The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged

[TightEnd]

Oh and I insta guessed your 'northern poker player who doesnt like Corbyn'

My first guess was Howard Plant. How wrong was I, on a scale of right to wrong?

wrong.

(it doesn't matter who it was, he was just what prompted me and to illustrate my point. and i am scared of him :-) which should give you the answer )

[TightEnd]

so who wants to see the regional split of the you gov poll today?

voting intention by region?

yes? thought so.....

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (North East)

CON 40% LAB 42% LD 6% UKIP 8%

(Con lead over Lab -2, from -22 at GE2015)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (North West)

CON 42% LAB 42% LD 8% UKIP 6%

(Con lead over Lab +0, from -13 at GE2015)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (Yorks&Humber)

CON 43% LAB 38% LD 9% UKIP 7%

(Con lead over Lab +5, from -7 at GE2015)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (East Mids)

CON 54% LAB 28% LD 8% UKIP 7%

(Con lead over Lab +26, from +12 at GE2015)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (West Mids)

CON 51% LAB 28% LD 9% UKIP 9%

(Con lead over Lab +23, from +9 at GE2015)

 https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (East Eng)

CON 56% LAB 19% LD 12% UKIP 9%

(Con lead over Lab +37, from +27 at GE2015)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (London)

CON 36% LAB 41% LD 14% UKIP 6%

(Con lead over Lab -5, from -9 at GE2015)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (South East)

CON 56% LAB 19% LD 15% UKIP 6%

(Con lead over Lab +37, from +33 at GE2015)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (South West)

CON 52% LAB 22% LD 16% UKIP 6%

(Con lead over Lab +30, from +29 at GE2015)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (Wales)

CON 41% LAB 35% PC 11% LD 7% UKIP 4%

(Con lead over Lab +7, from -10 at GE2015)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

Westminster voting intention (Scot)

SNP 41% CON 28% LAB 18% LD 7% UKIP 2%

(Con lead over Lab +10, from -9 at GE2015)

https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/15/voting-intention-regional-breakdown-apr-24-may-5/

Click to see full-size image.

[TightEnd]

latest scores on our doors...

How will you vote on June 8th 2017

Conservative    - 16 (32.7%)
Labour    - 8 (16.3%)
Lib Dem    - 10 (20.4%)
UKIP    - 0 (0%)
Green    - 0 (0%)
Nationalist party eg SNP, Plaid - 6 (12.2%)
Don't intend to vote    - 4 (8.2%)
I really don't know yet - 5 (10.2%)
   
Total Voters: 49

Click to see full-size image.

[AndrewT]

Maybe one aspect of Corbyn and the IRA/Hamas stuff is simply that back then, the left broadly had the opinion that major Western powers = bad, and so didn't put too much thought into it over and above 'the IRA are enemies of British colonialism, so are we, therefore enemy of my enemy is my friend'. Supporting groups fighting imperialism was just something lefties did.

Of course, that is also the thing that has got them into such a mess with radical Islam because a group of people that's both a) right-wing fundamentalist and b) brown-skinned causes a lot of confusion in their minds as they can't both support and oppose it.

The reason it really hasn't come up yet is because the poll lead means it hasn't been needed but also because maybe it was always something to be saved up for the end of the campaign, as once you've made the campaign personal you can't really row back from it if it doesn't play as well as you'd hoped.