The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged

[Cavey007]

My partner has zero interest in politics.

Her question this morning - which of the parties is strongest on fighting terror? I want to vote for them.

I imagine this sort of question was asked across the country today. What's the answer?

Good question. I've heard/read very little on terrorism policies.

May has cut police budgets leading to less bobbies everywhere. They want to cut immigration but when a the people committing atrocities are British nationals that won't change much. She was also home secretary for 6 years when the budgets were cut so is pretty much directly responsible for less police. The former head of the met. Police was on TV earlier calling the government liars and explaining that the extra police on the streets now are people being made to do longers shifts, lose their holidays and brought in from elsewhere.

Corbyn is a hippy who wants equality for all and will try and get a peaceful resolution to any conflict. "Corbyn on Iraq War 2003: It will set off spiral of conflict, hate, misery. And will fuel wars on future generations https://t.co/XsAjaO44lw"

That's about the best I can do.

[muckthenuts]

My partner has zero interest in politics.

Her question this morning - which of the parties is strongest on fighting terror? I want to vote for them.

I imagine this sort of question was asked across the country today. What's the answer?

We need to have some difficult conversations, starting with Saudi Arabia & other Gulf states that have funded and fuelled extremist ideology pic.twitter.com/dZuGWbcAYL

— Jeremy Corbyn (@jeremycorbyn) June 4, 2017

https://www.indy100.com/article/british-fighters-syria-isis-kurds-ypg-jeremy-corbyn-vote-labour-election-2017-7771246

[TightEnd]

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[TightEnd]

an analyst reverse-engineered YouGov's UK election model. Here's what's going on:



https://medium.com/@PatrickRuffini/whats-up-with-yougov-s-uk-election-model-9ff9bb6d599

[TightEnd]

polling average update: >

Con + Lab combined at 80%.
LDems stagnant.
UKIP down 2/3rds of its 2015 vote.

http://britainelects.com/polling/polling-averages/

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[TightEnd]

 The marginal election battlegrounds that could decide the UK’s future

With the Conservative lead in the polls dwindling and Labour support surging, both main parties will be focusing on the seats that could swing this week’s result

https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/03/election-2017-marginal-battlegrounds-that-could-decide-uks-future?CMP=twt_gu

[TightEnd]

Nowcast for 04 June:

Con: 354 (+24)
Lab: 214 (-18)
SNP: 47 (-9)
LDem: 12 (+4)

Read more (& probabilities): http://britainelects.com/nowcast/

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[TightEnd]

Nate Silver looks across the pond...

Are the U.K. polls skewed?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/are-the-u-k-polls-skewed/?ex_cid=story-twitter

[TightEnd]

Scottish independence voting intention:

Yes: 42% (-1)
No: 50% (+2)

(via Survation / 31 May - 02 Jun)

Chgs. w/ Apr

[TightEnd]

Will turnout weighting prove to be the pollsters’ Achilles heel in GE2017?

https://sotonpolitics.org/2017/06/04/will-turnout-weighting-prove-to-be-the-pollsters-achilles-heel-in-ge2017/

[TightEnd]

Why Conservatives should calm down. A long but VERY interesting blog by Nigel Marriott (who also called 2015 error) http://bit.ly/2rTvApD

[TightEnd]

Jeremy Corbyn accuses Theresa May of trying to 'protect the public on the cheap' over police cuts - http://bit.ly/2rTz0bX

Labour leader gives full-throated support to shoot-to-kill after terror attacks in London - http://bit.ly/2rTz0bX

urges "difficult conversations" with Gulf states who export extremism - http://bit.ly/2rTz0bX

and the response

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[TightEnd]

Maybe its different this week...

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[The Camel]

Whatever the result on Thursday, I feel like the country has never been this divided in my lifetime.

I cannot see how the winner can even start to pull the nation together. They probably won't even try tbh.

[TightEnd]

Compare and contrast leaked tape of Milne on phone to Corbyn on Friday with Corbyn's speech today. "Form of words" needed to shut down awkward Questions..

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