The UK Politics and EU Referendum thread - merged

[TightEnd]

one poll, but a little bit of good news for Labour aftrer polling doldrums

New.

-Con lead down to 7-points
-Labour up
-Majority not clear

Conservative 41% (-1)
Labour 34% (+2)
Lib Dem 13% (=)
Brexit Party 4% (-1)

ICM Nov 22-25
(changes w/15-18 Nov)

[aaron1867]

The polling from many different polls is just saying the same. Labour is up, Tories slightly down and LD dropping significantly. It’s pretty clear to see that Labour aren’t going to be losing as many voters as you think to LD. It’s also fascinating to see Labour doing so well considering Brexit and Corbyn.

More people have registered to vote, mainly young people. There are now more younger people allowed to vote as they’ve now turned 18. Labour up in the polls. Voters seem more switched on. It’s mainly positives for remain parties.

I’m over the moon to be on over 200 Labour seats and my insane prediction is that Labour will get over 250. I’ve not been drinking, promise

I’d definitely not be happy taking that 1/3 LD in Sheffield Hallam.

[Doobs]

Poll averages

https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1198545292280418304

Tories widen their lead over Labour this week - Britain Elects poll tracker update:

CON: 42.4% (+1.5)
LAB: 29.6% (+0.3)
LDEM: 14.7% (-0.3)
BREX: 4.6% (-1.
GRN: 3.3% (+0.2)

Conservative majority 1/2 if anyone wants to lay on Betfair

[ripple11]

What happens if Tories end up with 310-320 Tory MP’s?

Unless Boris can pull a big Brexit rabbit out of the hat ( or a few billion ) to pass over to the DUP, then it’s looking as if the Tories cant really govern..
 
I suppose he could go back to plan A and try and push ahead with Brexit with the help of Labour Brexit supporting MPs....but we have been there before!

There is the possibility of Labour sending Jezza off on a worlds cruise and a new leader could  try to govern with the help of Libdems and SNP
.
Otherwise we could just toss a coin over Brexit and move on.

[Sheriff Fatman]

I've just been polled by YouGov via one of their regular online surveys.  The political questions were at the end of a survey about insurance products, but the polling was specific to my constituency, so the options offered were the specific candidates I'll be choosing between.

There were a few additional queries afterwards, one asking me to select the two biggest issues for me at the election, and then this rather intriguing one, which fortunately had a suitable option to respond with ...

[ripple11]

I've just been polled by YouGov via one of their regular online surveys.  The political questions were at the end of a survey about insurance products, but the polling was specific to my constituency, so the options offered were the specific candidates I'll be choosing between.

There were a few additional queries afterwards, one asking me to select the two biggest issues for me at the election, and then this rather intriguing one, which fortunately had a suitable option to respond with ...

Thanks Sheriff 

YouGov / Sky News

11 point Tory lead

C 43% (+1)
L 32% (+2)
LD 13% (-3)
BXP 4% (+1)
SNP 4 (-)
Green 2 (-2)

YouGov interviewed 1,678 GB adults on 25/26 Nov (comparisons with 21/22)

[MintTrav]

I've just been polled by YouGov via one of their regular online surveys.  The political questions were at the end of a survey about insurance products, but the polling was specific to my constituency, so the options offered were the specific candidates I'll be choosing between.

There were a few additional queries afterwards, one asking me to select the two biggest issues for me at the election, and then this rather intriguing one, which fortunately had a suitable option to respond with ...

Staying in or leaving the EU could shape virtually everything about the country one way or the other for half a century or more. Irrespective of whether you're for or against Brexit, and wherever you fall on the party political spectrum, surely the positive or negative effects of this decision vastly outweigh the damage that any government could do in the short term, a substantial amount of which would probably get reversed by the next lot anyway.

[aaron1867]

There’s a huge upsurge in people registering to vote, what does it mean? Who’s likely to profit? The Tories don’t seem to be pushing it.

I’ve re-registered so I can vote in Sheffield Hallam, but I’ve already received my polling card at my H&B address. Not sure what will happen 🤷‍♂️

[TightEnd]

Neil completely obliterates Corbyn

My highlight of a painful half hour was on paying for WASPI

JC: We'll pay for it with government reserves.
AN: We don't have those kind of reserves.
JC: I know we don't.

Boris to come, he will be nervous of Brillo too. A sensational interviewer

[teddybloat]

He really is isn't he.

He knows what the person doesn't want to say and then steers them down an alley where the only exit is to say that thing or backtrack.

And he has no time for  prepped platitudes

[ripple11]

Brilliant work from Mr Neil.







Boris currently at the doctors saying he's lost his voice.

[ripple11]

....and when offered the opportunity....how on earth can he not just say "sorry" to the Jewish community ??

[ripple11]

just seen this....


@thetimes
 will publish the first seat-by-seat MRP forecast by
@YouGov
  at 10pm on Wednesday.

This was the model which forecast a hung parliament in 2017...

[RickBFA]

Neil is brilliant. He should perhaps interrupt a bit less.

He will make them all look like fools though.

Jezza must need a lay down in a darkened room after that.

[teddybloat]

Neil is brilliant. He should perhaps interrupt a bit less.

it's only a 30 minute format

i want him to interrupt platitudes like 'racism is bad', 'poverty is not good' etc etc

the public want to know what things will cost, how corbyn will pay for them and what it will mean for our taxes.

in such a short format i want the politcians moved off pre prepared messages and onto the substance. corbyn will want to pontificate on how bad he thinks racism and poverty is, boris will want to pontificate on how his brexit choice is clear. they should absolutely not be allowed to do that and answer questions put.