/0,,12532_7475191,00.html

During each game we won't just be collecting the stats and data, but now the information will be fed into a computer to try to predict the winning team. As most of you will know from watching sport, things change before the score does - a certain momentum gets built up before the points are registered.

We're going to use a formula to predict the points difference between the two teams at the final whistle. This will be continuously updated as the game progresses. We'll collect data about which team has possession, how well they use it and just how well they defend when they don't have the ball. This will flash up on the screen on our 'Margin Meter' and, based on the way that the game has gone, predict who will win and by how many points.

During the off-season we've asked a leading expert in this field to help us to try to identify the patterns and trends that occur in a Super League game. Dr Bill Gerrard has looked at more than 700 team performances in Super League over the last few seasons and analysed the key performance indicators that teams record.

The posh term for doing this is "data mining" or "predictive analytics", which is the sort of thing that supermarkets do to sell their goods, insurance companies do to calculate their polices or the weather people do to make a forecast.

So at least we'll be able to moan about our sides running at below EV.

[Acidmouse]

Usual suspects at the top again this season. Can't any other team apart from Saints, Wigan, Warrington or Leeds winning the lot.

I know Leeds will be better this year, our key players fit, nearly all the team signed long term contracts.

Funny how they the league turned down betfairs 750k offer to sponsor the league instead opting for Stoddards one, where they have branding on over 100 trucks instead of payment? erm.

Going to see Rhino's vs Hull tonight hope its not going to be too cold or might just stay in pub

[kinboshi]

Yeah, its good that it's moved to the summer

[Acidmouse]

Monday night games = win!

love that.

[kinboshi]

Definitely.  Super League has a decent following across the country, but a lot of these people only watch it on TV rather than travel to the games.  The more on TV, the better!

[bobby1]

You can't whack a game of rugby league.

Any tips will be well received guys.

[Acidmouse]

Like other sports League tends to get some freaky results. Big priced underdogs always worth a punt on. Always getting teams 10/1 and bigger away at one of the big teams pulling off a result out of no where give it a few weeks and we will start looking to bet.

[bobby1]

Like other sports League tends to get some freaky results. Big priced underdogs always worth a punt on. Always getting teams 10/1 and bigger away at one of the big teams pulling off a result out of no where give it a few weeks and we will start looking to bet.

Yes I think almost every bet I had last season was on a team getting a good start, locality always a big bonus for getting under points or on teams getting starts in the bad weather too.

[BulldozerD]

My betting tip would be to avoid betting on round 1 lol.

Might have a flutter on wakey tonight at +2 really like the look of our team and fancy vince mellars to score first.

A good bet maybe on number of penalties awarded, always loads in first match of the season but nO idea what the bookies are offering.

Really looking forward to tonight

[kinboshi]

Always a good idea to speak to Sean Long before you place a bet...

[Acidmouse]

backed wakey tonight small bet.

[Acidmouse]

backed wakey tonight small bet.

easy win 1/1 glad leeds ended up easy winners too

[MereNovice]

Instead of the "Margin Meter", I followed the "John Kear Meter" and made a few bob.

[bobby1]

good work guys, it looked a good game from the bits I saw.

[Acidmouse]

Salford vs Cas tough one this at two new coaches and loads of new players. But Millward is shrewd and i expect the slight outsiders Cas to win 2.3 on betdaq.