My Spread Betting Blog

[pokerfan]

Thanks.

[sweet potata!]

Nice one, Is this what happened Didi Hamann when he blew a wedge on Cricket before! I seem to remember it vaguely that it was spread betting and every run that was scored beyond a certain point was costing him thousands!

[millidonk]

Thanks for the idiot's guide. One thing i'm not sure on, in the corners example you said if its 13 we don't lose all our money, but what does happen if it lands in between the spread?

[maldini32]

I did quiet a bit spread betting last season. Specifically selling the time of the first goal when the favourite was at home and less than a 1.3 favourite.

I put it on a spread sheet and had a sample size of about 100 games and showed a profit of 4 points on average.

The reason I stopped was because I made the cowboy mistake of changing my stakes which led to me losing a lot more when I upped my stake.

As you can imagine most of the teams I backed were Barcelona/Real Madrid/Bayern/Milan/Juve etc..

Im gonna be doing it again this season but sticking to a level stake.

Ive also done quiet a bit of spread betting on Cricket, which was almost entirely in-running.

Ill be following this with interest.

Good luck.

[Chompy]

Should be an interesting read.

Are the total point jobbies out for League One yet? Where would you set the line for Stevenage?

[pokerfan]

Thanks for the idiot's guide. One thing i'm not sure on, in the corners example you said if its 13 we don't lose all our money, but what does happen if it lands in between the spread?

If I get it, on the buy side of the bet 13-13.5 = .5 loss and vice versa.

[millidonk]

Thanks for the idiot's guide. One thing i'm not sure on, in the corners example you said if its 13 we don't lose all our money, but what does happen if it lands in between the spread?

If I get it, on the buy side of the bet 13-13.5 = .5 loss and vice versa.

Yea that's what I thought but couldn't find clarification when I tried ye olde google. Cheers.

[DungBeetle]

"Are the total point jobbies out for League One yet? Where would you set the line for Stevenage?"

These normally only come out about a week before the season as they want as long a look at transfers as possible.

I'll have a guess that Stevenage will be something like 62-64?

[Eso Kral]

"Are the total point jobbies out for League One yet? Where would you set the line for Stevenage?"

These normally only come out about a week before the season as they want as long a look at transfers as possible.

I'll have a guess that Stevenage will be something like 62-64?

I'll have a guess that if you offer Chomps 62-64 he will be a rather big seller!!

[TightEnd]

As a Leicester season ticket holder, their favourites tag is completely false in my opinion

the prevailing wisdom is we have loads of money, can buy the championship etc etc

However, even ignoring last season's failed attempt at this, the owners have given instructions to CUT the wage bill, with FPP rules at the end of the new season a consideration.

So far this summer Bamba and Mills have left, and Beckford will do too

We've brought in two Man U reserve squad players, and a Conference striker. Decent buys hopefully, but not going to make us roar away with it


Our squad now is roughly what will take us through the season. It's no better than last year's

We are a top six side at best, in what is a very competitive tough division where teams will take points off each other all season

I'm a strategic seller if we are priced high


Much more value lower down the prices in teams like Huddersfield and Ipswichj who are going be competitive and could easily be top ten

[DungBeetle]

I agree Tighty.  Think Leicester will be 75-77 something like that?  Looks a sell to me.  I think Bolton will win this division.

Watford could be a buy depending on how low they are pitched as they have immediate access to the Udinese network so will get 5/6 players in pretty sharpish I'd imagine.  Would have to be 68 or below to tempt me to buy though.

[MereNovice]

SpreadEx have Kallis at 335-355 compared to 355-370 on SpIn.

[DungBeetle]

That may be partly due to a difference on how injuries are treated.

If Kallis gets injured Spin give you 122 points per game missed.  Spreadex seem to have a vague clause "if there is no official result an allocation will be added".  It would be worth finding out exactly what this means before deciding to go with Spreadex (if you were a buyer).  Isn't there always an official result in a test match? 

[MereNovice]

That may be partly due to a difference on how injuries are treated.

If Kallis gets injured Spin give you 122 points per game missed.  Spreadex seem to have a vague clause "if there is no official result an allocation will be added".  It would be worth finding out exactly what this means before deciding to go with Spreadex (if you were a buyer).  Isn't there always an official result in a test match? 

The allocation counts if Kallis doesn't play or if a ball isn't bowled in the test.
SpreadEx allocate 115 per match which is their mid-range price pre-series which is the same way that SpIn work it out.

[DungBeetle]

Ah okay fair enough.  Quite a difference in price then.