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gatso
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« Reply #30 on: February 20, 2012, 06:21:48 PM » |
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what prompted this discussion? were you seriously considering it?
and what price annapurna? don't think I'd take any price tbh
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If you get to the yeasty clunge you've gone too far
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Dubai
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« Reply #31 on: February 20, 2012, 06:24:11 PM » |
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I would seriously consider it if circumstances were different. No chance Annapurna or K2, inexperienced climbers have no chance and wouldnt be able to get on a group. You can just about get away with it on Everest still
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paulhouk03
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« Reply #32 on: February 20, 2012, 07:03:43 PM » |
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what happened to that prop that the loser has to stay in a hotel in hull?? was a scoop or wcoop tourney irrc
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Just me
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Dubai
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« Reply #33 on: February 20, 2012, 07:08:55 PM » |
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Sacked off
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Ironside
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« Reply #34 on: February 20, 2012, 07:21:48 PM » |
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what happened to that prop that the loser has to stay in a hotel in hull?? was a scoop or wcoop tourney irrc
i'd rather have to climb everest even with my broken back that stay there |
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I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
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mondatoo
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« Reply #35 on: February 20, 2012, 07:22:53 PM » |
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Pretty sure I would die.
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Ironside
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« Reply #36 on: February 20, 2012, 07:24:26 PM » |
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Pretty sure I would die.
i am sure you would too you would never be able to order food nd drink as they would never understand you |
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I am the master of my fate
I am the captain of my soul.
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smashedagain
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« Reply #37 on: February 20, 2012, 07:40:40 PM » |
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what happened to that prop that the loser has to stay in a hotel in hull?? was a scoop or wcoop tourney irrc
Even footy teams stayed in Scunthorpe when hull were in the prem. |
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[ ] ept title
[ ] wpt title
[ ] wsop braclet
[X] mickey mouse hoodies
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treefella
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« Reply #38 on: February 20, 2012, 07:42:05 PM » |
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Royal Flush
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« Reply #39 on: February 20, 2012, 07:46:43 PM » |
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book max bet ->spread rumours of your extensive training program -> negotiate buyout -> profit.
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[19:44:40] Oracle: WE'RE ALL GOING ON A SPANISH HOLIDAY! TRIGGS STABLES SHIT!
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EvilPie
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« Reply #40 on: February 20, 2012, 07:59:50 PM » |
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Realistically it's got to be many thousands to 1.
Thing is though if someone were to actually stump the money up to cover a £500 bet at 10000/1 then your odds decrease dramatically because of the huge cash incentive.
If you knew you were getting £5M quid for succeeding I think your odds drop to low double figures.
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Motivational speeches at their best:
"Because thats what living is, the 6 inches in front of your face......" - Patrick Leonard - 10th May 2015
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MANTIS01
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« Reply #41 on: February 21, 2012, 12:10:20 AM » |
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Climbing Everest is risking death so my best advice for any 22-25 year old single overweight poker player is you would be better off sticking to cards.
Getting fit and acquiring climbing skills is one thing. But half way up with head about to explode, snow and wind pissing in face, lungs on fire, horrid black toe or whatever, and every step in slow motion that 100/1 isn't looking so generous. Unknown factors like how your body will perform in unchartered extreme altitude/conditions, weather, sickness, other problems as well as risk to life should mean long odds imo.
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Tikay - "He has a proven track record in business, he is articulate, intelligent, & presents his cases well"
Claw75 - "Mantis is not only a blonde legend he's also very easy on the eye"
Outragous76 - "a really nice certainly intelligent guy"
taximan007 & Girgy85 & Celtic & Laxie - <3 Mantis
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ACE2M
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« Reply #42 on: February 21, 2012, 12:10:42 PM » |
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over 100/1. You need conditioning built up over a long period, just being generally fit and healthy for 5-10years leading up to it would be absolute minimum.
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EvilPie
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« Reply #43 on: February 21, 2012, 02:21:02 PM » |
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It's not 100/1.
If somebody was willing to let me bet 50k and leave 5 million quid in a safe escrow then I 100% guarantee I'd be able to do it.
If there was no financial incentive then it's actually an infinite long shot because I ain't doing it!!
I think my true personal odds are somewhere around the 20/1 mark. I base this on how much money I'd want to do it which is about £3M and how much money I can get my hands on to actually place the bet.
For Dave or anybody else it would be very different. He might want £5M to do it and have £100K to bet in which case he's 50/1. If he can get his hands on £500K then he's actually only 10/1.
There is no doubt at all that somebody reasonably healthy can achieve this. It just comes down to the reward at the end of it.
If Dave's only reward is personal advancement, sponsorship for some random charity and a few pats on the back then I think it's at least 10000/1. If that was my reward then as I've already said it's actually infinite.
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Motivational speeches at their best:
"Because thats what living is, the 6 inches in front of your face......" - Patrick Leonard - 10th May 2015
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ACE2M
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« Reply #44 on: February 21, 2012, 03:44:06 PM » |
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It's not 100/1.
If somebody was willing to let me bet 50k and leave 5 million quid in a safe escrow then I 100% guarantee I'd be able to do it.
If there was no financial incentive then it's actually an infinite long shot because I ain't doing it!!
I think my true personal odds are somewhere around the 20/1 mark. I base this on how much money I'd want to do it which is about £3M and how much money I can get my hands on to actually place the bet.
For Dave or anybody else it would be very different. He might want £5M to do it and have £100K to bet in which case he's 50/1. If he can get his hands on £500K then he's actually only 10/1.
There is no doubt at all that somebody reasonably healthy can achieve this. It just comes down to the reward at the end of it.
If Dave's only reward is personal advancement, sponsorship for some random charity and a few pats on the back then I think it's at least 10000/1. If that was my reward then as I've already said it's actually infinite.
nah, you're not factoring in remotely enough random issues that could affect his chances. As i understand it you're a pretty strong/fit individual, the price for you would be drastically different. |
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